IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
TCU
Big 12
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+8.1	#69
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	62.6	#320
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.5	#108

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+5.7	#39

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	1.3%	1.3%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	4.4%	4.4%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	9.5%	9.6%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	26.0%	26.1%	4.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	24.3%	24.4%	3.9%
Average Seed	7.7	7.7	10.0

.500 or above	38.4%	38.6%	8.3%
.500 or above in Conference	23.9%	24.0%	5.7%
Conference Champion	1.4%	1.4%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	24.6%	24.4%	60.4%

First Four	3.3%	3.3%	1.1%
First Round	24.4%	24.5%	2.9%
Second Round	13.9%	14.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	5.6%	5.7%	0.0%
Elite Eight	2.3%	2.3%	0.0%
Final Four	1.0%	1.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.4%	0.4%	0.0%
National Champion	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%

Next Game: Houston Baptist (Home) - 99.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 7	1 - 7
Quad 1b	2 - 3	3 - 11
Quad 2	3 - 3	7 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 1	9 - 15
Quad 4	3 - 0	13 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	339	Houston Baptist	W	92-66	99%
Nov 28, 2020	98	Tulsa	W	64-61	60%
Dec 03, 2020	283	Northwestern St.	W	81-63	95%
Dec 06, 2020	29	Oklahoma	L	68-69	47%
Dec 09, 2020	41	Providence	W	68-67	50%
Dec 12, 2020	78	Texas A&M	W	63-62	53%
Dec 16, 2020	42	@ Oklahoma St.	L	65-70	32%
Dec 22, 2020	165	North Dakota St.	W	72-60	84%
Dec 30, 2020	237	Texas Southern	W	81-65	91%
Jan 02, 2021	89	@ Kansas St.	L	63-64	46%
Jan 05, 2021	4	Kansas	L	63-69	31%
Jan 09, 2021	2	Baylor	L	62-69	27%
Jan 12, 2021	29	@ Oklahoma	L	65-72	29%
Jan 16, 2021	7	@ West Virginia	L	63-74	19%
Jan 20, 2021	14	Texas Tech	L	64-68	38%
Jan 23, 2021	15	Texas	L	62-66	38%
Jan 26, 2021	4	@ Kansas	L	60-72	16%
Jan 30, 2021	66	@ Missouri	L	63-66	38%
Feb 03, 2021	42	Oklahoma St.	W	68-67	52%
Feb 06, 2021	2	@ Baylor	L	59-72	14%
Feb 09, 2021	71	Iowa St.	W	72-69	60%
Feb 13, 2021	15	@ Texas	L	59-69	21%
Feb 17, 2021	14	@ Texas Tech	L	61-71	20%
Feb 20, 2021	89	Kansas St.	W	66-61	66%
Feb 22, 2021	7	West Virginia	L	66-71	35%
Feb 27, 2021	71	@ Iowa St.	L	69-72	41%
Projected Record						12 - 14	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0		1.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	1.1	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0				2.9	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.9	1.8	1.4	0.2	0.0						4.5	3rd
4th									0.2	1.5	2.5	1.5	0.4	0.0							6.2	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.0	3.8	2.0	0.4									8.7	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.1	4.9	2.3	0.3	0.0									11.2	6th
7th					0.1	1.2	4.2	5.5	2.8	0.3	0.0										14.1	7th
8th			0.0	0.4	2.2	5.4	5.7	2.4	0.3	0.0											16.4	8th
9th		0.1	1.1	3.8	6.3	4.8	1.5	0.2	0.0												17.9	9th
10th	1.0	3.0	4.7	4.6	2.7	0.7	0.1	0.0													16.8	10th

Total	1.0	3.2	5.8	8.7	11.3	12.1	12.1	11.7	10.2	8.1	5.8	4.1	2.9	1.5	0.8	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	86.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	83.3%	0.4		0.3	0.1	0.0
14-4	54.8%	0.4		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
13-5	20.6%	0.3		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0
12-6	3.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	1.4%	1.4		0.7	0.5	0.2	0.1		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%							0.0
17-1	0.0%		100.0%	33.3%	66.7%	1.0		0.0																		100.0%
16-2	0.1%		100.0%	18.0%	82.0%	1.8		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
15-3	0.4%		100.0%	14.9%	85.1%	2.2		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0														100.0%
14-4	0.8%		100.0%	20.7%	79.3%	2.9		0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
13-5	1.5%		100.0%	11.8%	88.2%	3.9		0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.0	0.0								100.0%
12-6	2.9%		100.0%	10.8%	89.2%	5.0		0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		100.0%
11-7	4.1%		98.7%	6.2%	92.5%	6.4			0.0	0.2	0.4	0.8	0.8	0.8	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.1		98.6%
10-8	5.8%		89.7%	6.3%	83.4%	7.8				0.1	0.1	0.5	0.8	0.9	1.0	0.7	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0				0.6		89.0%
9-9	8.1%		70.7%	3.6%	67.1%	9.1				0.0	0.0	0.3	0.4	0.6	1.0	1.0	0.8	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0		2.4		69.6%
8-10	10.2%		34.4%	2.3%	32.1%	10.6						0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.8	0.9	0.3	0.1	0.0		6.7		32.9%
7-11	11.7%		10.9%	1.0%	9.9%	11.6							0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0		10.5		10.0%
6-12	12.1%		2.2%	0.7%	1.5%	12.4									0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		11.8		1.5%
5-13	12.1%		0.4%	0.3%	0.1%	13.6											0.0		0.0	0.0		0.0		12.1		0.1%
4-14	11.3%		0.4%	0.4%		15.3													0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	11.3
3-15	8.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	8.7
2-16	5.8%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	5.8
1-17	3.2%																							3.2
0-18	1.0%																							1.0

Total	100%		26.0%	2.2%	23.8%	7.7		0.4	0.9	1.3	1.7	2.5	2.6	2.9	2.9	2.7	2.2	2.4	2.2	0.9	0.2	0.1	0.0	74.0		24.3%