IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Charlotte
Conference USA
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.4	#164
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	63.6	#303
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-1.1	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.7	#145

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	4.2%	11.8%	3.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.7%	4.6%	0.5%
Average Seed	12.6	11.4	12.8

.500 or above	40.9%	73.1%	39.3%
.500 or above in Conference	43.9%	68.8%	42.7%
Conference Champion	4.0%	8.6%	3.7%
Last Place in Conference	8.5%	2.3%	8.9%

First Four	0.4%	0.8%	0.4%
First Round	4.0%	11.3%	3.7%
Second Round	0.7%	3.6%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.2%	1.6%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Tennessee (Away) - 4.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	1 - 4	1 - 6
Quad 3	5 - 7	6 - 13
Quad 4	6 - 2	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	20	@ Tennessee	L	57-74	5%
Nov 26, 2020	99	Virginia Commonwealth	L	64-70	29%
Dec 04, 2020	106	Georgia St.	L	73-75	43%
Dec 07, 2020	347	South Carolina St.	W	79-58	97%
Dec 11, 2020	194	Appalachian St.	W	69-64	66%
Dec 15, 2020	81	@ Davidson	L	61-71	18%
Dec 19, 2020	309	N.C. A&T	W	78-67	83%
Dec 22, 2020	198	@ George Washington	L	66-67	47%
Jan 01, 2021	82	Western Kentucky	L	68-72	36%
Jan 02, 2021	82	Western Kentucky	L	68-72	36%
Jan 07, 2021	110	@ Marshall	L	72-79	26%
Jan 09, 2021	110	@ Marshall	L	72-79	26%
Jan 15, 2021	131	UAB	W	66-65	52%
Jan 16, 2021	131	UAB	W	66-65	53%
Jan 21, 2021	191	@ Florida Atlantic	L	67-68	45%
Jan 23, 2021	191	@ Florida Atlantic	L	67-68	45%
Jan 29, 2021	171	Florida International	W	75-72	60%
Jan 30, 2021	171	Florida International	W	75-72	61%
Feb 05, 2021	193	@ Middle Tennessee	L	70-71	45%
Feb 06, 2021	193	@ Middle Tennessee	L	70-71	47%
Feb 10, 2021	118	Old Dominion	L	64-65	48%
Feb 13, 2021	118	@ Old Dominion	L	61-68	29%
Feb 19, 2021	153	Texas San Antonio	W	77-75	57%
Feb 20, 2021	153	Texas San Antonio	W	77-75	57%
Feb 26, 2021	161	@ UTEP	L	64-67	39%
Feb 27, 2021	161	@ UTEP	L	64-67	39%
Projected Record						12 - 14	8 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.2	0.7	1.1	1.0	0.7	0.3	0.1		4.0	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.2	2.1	1.3	0.5	0.1				5.4	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.2	1.4	2.4	1.5	0.2	0.0					5.7	3rd
4th										0.1	1.5	3.2	1.8	0.3	0.0						6.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.9	3.5	2.4	0.3	0.0							7.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.6	3.3	3.3	0.6	0.0								7.8	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	2.7	4.1	1.2	0.1									8.3	7th
8th							0.1	1.8	4.2	1.8	0.2										8.1	8th
9th						0.1	1.2	4.1	2.7	0.3	0.0										8.4	9th
10th					0.0	1.0	3.6	3.6	0.6	0.0											8.7	10th
11th				0.1	0.7	3.3	3.8	1.2	0.0												9.2	11th
12th		0.0	0.1	1.0	2.6	3.3	1.3	0.1													8.4	12th
13th	0.0	0.3	1.0	2.3	2.5	1.1	0.2	0.0													7.5	13th
14th	0.3	1.0	1.6	1.1	0.5	0.1	0.0														4.5	14th

Total	0.3	1.3	2.7	4.4	6.5	8.8	10.1	11.1	10.9	10.4	9.9	8.0	5.9	4.5	2.6	1.5	0.8	0.3	0.1			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	87.8%	0.7		0.6	0.1	0.0
15-3	67.7%	1.0		0.6	0.4	0.0
14-4	40.7%	1.1		0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0
13-5	14.5%	0.7		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0			0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	4.0%	4.0		2.1	1.2	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		85.7%	21.4%	64.3%	8.9					0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		81.8%
17-1	0.3%		79.1%	44.3%	34.8%	9.7					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		62.4%
16-2	0.8%		53.9%	27.5%	26.4%	10.9								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1				0.4		36.4%
15-3	1.5%		32.1%	23.0%	9.1%	11.5										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0			1.0		11.9%
14-4	2.6%		24.6%	19.4%	5.2%	12.4										0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1			2.0		6.5%
13-5	4.5%		13.0%	11.8%	1.2%	12.7										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	3.9		1.4%
12-6	5.9%		10.6%	10.1%	0.5%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1		5.3		0.5%
11-7	8.0%		5.9%	5.9%	0.0%	13.6													0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	7.5		0.0%
10-8	9.9%		3.0%	3.0%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	9.6
9-9	10.4%		1.6%	1.6%		14.0													0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	10.3
8-10	10.9%		1.1%	1.1%		15.1															0.0	0.1	0.0	10.8
7-11	11.1%		1.1%	1.1%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	10.9
6-12	10.1%		0.2%	0.2%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.1
5-13	8.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.8
4-14	6.5%																							6.5
3-15	4.4%																							4.4
2-16	2.7%																							2.7
1-17	1.3%																							1.3
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		4.2%	3.5%	0.7%	12.6					0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	1.0	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.2	95.8		0.7%