Pre-tourney Rankings
Baylor
Big 12
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.8#6
Expected Predictive Rating+18.7#4
Pace69.0#152
Improvement-5.0#330

Offense
Total Offense+10.3#8
First Shot+7.0#17
After Offensive Rebound+3.3#7
Layup/Dunks+2.3#88
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#33
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#69
Freethrows-1.5#300
Improvement-2.2#285

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#18
First Shot+4.8#39
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#11
Layups/Dunks+6.8#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.8#355
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#70
Freethrows+1.2#90
Improvement-2.8#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 7.9% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 49.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 97.2% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round95.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen70.8% n/a n/a
Elite Eight44.6% n/a n/a
Final Four23.7% n/a n/a
Championship Game11.7% n/a n/a
National Champion5.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 1 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 44 - 4
Quad 1b6 - 110 - 5
Quad 28 - 118 - 6
Quad 32 - 020 - 6
Quad 46 - 026 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 353   Incarnate Word W 87-60 99.6%    1 - 0 +8.8 +2.4 +6.1
  Nov 15, 2021 224   Nicholls St. W 89-60 97%     2 - 0 +23.6 +4.8 +16.0
  Nov 17, 2021 316   Central Arkansas W 92-47 99%     3 - 0 +32.9 -4.1 +29.6
  Nov 20, 2021 97   Stanford W 86-48 90%     4 - 0 +41.4 +21.7 +22.4
  Nov 24, 2021 83   Arizona St. W 75-63 85%     5 - 0 +18.9 +11.3 +7.9
  Nov 25, 2021 66   Virginia Commonwealth W 69-61 81%     6 - 0 +16.5 +6.4 +10.1
  Nov 26, 2021 32   Michigan St. W 75-58 73%     7 - 0 +28.5 +14.8 +15.4
  Dec 04, 2021 354   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 99-54 99.7%    8 - 0 +26.2 +10.5 +14.5
  Dec 12, 2021 12   Villanova W 57-36 63%     9 - 0 +35.4 -0.9 +39.8
  Dec 18, 2021 70   @ Oregon W 78-70 76%     10 - 0 +18.4 +19.4 +0.0
  Dec 20, 2021 283   Alcorn St. W 94-57 99%     11 - 0 +27.4 +16.6 +10.5
  Dec 28, 2021 339   Northwestern St. W 104-68 99%     12 - 0 +21.9 +8.5 +8.8
  Jan 01, 2022 55   @ Iowa St. W 77-72 72%     13 - 0 1 - 0 +16.6 +10.5 +5.9
  Jan 04, 2022 29   Oklahoma W 84-74 78%     14 - 0 2 - 0 +19.6 +13.6 +5.7
  Jan 08, 2022 39   @ TCU W 76-64 68%     15 - 0 3 - 0 +25.0 +16.1 +9.7
  Jan 11, 2022 9   Texas Tech L 62-65 60%     15 - 1 3 - 1 +12.1 +7.5 +4.3
  Jan 15, 2022 36   Oklahoma St. L 54-61 80%     15 - 2 3 - 2 +1.7 -5.2 +6.4
  Jan 18, 2022 69   @ West Virginia W 77-68 76%     16 - 2 4 - 2 +19.5 +11.9 +7.9
  Jan 22, 2022 29   @ Oklahoma W 65-51 65%     17 - 2 5 - 2 +28.0 +3.0 +25.7
  Jan 25, 2022 62   Kansas St. W 74-49 85%     18 - 2 6 - 2 +31.6 +13.8 +21.0
  Jan 29, 2022 23   @ Alabama L 78-87 63%     18 - 3 +5.5 +10.2 -4.8
  Jan 31, 2022 69   West Virginia W 81-77 86%     19 - 3 7 - 2 +10.0 +13.2 -3.1
  Feb 05, 2022 4   @ Kansas L 59-83 40%     19 - 4 7 - 3 -3.7 -10.3 +8.3
  Feb 09, 2022 62   @ Kansas St. W 75-60 74%     20 - 4 8 - 3 +26.0 +9.6 +16.9
  Feb 12, 2022 18   Texas W 80-63 72%     21 - 4 9 - 3 +28.7 +19.5 +10.4
  Feb 16, 2022 9   @ Texas Tech L 73-83 43%     21 - 5 9 - 4 +9.6 +15.0 -5.6
  Feb 19, 2022 39   TCU W 72-62 81%     22 - 5 10 - 4 +18.6 +6.3 +12.5
  Feb 21, 2022 36   @ Oklahoma St. W 66-64 OT 67%     23 - 5 11 - 4 +15.2 +3.0 +12.1
  Feb 26, 2022 4   Kansas W 80-70 57%     24 - 5 12 - 4 +25.9 +14.1 +11.9
  Feb 28, 2022 18   @ Texas W 68-61 56%     25 - 5 13 - 4 +23.2 +10.1 +13.7
  Mar 05, 2022 55   Iowa St. W 75-68 84%     26 - 5 14 - 4 +14.2 +15.0 -0.3
  Mar 10, 2022 29   Oklahoma L 67-72 72%     26 - 6 +6.8 +3.2 +3.3
Projected Record 26 - 6 14 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.5 49.3 47.9 2.8 0.0 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 1.5 49.3 47.9 2.8 0.0 100.0%