Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon St.
Pac-12
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.5#80
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#62
Pace63.1#310
Improvement+7.4#3

Offense
Total Offense+5.3#54
First Shot+3.2#88
After Offensive Rebound+2.2#47
Layup/Dunks-0.7#190
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#104
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#176
Freethrows+3.1#10
Improvement+4.8#8

Defense
Total Defense+2.1#108
First Shot+3.5#73
After Offensive Rebounds-1.3#285
Layups/Dunks+0.1#166
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#47
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#77
Freethrows-0.5#218
Improvement+2.6#48
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round24.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen7.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight1.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.2% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 12 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 32 - 3
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 5
Quad 22 - 47 - 9
Quad 34 - 111 - 10
Quad 45 - 216 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 126   California W 71-63 74%     1 - 0 +8.8 -0.4 +9.3
  Dec 02, 2020 98   @ Washington St. L 55-59 51%     1 - 1 0 - 1 +3.2 -9.4 +12.5
  Dec 06, 2020 149   Wyoming L 73-76 79%     1 - 2 -4.0 -2.3 -1.7
  Dec 10, 2020 322   Portland L 86-87 OT 96%     1 - 3 -14.8 -5.9 -8.8
  Dec 16, 2020 146   Texas San Antonio W 73-61 79%     2 - 3 +11.1 -2.7 +13.9
  Dec 22, 2020 247   Portland St. W 67-62 91%     3 - 3 -2.4 -0.8 -1.2
  Jan 02, 2021 126   California W 73-64 74%     4 - 3 1 - 1 +9.8 +8.6 +2.2
  Jan 04, 2021 82   Stanford L 71-81 58%     4 - 4 1 - 2 -4.6 +4.8 -9.6
  Jan 14, 2021 42   Arizona L 64-98 44%     4 - 5 1 - 3 -25.0 -7.4 -17.1
  Jan 16, 2021 103   Arizona St. W 80-79 66%     5 - 5 2 - 3 +4.1 +15.6 -11.4
  Jan 19, 2021 15   USC W 58-56 30%     6 - 5 3 - 3 +14.9 +1.3 +13.9
  Jan 23, 2021 33   @ Oregon W 75-64 25%     7 - 5 4 - 3 +25.4 +10.4 +15.5
  Jan 28, 2021 15   @ USC L 62-75 19%     7 - 6 4 - 4 +3.7 +1.5 +1.4
  Jan 30, 2021 43   @ UCLA L 52-57 31%     7 - 7 4 - 5 +7.6 -7.1 +13.8
  Feb 04, 2021 161   Washington W 91-71 80%     8 - 7 5 - 5 +18.4 +17.0 +1.3
  Feb 06, 2021 98   Washington St. W 68-66 65%     9 - 7 6 - 5 +5.4 +4.0 +1.5
  Feb 08, 2021 23   @ Colorado L 49-78 20%     9 - 8 6 - 6 -12.7 -16.5 +3.7
  Feb 11, 2021 42   @ Arizona L 61-70 30%     9 - 9 6 - 7 +3.8 -1.8 +4.8
  Feb 14, 2021 103   @ Arizona St. L 73-75 52%     9 - 10 6 - 8 +4.9 +3.0 +1.8
  Feb 18, 2021 68   Utah W 74-56 54%     10 - 10 7 - 8 +24.4 +2.2 +22.2
  Feb 20, 2021 23   Colorado L 57-61 31%     10 - 11 7 - 9 +8.5 -4.3 +12.3
  Feb 25, 2021 126   @ California W 59-57 61%     11 - 11 8 - 9 +6.6 +0.1 +6.9
  Feb 27, 2021 82   @ Stanford W 73-62 43%     12 - 11 9 - 9 +20.2 +15.4 +6.2
  Mar 03, 2021 68   @ Utah W 75-70 39%     13 - 11 10 - 9 +15.2 +12.6 +3.1
  Mar 07, 2021 33   Oregon L 67-80 38%     13 - 12 10 - 10 -2.4 +7.7 -12.3
  Mar 11, 2021 43   UCLA W 83-79 OT 37%     14 - 12 +14.8 +7.6 +6.9
  Mar 12, 2021 33   Oregon W 75-64 31%     15 - 12 +23.5 +12.7 +11.8
  Mar 13, 2021 23   Colorado W 70-68 25%     16 - 12 +16.4 +16.4 +0.4
Projected Record 16 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 11.8 0.0 0.9 19.0 77.7 2.4
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 11.8 0.0 0.9 19.0 77.7 2.4