Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern St.
Southland
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.6#314
Expected Predictive Rating-9.1#299
Pace74.9#59
Improvement+2.2#81

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#276
First Shot-4.0#281
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#215
Layup/Dunks-0.3#178
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#105
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#243
Freethrows-2.7#324
Improvement+1.5#95

Defense
Total Defense-6.1#310
First Shot-4.3#298
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#306
Layups/Dunks-4.8#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#98
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
Freethrows-0.8#233
Improvement+0.7#143
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Next Game: Nicholls St. (Neutral) - 0.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 3
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 30 - 40 - 11
Quad 410 - 610 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 22   @ Texas Tech L 58-101 1%     0 - 1 -26.7 -13.6 -7.8
  Nov 28, 2020 235   Texas Arlington L 71-80 29%     0 - 2 -13.9 -13.7 +1.0
  Nov 29, 2020 78   @ Louisiana Tech L 77-91 4%     0 - 3 -4.5 +10.6 -14.9
  Dec 03, 2020 129   @ TCU L 68-74 9%     0 - 4 -1.5 -6.4 +5.1
  Dec 06, 2020 278   Louisiana Monroe L 83-92 OT 46%     0 - 5 -18.6 -3.7 -13.7
  Dec 18, 2020 117   @ Tulsa L 55-82 8%     0 - 6 -21.7 -16.7 -3.6
  Dec 19, 2020 91   @ Missouri St. L 67-94 5%     0 - 7 -19.3 -7.8 -9.6
  Dec 21, 2020 1   @ Gonzaga L 57-95 0.2%    0 - 8 -9.1 -5.5 -3.3
  Dec 22, 2020 1   @ Gonzaga L 78-95 0.2%    0 - 9 +11.9 +7.4 +6.4
  Dec 23, 2020 98   @ Washington St. L 52-62 6%     0 - 10 -2.8 -15.2 +12.6
  Jan 02, 2021 338   @ Houston Baptist L 93-99 OT 57%     0 - 11 0 - 1 -18.5 -4.3 -13.1
  Jan 06, 2021 336   Incarnate Word L 67-75 70%     0 - 12 0 - 2 -24.0 -14.3 -9.8
  Jan 09, 2021 332   @ McNeese St. W 78-75 53%     1 - 12 1 - 2 -8.4 -0.6 -7.7
  Jan 13, 2021 193   Nicholls St. L 66-76 26%     1 - 13 1 - 3 -14.1 -14.5 +1.2
  Jan 20, 2021 145   @ Stephen F. Austin L 74-86 11%     1 - 14 1 - 4 -9.1 +0.5 -9.4
  Jan 23, 2021 329   @ SE Louisiana W 73-68 52%     2 - 14 2 - 4 -6.0 -8.1 +1.9
  Jan 27, 2021 281   New Orleans W 81-73 46%     3 - 14 3 - 4 -1.7 -4.7 +2.2
  Jan 30, 2021 327   @ Central Arkansas W 81-77 51%     4 - 14 4 - 4 -6.8 -2.8 -4.1
  Feb 10, 2021 336   @ Incarnate Word W 68-67 56%     5 - 14 5 - 4 -11.2 -7.1 -4.0
  Feb 13, 2021 332   McNeese St. W 69-66 67%     6 - 14 6 - 4 -12.2 -7.9 -4.1
  Feb 22, 2021 338   Houston Baptist W 86-80 71%     7 - 14 7 - 4 -10.3 -0.8 -9.9
  Feb 24, 2021 145   Stephen F. Austin L 57-83 18%     7 - 15 7 - 5 -26.9 -17.9 -8.5
  Feb 27, 2021 329   SE Louisiana W 79-61 66%     8 - 15 8 - 5 +3.2 -4.0 +6.5
  Mar 01, 2021 193   @ Nicholls St. L 71-87 17%     8 - 16 8 - 6 -16.3 -10.3 -4.2
  Mar 03, 2021 281   @ New Orleans L 83-92 32%     8 - 17 8 - 7 -14.9 +0.9 -15.2
  Mar 06, 2021 327   Central Arkansas W 79-70 65%     9 - 17 9 - 7 -5.6 -1.6 -3.7
  Mar 11, 2021 281   New Orleans W 82-79 39%     10 - 17 -4.8 -3.2 -1.9
  Mar 12, 2021 193   Nicholls St. L 74-82 21%    
Projected Record 10 - 18 9 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.




Projected Southland Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 100.0
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%