Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.5#33
Expected Predictive Rating+14.1#23
Pace66.9#231
Improvement-0.6#205

Offense
Total Offense+8.9#12
First Shot+6.9#24
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#54
Layup/Dunks+4.7#26
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#31
Freethrows-1.0#248
Improvement+2.2#58

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#76
First Shot+3.6#69
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#179
Layups/Dunks+1.9#104
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#107
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#229
Freethrows+1.8#55
Improvement-2.8#303
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 8.7% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 98.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 98.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round98.8% n/a n/a
Second Round50.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.5% n/a n/a
Final Four1.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.5% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 21 - 2
Quad 1b1 - 12 - 3
Quad 27 - 19 - 4
Quad 37 - 216 - 6
Quad 44 - 020 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 02, 2020 52   Missouri L 75-83 59%     0 - 1 +2.1 +5.9 -3.7
  Dec 04, 2020 50   Seton Hall W 83-70 58%     1 - 1 +23.5 +15.1 +8.4
  Dec 07, 2020 105   Eastern Washington W 69-52 82%     2 - 1 +19.8 -5.6 +25.0
  Dec 09, 2020 298   Florida A&M W 87-66 97%     3 - 1 +10.4 +8.1 +1.0
  Dec 12, 2020 161   @ Washington W 74-71 83%     4 - 1 1 - 0 +5.2 +0.3 +4.8
  Dec 17, 2020 104   San Francisco W 74-64 81%     5 - 1 +13.0 +1.9 +11.0
  Dec 19, 2020 322   Portland W 80-41 98%     6 - 1 +25.2 -2.7 +27.4
  Dec 31, 2020 126   California W 82-69 86%     7 - 1 2 - 0 +13.8 +10.0 +3.8
  Jan 02, 2021 82   Stanford W 73-56 75%     8 - 1 3 - 0 +22.4 -0.2 +21.4
  Jan 07, 2021 23   @ Colorado L 72-79 35%     8 - 2 3 - 1 +9.3 +4.9 +4.5
  Jan 09, 2021 68   @ Utah W 79-73 59%     9 - 2 4 - 1 +16.2 +10.8 +5.6
  Jan 23, 2021 80   Oregon St. L 64-75 75%     9 - 3 4 - 2 -5.4 -4.4 -1.6
  Feb 04, 2021 98   Washington St. L 71-74 80%     9 - 4 4 - 3 +0.4 +4.8 -4.5
  Feb 06, 2021 161   Washington W 86-74 90%     10 - 4 5 - 3 +10.4 +12.6 -2.2
  Feb 11, 2021 103   @ Arizona St. W 75-64 71%     11 - 4 6 - 3 +17.9 +2.7 +14.8
  Feb 13, 2021 42   @ Arizona W 63-61 49%     12 - 4 7 - 3 +14.8 +7.1 +8.1
  Feb 18, 2021 23   Colorado W 60-56 50%     13 - 4 8 - 3 +16.5 -5.0 +21.7
  Feb 20, 2021 68   Utah W 67-64 72%     14 - 4 9 - 3 +9.4 +2.9 +6.9
  Feb 22, 2021 15   @ USC L 58-72 34%     14 - 5 9 - 4 +2.7 +0.9 +0.1
  Feb 25, 2021 82   @ Stanford W 71-68 62%     15 - 5 10 - 4 +12.2 +13.9 -1.3
  Feb 27, 2021 126   @ California W 74-63 77%     16 - 5 11 - 4 +15.6 +12.1 +4.7
  Mar 01, 2021 42   Arizona W 80-69 63%     17 - 5 12 - 4 +20.0 +18.7 +2.5
  Mar 03, 2021 43   UCLA W 82-74 64%     18 - 5 13 - 4 +16.9 +17.8 -0.3
  Mar 07, 2021 80   @ Oregon St. W 80-67 62%     19 - 5 14 - 4 +22.3 +23.4 +1.1
  Mar 11, 2021 103   Arizona St. W 91-73 76%     20 - 5 +23.0 +14.8 +7.2
  Mar 12, 2021 80   Oregon St. L 64-75 69%     20 - 6 -3.5 -0.7 -3.9
Projected Record 20 - 6 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 98.8% 98.8% 8.0 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.6 20.4 32.7 31.2 5.7 0.1 1.2 98.8%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 98.8% 0.0% 98.8% 8.0 0.0 0.1 2.0 6.6 20.4 32.7 31.2 5.7 0.1 1.2 98.8%