Pre-tourney Rankings
Appalachian St.
Sun Belt
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.4#159
Expected Predictive Rating+0.5#163
Pace62.4#327
Improvement+0.9#143

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#202
First Shot-1.0#212
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#188
Layup/Dunks-3.8#317
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#114
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#92
Freethrows-0.6#231
Improvement+0.7#147

Defense
Total Defense+1.5#130
First Shot+0.4#165
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#79
Layups/Dunks-0.1#193
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#316
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#167
Freethrows+2.1#44
Improvement+0.2#174
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 37 - 57 - 11
Quad 49 - 316 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 104   @ Iona L 53-65 26%     0 - 1 -4.8 -12.6 +7.0
  Nov 12, 2021 194   East Tennessee St. W 69-67 66%     1 - 1 -1.8 -1.6 +0.1
  Nov 18, 2021 189   Charlotte L 66-67 64%     1 - 2 -4.4 -5.6 +1.2
  Nov 22, 2021 147   Delaware L 68-75 47%     1 - 3 -5.8 +1.1 -7.7
  Nov 23, 2021 128   Akron W 57-45 42%     2 - 3 +14.5 -13.1 +28.1
  Nov 24, 2021 68   Vermont L 63-65 22%     2 - 4 +6.3 +5.1 +0.8
  Nov 29, 2021 281   Hartford W 69-59 82%     3 - 4 +0.8 -7.9 +9.1
  Dec 10, 2021 88   @ Furman L 65-73 22%     3 - 5 +0.5 -2.6 +2.6
  Dec 16, 2021 13   @ Duke L 67-92 5%     3 - 6 -6.3 +3.6 -11.2
  Dec 21, 2021 28   @ North Carolina L 50-70 11%     3 - 7 -6.0 -15.6 +9.0
  Dec 30, 2021 188   Louisiana L 55-71 64%     3 - 8 0 - 1 -19.4 -16.0 -4.3
  Jan 01, 2022 270   Louisiana Monroe W 77-69 79%     4 - 8 1 - 1 -0.3 +3.8 -3.6
  Jan 06, 2022 152   @ South Alabama W 72-64 39%     5 - 8 2 - 1 +11.1 +3.4 +8.0
  Jan 08, 2022 193   @ Troy L 53-68 48%     5 - 9 2 - 2 -14.2 -9.4 -7.0
  Jan 13, 2022 163   Coastal Carolina W 61-60 59%     6 - 9 3 - 2 -1.1 -4.3 +3.4
  Jan 15, 2022 163   @ Coastal Carolina W 84-76 OT 42%     7 - 9 4 - 2 +10.4 +15.2 -4.5
  Jan 20, 2022 146   @ Georgia St. W 61-60 38%     8 - 9 5 - 2 +4.4 -2.9 +7.4
  Jan 22, 2022 258   @ Georgia Southern W 70-62 63%     9 - 9 6 - 2 +4.9 +11.2 -4.8
  Jan 27, 2022 191   Arkansas St. W 61-54 65%     10 - 9 7 - 2 +3.4 -8.5 +12.3
  Jan 29, 2022 317   Arkansas Little Rock W 72-57 88%     11 - 9 8 - 2 +2.8 +3.6 +1.6
  Feb 03, 2022 144   @ Texas St. L 66-68 38%     11 - 10 8 - 3 +1.6 +4.3 -3.0
  Feb 05, 2022 227   @ Texas Arlington W 70-61 56%     12 - 10 9 - 3 +7.9 -1.2 +9.1
  Feb 10, 2022 258   Georgia Southern W 65-61 77%     13 - 10 10 - 3 -3.6 -2.8 -0.4
  Feb 12, 2022 146   Georgia St. L 49-58 55%     13 - 11 10 - 4 -10.0 -19.7 +9.2
  Feb 17, 2022 193   Troy L 61-67 65%     13 - 12 10 - 5 -9.7 -6.5 -3.6
  Feb 19, 2022 152   South Alabama W 69-51 56%     14 - 12 11 - 5 +16.7 +5.6 +13.6
  Feb 23, 2022 317   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 78-66 78%     15 - 12 12 - 5 +4.2 -1.1 +5.1
  Feb 25, 2022 191   @ Arkansas St. L 60-62 48%     15 - 13 12 - 6 -1.2 -7.1 +5.8
  Mar 05, 2022 258   Georgia Southern W 73-60 71%     16 - 13 +7.6 +1.8 +6.2
  Mar 06, 2022 146   Georgia St. L 66-71 47%     16 - 14 -3.8 +1.6 -5.8
Projected Record 16 - 14 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0    100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%