Preseason Rankings
Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2020-21
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#262
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace65.9#256
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.7#276
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#240
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.3% 29.2% 20.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.9
.500 or above 74.9% 84.8% 62.0%
.500 or above in Conference 89.0% 92.4% 84.7%
Conference Champion 69.7% 75.3% 62.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.1% 0.5%
First Four15.9% 15.9% 15.8%
First Round17.2% 21.3% 12.0%
Second Round0.3% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NC Central (Neutral) - 56.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 3
Quad 31 - 21 - 5
Quad 415 - 615 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 26, 2020 293   NC Central W 68-66 56%    
  Nov 27, 2020 9   @ Iowa L 63-88 1%    
  Dec 10, 2020 1   @ Gonzaga L 62-90 1%    
  Dec 16, 2020 131   @ UAB L 62-73 17%    
  Dec 19, 2020 208   @ UC Riverside L 60-66 31%    
  Dec 21, 2020 271   @ California Baptist L 71-74 41%    
  Jan 02, 2021 237   Texas Southern W 77-75 56%    
  Jan 04, 2021 302   Prairie View W 73-68 68%    
  Jan 09, 2021 316   @ Grambling St. W 69-68 55%    
  Jan 11, 2021 300   @ Jackson St. L 67-68 47%    
  Jan 16, 2021 338   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 70-58 85%    
  Jan 18, 2021 348   Mississippi Valley W 90-71 94%    
  Jan 23, 2021 343   @ Alabama A&M W 70-62 75%    
  Jan 25, 2021 344   @ Alabama St. W 72-63 77%    
  Jan 30, 2021 334   @ Alcorn St. W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 06, 2021 316   Grambling St. W 72-65 73%    
  Feb 08, 2021 300   Jackson St. W 70-65 66%    
  Feb 13, 2021 338   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 67-61 68%    
  Feb 15, 2021 348   @ Mississippi Valley W 87-74 86%    
  Feb 20, 2021 343   Alabama A&M W 73-59 87%    
  Feb 22, 2021 344   Alabama St. W 75-60 88%    
  Feb 27, 2021 334   Alcorn St. W 77-67 81%    
  Mar 04, 2021 302   @ Prairie View L 70-71 48%    
  Mar 06, 2021 237   @ Texas Southern L 74-78 36%    
Projected Record 14 - 10 12 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.1 4.5 7.9 11.4 13.3 12.5 10.5 6.3 2.2 69.7 1st
2nd 0.6 3.6 4.3 3.6 2.5 1.1 0.4 0.1 16.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.9 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 5.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 1.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.9 5th
6th 0.1 0.6 0.8 0.1 1.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1 1.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.6 3.1 4.7 7.1 9.7 11.9 14.0 14.4 12.9 10.6 6.3 2.2 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 2.2    2.2
16-2 100.0% 6.3    6.3 0.0
15-3 99.2% 10.5    10.4 0.1
14-4 97.0% 12.5    12.0 0.6
13-5 92.2% 13.3    12.0 1.2 0.0
12-6 81.2% 11.4    9.6 1.8 0.0
11-7 66.7% 7.9    5.9 1.9 0.2
10-8 46.6% 4.5    1.8 1.9 0.7 0.1
9-9 15.7% 1.1    0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Total 69.7% 69.7 60.1 7.8 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 2.2% 63.1% 63.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.8
16-2 6.3% 53.4% 53.4% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.3 2.9
15-3 10.6% 44.2% 44.2% 15.6 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.2 5.9
14-4 12.9% 35.3% 35.3% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 4.1 8.4
13-5 14.4% 28.8% 28.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 4.0 10.2
12-6 14.0% 21.9% 21.9% 16.0 0.0 3.0 10.9
11-7 11.9% 16.7% 16.7% 16.0 2.0 9.9
10-8 9.7% 12.3% 12.3% 16.0 1.2 8.5
9-9 7.1% 6.8% 6.8% 16.0 0.5 6.6
8-10 4.7% 5.9% 5.9% 16.0 0.3 4.4
7-11 3.1% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.2 2.9
6-12 1.6% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 1.5
5-13 1.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 1.0
4-14 0.4% 0.4
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 25.3% 25.3% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.4 3.7 20.0 74.7 0.0%