IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Vanderbilt
Southeastern
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+3.2	#120
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	71.0	#114
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+2.2	#118

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+1.1	#138

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Top 6 Seed	1.1%	1.5%	0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid	7.6%	9.7%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	7.0%	9.1%	2.4%
Average Seed	9.1	9.0	10.0

.500 or above	16.8%	21.3%	6.6%
.500 or above in Conference	12.1%	14.4%	6.9%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.5%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	37.3%	32.9%	47.3%

First Four	1.3%	1.6%	0.7%
First Round	6.8%	8.8%	2.2%
Second Round	2.9%	3.7%	1.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.8%	1.1%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Valparaiso (Home) - 69.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 5	0 - 5
Quad 1b	1 - 4	1 - 10
Quad 2	3 - 5	4 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 2	7 - 17
Quad 4	3 - 0	10 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 27, 2020	155	Valparaiso	W	78-72	69%
Dec 01, 2020	34	Connecticut	L	71-79	23%
Dec 08, 2020	65	@ SMU	L	67-76	22%
Dec 11, 2020	293	NC Central	W	78-64	89%
Dec 13, 2020	348	Mississippi Valley	W	99-71	99%
Dec 16, 2020	53	Richmond	L	73-77	38%
Dec 19, 2020	270	Radford	W	76-63	86%
Dec 22, 2020	81	@ Davidson	L	68-75	28%
Dec 30, 2020	22	Florida	L	67-74	26%
Jan 05, 2021	11	@ Kentucky	L	66-81	10%
Jan 09, 2021	72	Mississippi St.	L	72-74	44%
Jan 12, 2021	66	@ Missouri	L	67-75	24%
Jan 16, 2021	20	@ Tennessee	L	63-77	12%
Jan 20, 2021	78	Texas A&M	L	68-69	47%
Jan 23, 2021	46	Arkansas	L	75-79	37%
Jan 27, 2021	22	@ Florida	L	64-77	13%
Jan 30, 2021	59	South Carolina	L	77-80	40%
Feb 03, 2021	78	@ Texas A&M	L	65-72	28%
Feb 06, 2021	94	@ Georgia	L	74-79	32%
Feb 09, 2021	60	Auburn	L	74-77	40%
Feb 13, 2021	72	@ Mississippi St.	L	69-77	27%
Feb 17, 2021	11	Kentucky	L	69-78	23%
Feb 20, 2021	32	@ Alabama	L	77-89	17%
Feb 24, 2021	20	Tennessee	L	66-74	25%
Feb 27, 2021	61	Mississippi	L	72-75	41%
Mar 02, 2021	30	@ LSU	L	74-86	16%
Projected Record						10 - 16	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.7	2nd
3rd											0.1	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0						1.1	3rd
4th										0.0	0.5	0.9	0.2	0.0							1.6	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	1.1	0.6	0.0	0.0							2.2	5th
6th								0.0	0.2	1.3	1.2	0.2									2.9	6th
7th								0.1	1.3	1.7	0.3	0.0									3.4	7th
8th							0.1	1.1	2.6	1.1	0.1	0.0									4.8	8th
9th						0.0	0.8	3.1	2.1	0.2											6.2	9th
10th					0.1	0.6	3.2	3.4	0.6	0.0											7.9	10th
11th				0.1	0.7	3.5	4.8	1.3	0.0												10.4	11th
12th			0.1	1.1	4.1	5.5	2.1	0.2	0.0												13.1	12th
13th		0.4	2.1	5.9	6.7	3.1	0.4	0.0													18.5	13th
14th	2.7	6.6	8.2	6.1	2.6	0.5	0.0														26.7	14th

Total	2.7	7.0	10.4	13.2	14.1	13.2	11.3	9.2	6.8	4.8	3.2	2.1	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
16-2	72.2%	0.0		0.0	0.0
15-3	90.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	42.6%	0.1		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	11.6%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	4.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.4%	0.0				0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%								0.0
17-1	0.0%								0.0		0.0
16-2	0.0%		100.0%	47.2%	52.8%	2.9			0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
15-3	0.1%		100.0%	24.5%	75.5%	3.7		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0												100.0%
14-4	0.3%		100.0%	13.0%	87.0%	5.1		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
13-5	0.6%		98.7%	9.6%	89.1%	6.4			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		98.5%
12-6	1.0%		93.2%	10.0%	83.1%	7.5			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0					0.1		92.4%
11-7	2.1%		78.0%	5.6%	72.4%	9.0					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.5		76.7%
10-8	3.2%		55.6%	1.2%	54.4%	9.8				0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0			1.4		55.1%
9-9	4.8%		32.0%	1.7%	30.3%	10.7						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.4	0.1	0.0			3.3		30.9%
8-10	6.8%		6.4%	0.3%	6.2%	11.4								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0		6.4		6.2%
7-11	9.2%		1.6%	0.5%	1.2%	11.6										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			9.1		1.2%
6-12	11.3%		0.5%	0.3%	0.2%	13.7													0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	11.2		0.2%
5-13	13.2%		0.1%	0.1%		15.0																0.0		13.2
4-14	14.1%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		14.1
3-15	13.2%		0.1%	0.1%		15.9																0.0	0.0	13.1
2-16	10.4%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	10.4
1-17	7.0%																							7.0
0-18	2.7%																							2.7

Total	100%		7.6%	0.6%	7.0%	9.1		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.7	0.9	1.1	1.2	1.2	1.1	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	92.4		7.0%