Pre-tourney Rankings
Houston
American Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+19.0#6
Expected Predictive Rating+16.4#8
Pace62.7#316
Improvement+1.8#99

Offense
Total Offense+11.5#6
First Shot+5.3#49
After Offensive Rebound+6.2#1
Layup/Dunks-1.2#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#88
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#56
Freethrows+1.1#101
Improvement+6.2#1

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#19
First Shot+7.9#7
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#212
Layups/Dunks+4.5#31
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#37
Freethrows-1.4#278
Improvement-4.4#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 4.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 47.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 97.2% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 2.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 100.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round93.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen67.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight42.0% n/a n/a
Final Four21.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game10.7% n/a n/a
National Champion4.5% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 01 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 12 - 1
Quad 26 - 18 - 2
Quad 310 - 118 - 3
Quad 45 - 023 - 3


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 306   Lamar W 89-45 99%     1 - 0 +32.8 +10.2 +21.2
  Nov 27, 2020 62   Boise St. W 68-58 86%     2 - 0 +17.2 -1.5 +18.7
  Nov 29, 2020 22   Texas Tech W 64-53 67%     3 - 0 +25.4 +2.4 +23.7
  Dec 05, 2020 122   South Carolina W 77-67 94%     4 - 0 +11.3 +4.8 +6.4
  Dec 20, 2020 339   Alcorn St. W 88-55 99.6%    5 - 0 +16.0 +11.7 +5.8
  Dec 22, 2020 134   Temple W 76-50 95%     6 - 0 1 - 0 +26.2 +7.2 +19.9
  Dec 26, 2020 99   @ Central Florida W 63-54 86%     7 - 0 2 - 0 +16.2 +0.4 +16.7
  Dec 29, 2020 117   @ Tulsa L 64-65 89%     7 - 1 2 - 1 +4.3 +0.0 +4.2
  Jan 03, 2021 57   @ SMU W 74-60 77%     8 - 1 3 - 1 +25.4 +9.4 +16.5
  Jan 06, 2021 67   Wichita St. W 70-63 88%     9 - 1 4 - 1 +13.4 +2.8 +11.0
  Jan 09, 2021 143   Tulane W 71-50 96%     10 - 1 5 - 1 +20.2 +9.2 +13.7
  Jan 17, 2021 99   Central Florida W 75-58 92%     11 - 1 6 - 1 +20.4 +9.9 +11.8
  Jan 20, 2021 117   Tulsa W 86-59 94%     12 - 1 7 - 1 +28.5 +15.0 +13.4
  Jan 23, 2021 134   @ Temple W 68-51 91%     13 - 1 8 - 1 +21.0 +3.9 +18.5
  Jan 28, 2021 143   @ Tulane W 83-60 92%     14 - 1 9 - 1 +26.0 +21.9 +6.3
  Jan 31, 2021 57   SMU W 70-48 85%     15 - 1 10 - 1 +29.6 +5.0 +25.8
  Feb 03, 2021 170   @ East Carolina L 73-82 94%     15 - 2 10 - 2 -7.2 +5.4 -12.9
  Feb 10, 2021 165   @ South Florida W 82-65 93%     16 - 2 11 - 2 +19.1 +17.7 +2.7
  Feb 18, 2021 67   @ Wichita St. L 63-68 80%     16 - 3 11 - 3 +5.2 +5.6 -1.3
  Feb 21, 2021 110   Cincinnati W 90-52 93%     17 - 3 12 - 3 +40.5 +18.8 +21.3
  Feb 25, 2021 88   Western Kentucky W 81-57 91%     18 - 3 +28.4 +17.1 +13.0
  Feb 28, 2021 165   South Florida W 98-52 96%     19 - 3 13 - 3 +44.3 +39.0 +11.6
  Mar 07, 2021 32   Memphis W 67-64 79%     20 - 3 14 - 3 +13.6 +9.3 +4.5
  Mar 12, 2021 143   Tulane W 77-52 94%     21 - 3 +26.1 +21.6 +9.3
  Mar 13, 2021 32   Memphis W 76-74 73%     22 - 3 +14.5 +14.8 -0.2
  Mar 14, 2021 110   Cincinnati W 91-54 91%     23 - 3 +41.4 +29.0 +15.4
Projected Record 23 - 3 14 - 3




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

The conference records below are based on games currently on the team's schedule above.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-17 1-16 2-15 3-14 4-13 5-12 6-11 7-10 8-9 9-8 10-7 11-6 12-5 13-4 14-3 15-2 16-1 17-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
17-0
16-1
15-2
14-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 2.7 4.3 43.2 34.7 15.1 2.6 0.2 0.0
13-4
12-5
11-6
10-7
9-8
8-9
7-10
6-11
5-12
4-13
3-14
2-15
1-16
0-17
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 2.7 4.3 43.2 34.7 15.1 2.6 0.2 0.0