Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisiana Tech
Conference USA
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.6#78
Expected Predictive Rating+7.5#77
Pace71.6#115
Improvement+6.7#5

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#139
First Shot+0.3#169
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#114
Layup/Dunks+2.8#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#220
Freethrows+0.6#137
Improvement+2.5#48

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#27
First Shot+3.7#65
After Offensive Rebounds+2.8#8
Layups/Dunks+2.2#94
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#87
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#175
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement+4.2#11
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 12.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four1.8% n/a n/a
First Round0.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.2% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 11 - 2
Quad 21 - 22 - 4
Quad 35 - 37 - 7
Quad 413 - 020 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 235   Texas Arlington W 76-71 90%     1 - 0 -1.8 -6.5 +4.2
  Nov 29, 2020 314   Northwestern St. W 91-77 96%     2 - 0 +1.5 +9.9 -8.6
  Dec 03, 2020 278   Louisiana Monroe W 78-62 94%     3 - 0 +6.4 +1.4 +4.8
  Dec 06, 2020 29   @ LSU L 55-86 23%     3 - 1 -15.5 -19.4 +6.1
  Dec 09, 2020 329   SE Louisiana W 78-69 97%     4 - 1 -5.8 +1.6 -7.0
  Dec 12, 2020 195   @ Louisiana L 56-61 78%     4 - 2 -5.5 -20.6 +15.4
  Dec 15, 2020 267   Jackson St. W 85-58 93%     5 - 2 +18.0 +7.7 +8.2
  Dec 19, 2020 306   Lamar W 86-57 95%     6 - 2 +17.8 +3.9 +11.8
  Dec 22, 2020 278   @ Louisiana Monroe W 68-57 89%     7 - 2 +5.2 -9.3 +13.9
  Jan 01, 2021 90   Marshall W 75-68 64%     8 - 2 1 - 0 +10.9 +0.9 +9.9
  Jan 02, 2021 90   Marshall L 73-80 64%     8 - 3 1 - 1 -3.1 -3.4 +0.6
  Jan 08, 2021 88   @ Western Kentucky L 64-66 48%     8 - 4 1 - 2 +6.2 -4.2 +10.5
  Jan 09, 2021 88   @ Western Kentucky W 63-58 48%     9 - 4 2 - 2 +13.2 +0.5 +13.1
  Jan 15, 2021 146   Texas San Antonio W 77-66 79%     10 - 4 3 - 2 +10.1 -8.1 +17.0
  Jan 16, 2021 146   Texas San Antonio W 82-66 79%     11 - 4 4 - 2 +15.1 +8.7 +7.0
  Jan 22, 2021 138   @ UTEP L 74-82 65%     11 - 5 4 - 3 -4.3 +1.9 -6.0
  Jan 23, 2021 138   @ UTEP W 73-55 65%     12 - 5 5 - 3 +21.7 +2.6 +19.1
  Jan 28, 2021 240   @ Southern Miss W 76-63 84%     13 - 5 6 - 3 +9.9 +2.2 +7.1
  Jan 30, 2021 240   Southern Miss W 65-62 91%     14 - 5 7 - 3 -3.9 -9.9 +5.8
  Feb 05, 2021 77   @ North Texas W 68-63 42%     15 - 5 8 - 3 +14.6 +10.2 +5.0
  Feb 06, 2021 77   @ North Texas L 55-57 42%     15 - 6 8 - 4 +7.6 -8.1 +15.5
  Feb 12, 2021 93   UAB W 70-58 65%     16 - 6 9 - 4 +15.7 +6.8 +9.9
  Feb 13, 2021 93   UAB W 69-64 65%     17 - 6 10 - 4 +8.7 +1.8 +7.1
  Feb 26, 2021 186   Rice W 101-57 85%     18 - 6 11 - 4 +40.4 +16.1 +20.6
  Feb 27, 2021 186   Rice W 79-58 85%     19 - 6 12 - 4 +17.4 +6.5 +11.9
  Mar 11, 2021 163   Florida Atlantic W 75-69 76%     20 - 6 +6.3 +1.5 +4.7
  Mar 12, 2021 77   North Texas L 48-54 50%     20 - 7 +1.7 -11.7 +12.4
Projected Record 20 - 7 12 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.0%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 100.0% 1.8% 1.8% 12.1 0.1 1.4 0.2 98.2 1.8%
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.8% 0.0% 1.8% 12.1 0.1 1.4 0.2 98.2 1.8%