Pre-tourney Rankings
SMU
American Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.5#57
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#49
Pace71.1#122
Improvement-3.1#296

Offense
Total Offense+4.7#66
First Shot+3.2#83
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#80
Layup/Dunks+5.2#20
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#282
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
Freethrows-0.5#216
Improvement-3.1#315

Defense
Total Defense+4.8#57
First Shot+6.3#26
After Offensive Rebounds-1.5#296
Layups/Dunks+6.3#9
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#75
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#179
Freethrows-1.2#266
Improvement+0.1#175
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.2% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 26.2% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four23.2% n/a n/a
First Round14.3% n/a n/a
Second Round4.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.5% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 3
Quad 24 - 04 - 3
Quad 32 - 26 - 5
Quad 45 - 011 - 5


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 180   Sam Houston St. W 97-67 87%     1 - 0 +27.4 +17.7 +7.9
  Nov 30, 2020 335   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 91-54 98%     2 - 0 +21.4 +1.6 +15.3
  Dec 02, 2020 338   Houston Baptist W 102-75 98%     3 - 0 +10.7 +7.7 -0.5
  Dec 05, 2020 81   @ Dayton W 66-64 51%     4 - 0 +11.3 -0.8 +12.1
  Dec 16, 2020 170   East Carolina W 70-55 86%     5 - 0 1 - 0 +13.0 +0.9 +12.6
  Dec 30, 2020 134   @ Temple W 79-71 70%     6 - 0 2 - 0 +12.0 +8.7 +3.2
  Jan 03, 2021 6   Houston L 60-74 23%     6 - 1 2 - 1 +3.1 -4.3 +6.9
  Jan 07, 2021 110   Cincinnati L 69-76 75%     6 - 2 2 - 2 -4.5 -7.7 +3.9
  Jan 11, 2021 134   Temple W 79-68 81%     7 - 2 3 - 2 +11.2 +11.6 +0.1
  Jan 23, 2021 99   @ Central Florida W 78-65 59%     8 - 2 4 - 2 +20.2 +14.3 +6.8
  Jan 26, 2021 32   @ Memphis L 72-76 32%     8 - 3 4 - 3 +10.4 +12.5 -2.2
  Jan 28, 2021 32   Memphis W 67-65 46%     9 - 3 5 - 3 +12.6 +8.3 +4.4
  Jan 31, 2021 6   @ Houston L 48-70 15%     9 - 4 5 - 4 -1.1 -13.6 +11.3
  Feb 03, 2021 117   @ Tulsa W 65-63 66%     10 - 4 6 - 4 +7.3 -2.9 +10.2
  Feb 08, 2021 170   @ East Carolina W 71-56 77%     11 - 4 7 - 4 +16.8 +1.3 +15.4
  Mar 12, 2021 110   Cincinnati L 71-74 69%     11 - 5 +1.4 -4.5 +6.1
Projected Record 11 - 5 7 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-11 1-10 2-9 3-8 4-7 5-6 6-5 7-4 8-3 9-2 10-1 11-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
11-0
10-1
9-2
8-3
7-4 0.0%
6-5
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
11-0
10-1
9-2
8-3
7-4 100.0% 26.2% 26.2% 11.7 0.0 0.5 7.9 17.0 0.8 73.8 26.2%
6-5
5-6
4-7
3-8
2-9
1-10
0-11
Total 100% 26.2% 0.0% 26.2% 11.7 0.0 0.5 7.9 17.0 0.8 73.8 26.2%