Hartford
America East
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.0#221
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#185
Pace67.2#243
Improvement+0.7#127

Offense
Total Offense-4.2#282
First Shot-2.3#232
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#280
Layup/Dunks-1.1#218
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#277
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#89
Freethrows-1.5#262
Improvement-0.2#191

Defense
Total Defense+0.3#159
First Shot+0.5#162
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#191
Layups/Dunks-7.0#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#84
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#52
Freethrows+2.6#32
Improvement+0.9#115
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 6.8% 7.8% 5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.5 15.8
.500 or above 92.8% 98.0% 84.1%
.500 or above in Conference 70.7% 71.7% 69.1%
Conference Champion 2.6% 3.0% 2.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four2.7% 2.6% 2.9%
First Round5.6% 6.7% 3.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 62.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 00 - 2
Quad 32 - 42 - 7
Quad 411 - 313 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 27, 2020 26   @ Connecticut L 57-69 5%     0 - 1 +3.0 -2.7 +4.7
  Dec 01, 2020 5   Villanova L 53-87 3%     0 - 2 -16.3 -8.4 -11.9
  Dec 02, 2020 313   @ Fairfield W 66-61 66%     1 - 2 -3.3 -10.4 +7.0
  Dec 04, 2020 334   Central Connecticut St. W 80-65 86%     2 - 2 -0.4 -5.9 +4.6
  Dec 07, 2020 313   Fairfield W 67-54 78%     3 - 2 +1.0 -4.3 +6.3
  Dec 19, 2020 318   Maine W 63-60 80%     4 - 2 1 - 0 -9.9 -6.3 -3.3
  Dec 20, 2020 318   Maine W 65-50 80%     5 - 2 2 - 0 +2.1 -1.2 +5.2
  Dec 27, 2020 227   @ New Hampshire L 69-77 44%     5 - 3 2 - 1 -10.3 -6.1 -4.0
  Dec 28, 2020 227   @ New Hampshire L 51-53 44%     5 - 4 2 - 2 -4.3 -19.0 +14.5
  Jan 02, 2021 337   Binghamton W 76-56 86%     6 - 4 3 - 2 +4.5 -2.5 +8.4
  Jan 03, 2021 337   Binghamton W 77-74 86%     7 - 4 4 - 2 -12.5 +4.2 -16.3
  Jan 09, 2021 243   @ Umass Lowell L 62-71 47%     7 - 5 4 - 3 -12.3 -11.9 -0.6
  Jan 10, 2021 243   @ Umass Lowell W 75-58 47%     8 - 5 5 - 3 +13.7 +2.3 +11.9
  Jan 16, 2021 172   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. W 70-63 32%     9 - 5 6 - 3 +7.9 -0.3 +8.1
  Jan 17, 2021 172   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 49-57 32%     9 - 6 6 - 4 -7.1 -15.3 +7.4
  Jan 30, 2021 242   NJIT W 67-64 62%    
  Jan 31, 2021 242   NJIT W 67-64 67%    
  Feb 18, 2021 253   @ Stony Brook L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 19, 2021 253   @ Stony Brook L 66-67 45%    
  Feb 27, 2021 208   Albany W 67-66 61%    
  Feb 28, 2021 208   Albany W 67-66 59%    
Projected Record 12 - 9 8 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.2 2.4 2.6 1st
2nd 0.9 9.6 5.9 16.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 8.8 14.4 0.9 24.2 3rd
4th 2.3 17.3 1.9 21.5 4th
5th 0.1 9.1 7.9 0.0 17.1 5th
6th 2.5 9.6 0.5 12.6 6th
7th 3.9 1.6 5.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 6.6 22.7 35.5 26.1 9.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 26.2% 2.4    0.3 0.7 1.1 0.3
9-7 0.7% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.6% 2.6 0.3 0.7 1.2 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 9.2% 12.8% 12.8% 14.9 0.4 0.6 0.3 8.0
9-7 26.1% 9.1% 9.1% 15.6 0.2 0.6 1.6 23.7
8-8 35.5% 6.8% 6.8% 15.8 0.5 1.9 33.1
7-9 22.7% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.0 0.7 22.0
6-10 6.6% 2.0% 2.0% 16.0 0.1 6.4
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 15.6 0.5 1.7 4.7 93.2 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.7% 100.0% 14.5 49.2 50.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.2%
Lose Out 0.8%