NJIT
Atlantic Sun
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#242
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#223
Pace68.9#208
Improvement-2.1#280

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#263
First Shot-4.2#285
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#135
Layup/Dunks+0.0#171
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#315
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#253
Freethrows+1.2#104
Improvement-1.7#277

Defense
Total Defense-1.6#221
First Shot+1.0#143
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#320
Layups/Dunks-4.4#302
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#224
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#47
Freethrows+2.1#59
Improvement-0.5#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.6% 3.9% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.7 16.0
.500 or above 33.9% 44.2% 15.9%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
First Four2.3% 2.2% 2.4%
First Round2.2% 2.5% 1.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stony Brook (Home) - 63.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 0
Quad 21 - 11 - 2
Quad 32 - 53 - 7
Quad 46 - 49 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Dec 19, 2020 130   @ Temple L 60-72 18%     0 - 1 -7.6 -9.7 +2.3
  Dec 23, 2020 280   @ Rider W 81-66 52%     1 - 1 +9.4 +3.3 +6.1
  Dec 27, 2020 107   @ Vermont L 78-92 14%     1 - 2 -7.7 +2.3 -8.8
  Dec 28, 2020 107   @ Vermont W 81-80 2OT 14%     2 - 2 +7.3 +7.2 +0.1
  Jan 02, 2021 243   @ Umass Lowell W 73-67 43%     3 - 2 +2.7 -4.7 +7.2
  Jan 03, 2021 243   @ Umass Lowell L 60-74 43%     3 - 3 -17.3 -12.4 -5.5
  Jan 09, 2021 318   Maine W 63-54 77%     4 - 3 -3.9 -3.6 +0.9
  Jan 10, 2021 318   Maine L 41-45 77%     4 - 4 -16.9 -28.8 +11.5
  Jan 16, 2021 208   @ Albany L 75-83 37%     4 - 5 -9.6 -5.9 -2.8
  Jan 17, 2021 208   @ Albany L 71-83 37%     4 - 6 -13.6 -3.6 -9.7
  Jan 23, 2021 253   Stony Brook W 69-67 64%    
  Jan 24, 2021 253   Stony Brook W 69-67 63%    
  Jan 30, 2021 221   @ Hartford L 64-67 38%    
  Jan 31, 2021 221   @ Hartford L 64-67 33%    
  Feb 18, 2021 172   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-68 45%    
  Feb 19, 2021 172   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-68 44%    
  Feb 27, 2021 337   @ Binghamton W 74-67 68%    
  Feb 28, 2021 337   @ Binghamton W 74-67 71%    
Projected Record 8 - 10 0 - 0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 23.5 23.5 9th
10th 76.5 76.5 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16 100.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.8 0.1 0.5 3.0 96.4
Total 100% 3.6% 3.6% 0.0% 15.8 0.1 0.5 3.0 96.4 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 38.7% 14.4 22.6 16.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 0.5%