Maine
America East
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-10.9#322
Expected Predictive Rating-7.5#275
Pace63.9#308
Improvement-0.9#225

Offense
Total Offense-10.2#341
First Shot-8.3#340
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#280
Layup/Dunks-7.9#344
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#45
Freethrows-3.4#334
Improvement-2.3#309

Defense
Total Defense-0.7#186
First Shot-0.9#191
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#155
Layups/Dunks-2.0#243
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#271
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#155
Freethrows+1.7#69
Improvement+1.4#83
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 1.1% 1.6% 0.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.7% 1.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 25.4% 9.2% 64.0%
First Four0.5% 0.6% 0.2%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 70.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 30 - 3
Quad 31 - 51 - 8
Quad 44 - 55 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 19, 2020 216   @ Hartford L 60-63 20%     0 - 1 0 - 1 -5.0 -6.7 +1.4
  Dec 20, 2020 216   @ Hartford L 50-65 20%     0 - 2 0 - 2 -17.0 -15.2 -3.8
  Dec 22, 2020 107   @ Boston College L 62-78 6%     0 - 3 -9.6 -12.2 +3.5
  Jan 02, 2021 211   New Hampshire W 59-56 31%     1 - 3 1 - 2 -2.6 -9.0 +6.7
  Jan 03, 2021 211   New Hampshire L 58-62 31%     1 - 4 1 - 3 -9.6 -6.9 -3.4
  Jan 09, 2021 230   @ NJIT L 54-63 22%     1 - 5 -11.8 -12.7 -0.2
  Jan 10, 2021 230   @ NJIT W 45-41 22%     2 - 5 +1.2 -23.3 +25.0
  Jan 16, 2021 108   @ Vermont L 30-65 6%     2 - 6 1 - 4 -28.6 -38.2 +8.7
  Jan 17, 2021 108   @ Vermont L 60-88 6%     2 - 7 1 - 5 -21.6 -10.0 -11.1
  Jan 24, 2021 336   Binghamton W 67-62 70%    
  Jan 31, 2021 174   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 54-66 11%    
  Feb 06, 2021 215   Albany L 59-64 35%    
  Feb 07, 2021 215   Albany L 59-64 35%    
  Feb 18, 2021 241   @ Umass Lowell L 61-69 21%    
  Feb 19, 2021 241   @ Umass Lowell L 61-69 20%    
  Feb 27, 2021 257   Stony Brook L 61-64 43%    
  Feb 28, 2021 257   Stony Brook L 61-64 42%    
Projected Record 5 - 12 4 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.4 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 0.2 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.7 1.4 2.0 5th
6th 0.8 4.4 0.4 5.5 6th
7th 0.1 2.0 7.8 3.2 0.0 13.1 7th
8th 9.7 22.5 23.4 9.4 0.2 65.2 8th
9th 4.3 5.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 12.4 9th
Total 4.3 15.6 24.6 25.6 18.0 8.5 2.9 0.6 0.1 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.1% 0.1
8-8 0.6% 5.6% 5.6% 16.0 0.0 0.6
7-9 2.9% 2.8% 2.8% 16.0 0.1 2.8
6-10 8.5% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 8.3
5-11 18.0% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 17.9
4-12 25.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 25.5
3-13 24.6% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 24.5
2-14 15.6% 15.6
1-15 4.3% 4.3
0-16
Total 100% 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.5 99.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.3%