Preseason Rankings
Xavier
Big East
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#58
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.5#194
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#66
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+5.1#51
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 2.8% 3.0% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 7.9% 8.3% 0.9%
Top 6 Seed 15.5% 16.1% 3.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 40.1% 41.3% 15.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 37.0% 38.3% 14.2%
Average Seed 7.4 7.3 8.9
.500 or above 59.6% 61.3% 27.0%
.500 or above in Conference 45.4% 46.7% 22.2%
Conference Champion 4.5% 4.7% 0.6%
Last Place in Conference 11.9% 11.1% 26.0%
First Four3.9% 4.0% 3.0%
First Round38.0% 39.2% 14.1%
Second Round21.9% 22.7% 6.4%
Sweet Sixteen9.5% 9.9% 2.0%
Elite Eight4.1% 4.3% 0.8%
Final Four1.8% 1.9% 0.2%
Championship Game0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Home) - 95.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 34 - 112 - 13
Quad 43 - 015 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 243   Oakland W 78-61 95%    
  Nov 26, 2020 117   Bradley W 75-66 79%    
  Nov 27, 2020 137   Toledo W 78-67 84%    
  Nov 30, 2020 211   Eastern Kentucky W 87-71 92%    
  Dec 02, 2020 304   Tennessee Tech W 80-59 97%    
  Dec 06, 2020 55   @ Cincinnati L 69-72 38%    
  Dec 09, 2020 29   Oklahoma W 74-73 51%    
  Dec 12, 2020 41   @ Providence L 69-74 34%    
  Dec 15, 2020 44   Seton Hall W 75-73 56%    
  Dec 18, 2020 79   @ DePaul L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 20, 2020 45   Marquette W 76-74 57%    
  Dec 23, 2020 12   @ Creighton L 70-79 23%    
  Mar 08, 2021 44   @ Seton Hall L 72-76 36%    
  Mar 08, 2021 51   @ Butler L 65-68 38%    
  Mar 08, 2021 45   @ Marquette L 73-77 37%    
  Mar 08, 2021 73   St. John's W 79-74 65%    
  Mar 08, 2021 88   Georgetown W 78-72 70%    
  Mar 08, 2021 79   DePaul W 76-71 67%    
  Mar 08, 2021 34   Connecticut W 73-72 53%    
  Mar 08, 2021 3   @ Villanova L 64-76 17%    
  Mar 09, 2021 41   Providence W 72-71 54%    
  Mar 09, 2021 51   Butler W 68-65 57%    
  Mar 09, 2021 73   @ St. John's L 76-77 45%    
  Mar 09, 2021 88   @ Georgetown W 75-74 50%    
  Mar 09, 2021 34   @ Connecticut L 70-75 34%    
  Mar 09, 2021 12   Creighton L 73-76 41%    
  Mar 09, 2021 3   Villanova L 67-73 33%    
Projected Record 14 - 13 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.0 4.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.4 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 7.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.8 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.2 3.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.9 3.8 1.5 0.2 0.0 10.7 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.7 1.1 0.1 10.4 6th
7th 0.2 1.4 4.2 3.6 1.0 0.1 10.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.0 3.6 1.2 0.1 10.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.1 3.9 2.9 0.9 0.1 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 3.3 2.2 0.6 0.1 9.3 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 1.5 2.3 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 7.7 11th
Total 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.2 4.5 6.6 8.1 9.0 10.3 10.4 10.0 9.1 8.1 6.1 5.0 3.3 1.9 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 91.1% 0.5    0.5 0.0
17-3 79.4% 0.9    0.8 0.2 0.0
16-4 58.8% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
15-5 28.6% 0.9    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 10.0% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0
13-7 2.9% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.5% 4.5 2.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 100.0% 64.5% 35.5% 1.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 46.3% 53.7% 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.6% 100.0% 35.9% 64.1% 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.2% 100.0% 33.6% 66.4% 2.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 1.9% 100.0% 23.6% 76.4% 3.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 3.3% 100.0% 20.4% 79.5% 4.1 0.1 0.2 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 5.0% 99.9% 15.2% 84.7% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 6.1% 97.5% 8.8% 88.7% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.4 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 97.3%
12-8 8.1% 92.0% 7.2% 84.8% 8.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.6 91.4%
11-9 9.1% 77.2% 4.1% 73.1% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.4 1.3 1.1 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.1 76.2%
10-10 10.0% 50.1% 3.6% 46.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.2 0.1 5.0 48.2%
9-11 10.4% 18.6% 1.9% 16.7% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.4 17.0%
8-12 10.3% 4.4% 0.5% 3.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.9 3.9%
7-13 9.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.9 0.3%
6-14 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 13.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
5-15 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.6
4-16 4.5% 4.5
3-17 3.2% 3.2
2-18 1.7% 1.7
1-19 0.6% 0.6
0-20 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 40.1% 4.8% 35.3% 7.4 1.3 1.6 2.4 2.7 3.3 4.3 4.5 4.9 4.1 3.7 3.5 3.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 59.9 37.0%