Preseason Rankings
Bradley
Missouri Valley
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#117
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace66.1#253
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.9#126
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#121
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.9% 1.4% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 17.3% 8.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.3% 6.3% 1.7%
Average Seed 11.3 10.9 12.2
.500 or above 66.5% 77.3% 52.1%
.500 or above in Conference 67.0% 73.1% 58.9%
Conference Champion 11.1% 13.9% 7.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.5% 2.8% 6.7%
First Four1.6% 2.0% 1.0%
First Round13.0% 16.4% 8.5%
Second Round4.0% 5.3% 2.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.5% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Toledo (Neutral) - 57.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 36 - 48 - 11
Quad 47 - 116 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 137   Toledo W 73-71 57%    
  Nov 26, 2020 58   @ Xavier L 66-75 21%    
  Nov 27, 2020 243   Oakland W 73-65 77%    
  Dec 05, 2020 174   Saint Joseph's W 80-73 73%    
  Dec 08, 2020 100   South Dakota St. W 74-72 56%    
  Dec 17, 2020 300   Jackson St. W 76-62 90%    
  Dec 19, 2020 179   Miami (OH) W 73-66 74%    
  Dec 22, 2020 66   @ Missouri L 64-72 24%    
  Mar 08, 2021 64   @ Northern Iowa L 66-74 24%    
  Mar 08, 2021 76   @ Loyola Chicago L 63-70 27%    
  Mar 08, 2021 122   Indiana St. W 71-68 62%    
  Mar 08, 2021 135   Missouri St. W 73-68 65%    
  Mar 08, 2021 144   Drake W 73-68 68%    
  Mar 08, 2021 155   Valparaiso W 75-69 69%    
  Mar 08, 2021 168   Southern Illinois W 68-61 72%    
  Mar 08, 2021 188   Illinois St. W 74-66 75%    
  Mar 08, 2021 261   Evansville W 75-63 85%    
  Mar 09, 2021 64   Northern Iowa L 69-71 42%    
  Mar 09, 2021 76   Loyola Chicago L 66-67 46%    
  Mar 09, 2021 122   @ Indiana St. L 68-71 41%    
  Mar 09, 2021 135   @ Missouri St. L 70-71 46%    
  Mar 09, 2021 144   @ Drake L 70-71 47%    
  Mar 09, 2021 155   @ Valparaiso L 71-72 50%    
  Mar 09, 2021 168   @ Southern Illinois W 65-64 53%    
  Mar 09, 2021 188   @ Illinois St. W 71-69 57%    
  Mar 09, 2021 261   @ Evansville W 72-66 70%    
Projected Record 15 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.2 2.6 3.1 2.4 1.1 0.3 11.1 1st
2nd 0.1 0.9 3.2 4.7 3.7 1.3 0.3 14.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.8 5.5 2.4 0.6 0.0 15.2 3rd
4th 0.4 2.1 5.0 4.5 1.5 0.2 13.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.1 3.5 0.9 0.1 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.4 2.9 0.4 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 2.3 3.6 2.2 0.3 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 6.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.6 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.6 4.3 5.8 7.9 9.5 10.6 10.7 11.2 10.6 8.5 7.0 4.4 2.6 1.1 0.3 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
17-1 100.0% 1.1    1.0 0.0
16-2 89.9% 2.4    1.9 0.5
15-3 70.9% 3.1    2.0 1.0 0.1
14-4 37.9% 2.6    1.2 1.1 0.3 0.0
13-5 14.3% 1.2    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
12-6 3.6% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 6.8 3.3 0.9 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.3% 94.4% 55.1% 39.3% 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.5%
17-1 1.1% 93.5% 43.4% 50.1% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 88.6%
16-2 2.6% 75.4% 41.9% 33.6% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.7 57.7%
15-3 4.4% 54.2% 30.7% 23.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.0 34.0%
14-4 7.0% 36.5% 25.3% 11.2% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.4 15.0%
13-5 8.5% 21.5% 17.3% 4.3% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 6.6 5.2%
12-6 10.6% 11.9% 10.9% 0.9% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 9.4 1.0%
11-7 11.2% 8.3% 8.0% 0.3% 13.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 10.3 0.3%
10-8 10.7% 5.3% 5.3% 13.6 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.2
9-9 10.6% 4.3% 4.3% 14.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 10.1
8-10 9.5% 3.0% 3.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 9.2
7-11 7.9% 1.1% 1.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.8
6-12 5.8% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 5.8
5-13 4.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 4.3
4-14 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 1.6
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 13.7% 9.9% 3.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.9 3.5 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.4 86.3 4.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.0 30.8 34.6 34.6