Pre-tourney Rankings
Gonzaga
West Coast
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+27.0#1
Expected Predictive Rating+30.3#1
Pace82.3#4
Improvement+0.1#172

Offense
Total Offense+17.2#1
First Shot+15.7#1
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#74
Layup/Dunks+17.5#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#147
Freethrows+2.0#44
Improvement-0.2#184

Defense
Total Defense+9.8#4
First Shot+6.5#21
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#4
Layups/Dunks+3.3#62
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#260
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#49
Freethrows+1.2#93
Improvement+0.3#162
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 40.5% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 90.8% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round99.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen91.3% n/a n/a
Elite Eight82.3% n/a n/a
Final Four70.6% n/a n/a
Championship Game58.1% n/a n/a
National Champion46.7% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 05 - 0
Quad 1b3 - 08 - 0
Quad 26 - 014 - 0
Quad 35 - 019 - 0
Quad 47 - 026 - 0


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 17   Kansas W 102-90 87%     1 - 0 +26.7 +23.9 +1.0
  Nov 27, 2020 60   Auburn W 90-67 94%     2 - 0 +32.3 +13.3 +17.3
  Dec 02, 2020 26   West Virginia W 87-82 88%     3 - 0 +19.1 +6.6 +11.9
  Dec 19, 2020 5   Iowa W 99-88 77%     4 - 0 +30.4 +14.0 +14.4
  Dec 21, 2020 314   Northwestern St. W 95-57 99.8%    5 - 0 +25.5 +14.5 +10.7
  Dec 22, 2020 314   Northwestern St. W 95-78 99.8%    6 - 0 +4.5 +4.7 -2.2
  Dec 26, 2020 16   Virginia W 98-75 87%     7 - 0 +37.7 +33.0 +5.1
  Dec 28, 2020 308   Northern Arizona W 88-58 99.8%    8 - 0 +18.6 +9.6 +9.7
  Dec 29, 2020 325   Dixie St. W 112-67 99.8%    9 - 0 +31.0 +19.2 +5.5
  Jan 02, 2021 104   San Francisco W 85-62 98%     10 - 0 1 - 0 +26.0 +9.7 +15.2
  Jan 07, 2021 24   BYU W 86-69 91%     11 - 0 2 - 0 +29.4 +15.0 +13.7
  Jan 09, 2021 322   @ Portland W 116-88 99.7%    12 - 0 3 - 0 +18.0 +23.2 -8.3
  Jan 14, 2021 108   Pepperdine W 95-70 98%     13 - 0 4 - 0 +27.6 +11.0 +13.7
  Jan 16, 2021 79   @ St. Mary's W 73-59 94%     14 - 0 5 - 0 +23.5 +13.2 +10.8
  Jan 23, 2021 123   Pacific W 95-49 98%     15 - 0 6 - 0 +47.1 +17.5 +26.8
  Jan 28, 2021 211   @ San Diego W 90-62 99%     16 - 0 7 - 0 +26.5 +14.3 +10.7
  Jan 30, 2021 108   @ Pepperdine W 97-75 96%     17 - 0 8 - 0 +28.4 +14.8 +11.1
  Feb 04, 2021 123   @ Pacific W 76-58 97%     18 - 0 9 - 0 +22.9 +2.0 +19.9
  Feb 08, 2021 24   @ BYU W 82-71 84%     19 - 0 10 - 0 +27.2 +10.1 +16.2
  Feb 13, 2021 104   @ San Francisco W 100-61 96%     20 - 0 11 - 0 +45.8 +27.1 +17.3
  Feb 18, 2021 79   St. Mary's W 87-65 97%     21 - 0 12 - 0 +27.7 +20.8 +6.4
  Feb 20, 2021 211   San Diego W 106-69 99%     22 - 0 13 - 0 +31.7 +17.6 +8.6
  Feb 25, 2021 168   Santa Clara W 89-75 99%     23 - 0 14 - 0 +12.0 +6.1 +4.3
  Feb 27, 2021 107   Loyola Marymount W 86-69 98%     24 - 0 15 - 0 +19.7 +12.3 +7.1
  Mar 08, 2021 79   St. Mary's W 78-55 95%     25 - 0 +30.6 +12.9 +17.2
  Mar 09, 2021 24   BYU W 88-78 88%     26 - 0 +24.3 +22.1 +2.3
Projected Record 26 - 0 15 - 0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-15 1-14 2-13 3-12 4-11 5-10 6-9 7-8 8-7 9-6 10-5 11-4 12-3 13-2 14-1 15-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
15-0 100.0% 100.0    100.0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
15-0 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.1 90.8 9.2 0.0
14-1
13-2
12-3
11-4
10-5
9-6
8-7
7-8
6-9
5-10
4-11
3-12
2-13
1-14
0-15
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.1 90.8 9.2 0.0