Pre-tourney Rankings
Louisiana
Sun Belt
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.2#188
Expected Predictive Rating-2.2#209
Pace73.5#56
Improvement+1.8#106

Offense
Total Offense-0.6#191
First Shot-3.7#286
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#13
Layup/Dunks-1.3#228
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#228
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#220
Freethrows-0.4#214
Improvement+4.3#19

Defense
Total Defense-0.5#193
First Shot+0.9#147
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#299
Layups/Dunks+2.0#101
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#181
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#121
Freethrows-2.7#331
Improvement-2.5#299
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 2
Quad 20 - 20 - 4
Quad 34 - 74 - 11
Quad 410 - 414 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 335   @ Southern Miss W 66-45 78%     1 - 0 +11.8 -17.7 +27.6
  Nov 21, 2021 33   @ Indiana L 44-76 9%     1 - 1 -18.4 -23.2 +7.1
  Nov 23, 2021 232   @ Marshall L 79-93 51%     1 - 2 -15.4 -8.9 -4.1
  Nov 27, 2021 292   Jackson St. L 70-75 80%     1 - 3 -15.1 -8.3 -6.4
  Dec 03, 2021 274   New Orleans W 80-67 77%     2 - 3 +4.3 -4.7 +7.6
  Dec 08, 2021 326   McNeese St. W 83-68 86%     3 - 3 +2.3 -1.6 +3.2
  Dec 11, 2021 102   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-78 21%     3 - 4 -1.7 -1.6 +0.2
  Dec 14, 2021 5   @ Houston L 56-71 3%     3 - 5 +5.3 -4.5 +9.0
  Dec 30, 2021 159   @ Appalachian St. W 71-55 36%     4 - 5 1 - 0 +18.6 +5.2 +14.4
  Jan 01, 2022 163   @ Coastal Carolina W 65-64 37%     5 - 5 2 - 0 +3.4 -4.3 +7.7
  Jan 06, 2022 191   Arkansas St. W 83-77 OT 59%     6 - 5 3 - 0 +2.4 +2.1 -0.3
  Jan 13, 2022 227   @ Texas Arlington L 73-83 50%     6 - 6 3 - 1 -11.1 +5.5 -17.1
  Jan 15, 2022 144   @ Texas St. L 68-72 32%     6 - 7 3 - 2 -0.4 -2.7 +2.2
  Jan 20, 2022 152   South Alabama L 70-77 51%     6 - 8 3 - 3 -8.3 -0.9 -7.7
  Jan 22, 2022 193   Troy W 69-59 60%     7 - 8 4 - 3 +6.3 -2.8 +9.2
  Jan 27, 2022 146   Georgia St. L 64-68 49%     7 - 9 4 - 4 -5.0 -4.6 -0.6
  Jan 29, 2022 258   Georgia Southern L 65-66 73%     7 - 10 4 - 5 -8.6 -9.3 +0.7
  Feb 03, 2022 317   @ Arkansas Little Rock W 75-51 74%     8 - 10 5 - 5 +16.2 -3.8 +19.7
  Feb 05, 2022 191   @ Arkansas St. L 58-67 42%     8 - 11 5 - 6 -8.2 -11.3 +2.9
  Feb 10, 2022 144   Texas St. L 73-82 49%     8 - 12 5 - 7 -9.9 +0.1 -10.0
  Feb 12, 2022 227   Texas Arlington L 77-80 OT 66%     8 - 13 5 - 8 -8.5 -2.6 -5.7
  Feb 17, 2022 270   @ Louisiana Monroe W 78-77 61%     9 - 13 6 - 8 -2.9 +3.7 -6.6
  Feb 19, 2022 270   Louisiana Monroe W 79-74 75%     10 - 13 7 - 8 -3.3 -2.8 -0.7
  Feb 23, 2022 258   @ Georgia Southern W 82-69 58%     11 - 13 8 - 8 +9.9 +14.0 -3.5
  Feb 25, 2022 146   @ Georgia St. L 58-65 33%     11 - 14 8 - 9 -3.6 -5.2 +0.9
  Mar 03, 2022 227   Texas Arlington W 67-64 58%     12 - 14 -0.3 -4.2 +4.0
  Mar 05, 2022 144   Texas St. W 79-72 40%     13 - 14 +8.4 +4.8 +3.4
  Mar 06, 2022 193   Troy W 66-57 51%     14 - 14 +7.5 -3.0 +10.8
  Mar 07, 2022 146   Georgia St. L 71-80 41%     14 - 15 -7.8 +8.2 -16.9
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%