Preseason Rankings
Delaware St.
Mid-Eastern
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-18.6#346
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace81.8#6
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-7.2#331
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-11.3#346
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.7% 1.7% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 2.8% 15.8% 2.7%
.500 or above in Conference 1.0% 3.9% 1.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 1.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 39.7% 30.3% 39.7%
First Four0.7% 1.7% 0.7%
First Round0.2% 1.2% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Wake Forest (Away) - 0.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 10 - 2
Quad 30 - 20 - 4
Quad 43 - 83 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 25, 2020 103   @ Wake Forest L 71-97 1%    
  Dec 17, 2020 175   @ Coastal Carolina L 78-99 3%    
  Dec 20, 2020 63   @ Georgia Tech L 65-96 0.3%   
  Dec 23, 2020 253   @ UNC Wilmington L 72-88 8%    
  Jan 02, 2021 326   Howard L 84-88 37%    
  Jan 09, 2021 323   @ Morgan St. L 77-87 19%    
  Jan 20, 2021 326   @ Howard L 81-91 20%    
  Jan 23, 2021 323   Morgan St. L 80-84 36%    
  Feb 01, 2021 323   @ Morgan St. L 77-87 20%    
  Feb 06, 2021 244   Norfolk St. L 72-82 19%    
  Feb 10, 2021 326   @ Howard L 81-91 21%    
  Feb 15, 2021 244   Norfolk St. L 72-82 20%    
  Feb 24, 2021 326   Howard L 84-88 38%    
  Feb 27, 2021 244   @ Norfolk St. L 69-85 9%    
Projected Record 3 - 11 2 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.8 0.1 2.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.3 1.6 0.3 4.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.3 1.4 3.6 3.2 0.6 0.0 9.1 6th
7th 0.1 0.5 2.2 5.2 4.5 1.1 0.1 13.7 7th
8th 0.6 3.7 7.8 6.5 2.0 0.2 20.6 8th
9th 4.5 10.5 8.7 3.0 0.2 27.0 9th
10th 10.3 7.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 19.9 10th
Total 15.4 21.9 21.2 16.3 11.0 7.2 4.1 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.0 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 72.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 11.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
8-8 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0% 56.8% 56.8% 16.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.3% 18.0% 18.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2
8-8 0.7% 8.9% 8.9% 16.0 0.1 0.6
7-9 1.8% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.1 1.7
6-10 4.1% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.1 4.0
5-11 7.2% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.2 7.1
4-12 11.0% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 10.9
3-13 16.3% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 16.2
2-14 21.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.2
1-15 21.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.9
0-16 15.4% 15.4
Total 100% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 16.0 0.7 99.3 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 11.9%