Pre-tourney Rankings
North Florida
Atlantic Sun
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#266
Expected Predictive Rating-6.3#268
Pace69.8#117
Improvement+4.4#40

Offense
Total Offense-4.0#281
First Shot-2.5#257
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#291
Layup/Dunks-2.2#266
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#60
Freethrows-0.4#209
Improvement+0.0#190

Defense
Total Defense-2.0#237
First Shot+1.3#130
After Offensive Rebounds-3.4#358
Layups/Dunks-3.7#308
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#191
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#13
Freethrows+0.1#182
Improvement+4.4#14
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 50 - 10
Quad 33 - 23 - 12
Quad 45 - 88 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 9   @ Texas Tech L 74-89 2%     0 - 1 +4.6 +12.8 -7.8
  Nov 10, 2021 42   @ Texas A&M L 46-64 5%     0 - 2 -5.2 -20.0 +14.9
  Nov 12, 2021 103   @ Grand Canyon L 51-65 11%     0 - 3 -6.8 -9.7 +1.0
  Nov 15, 2021 83   @ Arizona St. L 63-72 9%     0 - 4 +0.1 +1.2 -1.4
  Nov 17, 2021 8   @ UCLA L 63-98 2%     0 - 5 -15.4 -3.6 -10.2
  Nov 26, 2021 3   @ Kentucky L 52-86 1%     0 - 6 -13.0 -18.6 +9.3
  Nov 28, 2021 264   @ Florida International L 69-84 41%     0 - 7 -18.7 -2.2 -17.1
  Dec 05, 2021 126   @ Florida Atlantic L 41-76 15%     0 - 8 -30.1 -28.4 -3.1
  Dec 08, 2021 47   @ Florida L 55-85 6%     0 - 9 -17.8 -18.5 +3.7
  Dec 11, 2021 296   Austin Peay W 91-84 66%     1 - 9 -3.2 +15.9 -19.1
  Jan 05, 2022 205   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 67-74 28%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -6.9 -4.1 -3.2
  Jan 08, 2022 294   Stetson L 66-68 OT 66%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -12.1 -10.9 -1.3
  Jan 11, 2022 136   @ Liberty L 56-71 17%     1 - 12 0 - 3 -10.7 -14.9 +4.2
  Jan 15, 2022 184   Jacksonville L 51-54 39%     1 - 13 0 - 4 -6.2 -12.8 +6.0
  Jan 17, 2022 230   Kennesaw St. L 60-62 49%     1 - 14 0 - 5 -7.7 -15.4 +7.6
  Jan 20, 2022 106   @ Florida St. L 73-86 12%     1 - 15 -6.0 +2.4 -8.1
  Jan 22, 2022 262   @ Eastern Kentucky L 58-67 41%     1 - 16 0 - 6 -12.6 -18.1 +5.5
  Jan 27, 2022 316   Central Arkansas W 93-74 72%     2 - 16 1 - 6 +6.9 +5.5 +0.0
  Jan 29, 2022 268   Lipscomb L 74-77 59%     2 - 17 1 - 7 -11.3 -6.1 -5.2
  Feb 03, 2022 153   @ Jacksonville St. W 88-76 20%     3 - 17 2 - 7 +15.0 +17.6 -2.3
  Feb 05, 2022 320   @ North Alabama W 71-58 57%     4 - 17 3 - 7 +5.1 +2.0 +3.9
  Feb 09, 2022 198   Bellarmine L 70-73 42%     4 - 18 3 - 8 -7.0 -1.5 -5.9
  Feb 12, 2022 230   @ Kennesaw St. W 74-72 32%     5 - 18 4 - 8 +0.7 -0.4 +1.2
  Feb 15, 2022 136   Liberty W 72-69 29%     6 - 18 5 - 8 +2.8 +7.8 -4.5
  Feb 19, 2022 205   Florida Gulf Coast W 70-64 44%     7 - 18 6 - 8 +1.6 -10.7 +12.0
  Feb 23, 2022 184   @ Jacksonville L 39-71 24%     7 - 19 6 - 9 -30.8 -21.8 -17.3
  Feb 26, 2022 294   @ Stetson W 74-69 OT 49%     8 - 19 7 - 9 -0.7 -15.2 +13.6
  Mar 01, 2022 268   @ Lipscomb L 65-74 42%     8 - 20 -12.9 -8.2 -5.1
Projected Record 8 - 20 7 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Sun Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Sun Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9 100.0% 100.0
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%