Pre-tourney Rankings
Incarnate Word
Southland
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-15.9#353
Expected Predictive Rating-15.7#347
Pace64.0#297
Improvement-0.7#206

Offense
Total Offense-6.1#329
First Shot-3.2#268
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#343
Layup/Dunks-6.2#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#74
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#134
Freethrows-0.1#184
Improvement+0.6#154

Defense
Total Defense-9.8#356
First Shot-7.5#350
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#339
Layups/Dunks-4.4#327
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#123
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#344
Freethrows+0.9#106
Improvement-1.4#258
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 4
Quad 20 - 10 - 5
Quad 30 - 50 - 10
Quad 45 - 145 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 144   Texas St. L 57-75 9%     0 - 1 -18.9 -8.9 -12.3
  Nov 12, 2021 6   @ Baylor L 60-87 0.4%    0 - 2 -7.0 -4.8 -1.9
  Nov 20, 2021 9   Texas Tech L 62-84 1%     0 - 3 -4.6 +5.4 -11.2
  Nov 26, 2021 245   Southeast Missouri St. L 76-79 20%     0 - 4 -9.9 -3.4 -6.5
  Nov 27, 2021 140   Montana St. L 64-83 8%     0 - 5 -19.3 -5.9 -14.2
  Nov 28, 2021 169   Portland L 68-77 11%     0 - 6 -11.5 -8.3 -3.0
  Dec 04, 2021 132   @ Abilene Christian L 65-98 4%     0 - 7 -28.5 -8.1 -18.5
  Dec 11, 2021 318   Grambling St. W 72-62 36%     1 - 7 -2.2 -8.3 +5.6
  Dec 16, 2021 207   @ Rice L 55-85 8%     1 - 8 -30.0 -24.3 -4.2
  Dec 20, 2021 14   @ Purdue L 59-79 0.5%    1 - 9 -1.6 -3.1 -0.4
  Dec 28, 2021 18   @ Texas L 33-78 1%     1 - 10 -28.8 -27.0 -7.1
  Jan 06, 2022 224   Nicholls St. L 56-87 12%     1 - 11 0 - 1 -34.1 -18.6 -15.4
  Jan 07, 2022 339   Northwestern St. L 80-83 35%     1 - 12 0 - 2 -14.9 -0.8 -14.1
  Jan 08, 2022 342   Houston Baptist W 60-50 37%     2 - 12 1 - 2 -2.4 -11.4 +10.5
  Jan 15, 2022 259   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 64-80 12%     2 - 13 1 - 3 -19.4 -8.5 -10.8
  Jan 20, 2022 342   Houston Baptist L 65-68 45%     2 - 14 1 - 4 -17.6 -12.9 -4.9
  Jan 22, 2022 326   McNeese St. L 72-82 38%     2 - 15 1 - 5 -22.7 -6.0 -17.0
  Jan 27, 2022 339   @ Northwestern St. L 70-79 27%     2 - 16 1 - 6 -18.7 -5.5 -13.7
  Jan 29, 2022 286   @ SE Louisiana L 68-78 16%     2 - 17 1 - 7 -15.2 -10.6 -4.6
  Feb 03, 2022 224   Nicholls St. L 60-63 16%     2 - 18 1 - 8 -8.4 -12.6 +4.1
  Feb 05, 2022 274   New Orleans W 78-70 24%     3 - 18 2 - 8 -0.7 +3.6 -4.1
  Feb 10, 2022 224   @ Nicholls St. L 58-69 9%     3 - 19 2 - 9 -11.9 -9.2 -3.9
  Feb 12, 2022 274   @ New Orleans L 57-84 14%     3 - 20 2 - 10 -31.3 -16.8 -14.5
  Feb 17, 2022 339   Northwestern St. L 64-88 43%     3 - 21 2 - 11 -38.1 -13.8 -25.8
  Feb 19, 2022 286   SE Louisiana W 92-84 27%     4 - 21 3 - 11 -1.7 +7.9 -9.9
  Feb 24, 2022 342   @ Houston Baptist L 68-82 29%     4 - 22 3 - 12 -24.2 -12.1 -12.0
  Feb 26, 2022 326   @ McNeese St. W 69-67 23%     5 - 22 4 - 12 -6.3 -3.7 -2.4
  Mar 05, 2022 259   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 68-77 22%     5 - 23 4 - 13 -16.9 +1.6 -19.5
  Mar 09, 2022 342   Houston Baptist L 64-74 37%     5 - 24 -22.4 -9.6 -13.9
Projected Record 5 - 24 4 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southland Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10 100.0% 100.0
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%