IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Oklahoma
Big 12
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+12.0	#29
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.3	#82
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+6.0	#38

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+6.0	#28

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.7%	0.8%	0.0%
#1 Seed	3.0%	3.2%	0.6%
Top 2 Seed	6.9%	7.4%	1.8%
Top 4 Seed	17.1%	18.2%	5.9%
Top 6 Seed	28.2%	29.8%	10.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid	52.8%	55.0%	29.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	49.6%	51.8%	27.3%
Average Seed	6.4	6.3	7.5

.500 or above	64.3%	66.8%	37.5%
.500 or above in Conference	51.2%	52.7%	35.7%
Conference Champion	6.1%	6.4%	2.3%
Last Place in Conference	8.7%	8.1%	15.7%

First Four	4.7%	4.8%	3.5%
First Round	50.6%	52.7%	28.0%
Second Round	33.4%	35.0%	16.8%
Sweet Sixteen	17.1%	18.0%	7.3%
Elite Eight	8.0%	8.4%	3.0%
Final Four	3.7%	3.9%	1.7%
Championship Game	1.8%	1.9%	0.6%
National Champion	0.8%	0.8%	0.4%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Home) - 91.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 7	2 - 7
Quad 1b	3 - 3	5 - 9
Quad 2	4 - 2	9 - 12
Quad 3	3 - 0	12 - 12
Quad 4	3 - 0	15 - 12

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	153	Texas San Antonio	W	89-75	91%
Nov 28, 2020	111	@ Central Florida	W	75-70	68%
Dec 02, 2020	22	Florida	W	71-70	55%
Dec 06, 2020	69	@ TCU	W	69-68	53%
Dec 09, 2020	58	@ Xavier	L	73-74	49%
Dec 12, 2020	318	Florida A&M	W	86-61	99%
Dec 19, 2020	339	Houston Baptist	W	103-73	99.6%
Dec 22, 2020	14	Texas Tech	W	73-72	51%
Jan 02, 2021	7	West Virginia	L	75-76	48%
Jan 06, 2021	2	@ Baylor	L	67-76	22%
Jan 09, 2021	4	@ Kansas	L	68-76	25%
Jan 12, 2021	69	TCU	W	72-65	71%
Jan 16, 2021	42	@ Oklahoma St.	L	73-75	45%
Jan 19, 2021	89	Kansas St.	W	74-65	77%
Jan 23, 2021	4	Kansas	L	71-73	43%
Jan 26, 2021	15	@ Texas	L	67-73	32%
Jan 30, 2021	32	Alabama	W	85-82	61%
Feb 01, 2021	14	@ Texas Tech	L	69-75	30%
Feb 06, 2021	71	Iowa St.	W	81-74	72%
Feb 10, 2021	2	Baylor	L	70-73	40%
Feb 13, 2021	7	@ West Virginia	L	72-79	29%
Feb 16, 2021	15	Texas	W	71-70	51%
Feb 20, 2021	71	@ Iowa St.	W	78-77	53%
Feb 23, 2021	89	@ Kansas St.	W	71-68	59%
Feb 27, 2021	42	Oklahoma St.	W	76-72	65%
Projected Record						14 - 11	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big 12 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.4	1.0	1.8	1.7	0.8	0.3	0.0		6.1	1st
2nd											0.1	0.8	2.8	2.9	1.5	0.4	0.1				8.6	2nd
3rd										0.2	1.5	3.9	3.4	1.3	0.2	0.0					10.4	3rd
4th								0.0	0.2	2.2	4.9	4.0	1.0	0.1							12.3	4th
5th							0.0	0.4	2.4	5.3	3.3	0.9	0.0								12.4	5th
6th						0.0	0.5	2.8	6.0	3.4	0.6	0.0									13.3	6th
7th					0.0	0.6	3.3	5.5	2.9	0.5	0.0										13.0	7th
8th				0.1	1.0	3.3	4.2	1.9	0.3												10.7	8th
9th		0.0	0.3	1.2	2.9	2.5	1.0	0.2	0.0												8.1	9th
10th	0.1	0.6	1.4	1.7	1.1	0.4	0.0	0.0													5.2	10th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.6	2.9	4.9	6.9	9.1	10.8	11.8	11.5	10.5	9.7	7.6	5.3	3.4	2.1	0.9	0.3	0.0			Total

Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.3		0.3	0.0
16-2	93.7%	0.8		0.7	0.1
15-3	79.6%	1.7		1.2	0.5	0.0
14-4	52.4%	1.8		0.8	0.8	0.2
13-5	19.2%	1.0		0.3	0.4	0.3	0.0
12-6	5.1%	0.4		0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	6.1%	6.1		3.5	2.0	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	92.5%	7.5%	1.3		0.0	0.0																	100.0%
17-1	0.3%		100.0%	52.0%	48.0%	1.3		0.2	0.1	0.0																100.0%
16-2	0.9%		100.0%	39.9%	60.1%	1.5		0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0															100.0%
15-3	2.1%		100.0%	33.2%	66.8%	1.8		1.0	0.7	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0													100.0%
14-4	3.4%		100.0%	24.8%	75.2%	2.5		0.7	1.2	0.9	0.4	0.1	0.0	0.0												100.0%
13-5	5.3%		100.0%	17.4%	82.6%	3.5		0.4	1.0	1.5	1.2	0.8	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
12-6	7.6%		100.0%	13.7%	86.2%	4.7		0.1	0.5	1.4	1.7	1.6	1.1	0.7	0.3	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.0		100.0%
11-7	9.7%		98.3%	9.5%	88.8%	6.1		0.0	0.2	0.7	1.2	1.8	1.9	1.7	1.0	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.2		98.1%
10-8	10.5%		91.3%	4.6%	86.7%	7.6			0.0	0.1	0.4	1.2	1.2	1.7	1.8	1.2	0.9	0.6	0.4	0.0	0.0			0.9		90.9%
9-9	11.5%		70.5%	3.9%	66.7%	9.0				0.0	0.1	0.4	0.7	1.0	1.3	1.2	1.2	1.2	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0		3.4		69.4%
8-10	11.8%		38.5%	2.0%	36.5%	10.6					0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.7	0.9	1.3	0.4	0.1	0.0		7.2		37.2%
7-11	10.8%		11.7%	1.2%	10.5%	11.5								0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	9.6		10.6%
6-12	9.1%		2.6%	1.0%	1.6%	12.8								0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	8.9		1.6%
5-13	6.9%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	14.8												0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	6.8		0.0%
4-14	4.9%		0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	15.7																0.0	0.0	4.9		0.0%
3-15	2.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	2.9
2-16	1.6%																							1.6
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		52.8%	6.4%	46.4%	6.4		3.0	4.0	5.1	5.1	5.8	5.2	5.5	4.7	3.5	3.3	3.0	3.2	1.1	0.3	0.1	0.0	47.2		49.6%