Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas Arlington
Sun Belt
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-3.3#227
Expected Predictive Rating-4.3#234
Pace64.6#271
Improvement+1.0#138

Offense
Total Offense-3.8#275
First Shot-4.3#298
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#125
Layup/Dunks-3.8#318
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.8#15
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#329
Freethrows-0.2#194
Improvement+0.7#149

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#160
First Shot+1.5#124
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#282
Layups/Dunks+5.1#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#275
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#263
Freethrows-0.6#240
Improvement+0.4#166
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 5
Quad 20 - 10 - 6
Quad 35 - 65 - 12
Quad 44 - 69 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 36   @ Oklahoma St. L 45-88 7%     0 - 1 -29.8 -17.6 -11.1
  Nov 16, 2021 132   Abilene Christian L 71-80 OT 37%     0 - 2 -8.9 -10.5 +2.8
  Nov 18, 2021 72   @ North Texas L 36-64 11%     0 - 3 -17.6 -24.3 +3.3
  Nov 20, 2021 26   @ San Diego St. L 62-68 6%     0 - 4 +8.3 +4.0 +4.0
  Nov 27, 2021 58   @ Utah St. L 61-80 9%     0 - 5 -7.6 -5.5 -2.2
  Nov 29, 2021 130   @ UC Santa Barbara W 70-62 23%     1 - 5 +12.6 -1.8 +14.4
  Dec 11, 2021 347   Lamar W 56-47 87%     2 - 5 -6.7 -19.7 +13.6
  Dec 16, 2021 160   @ Oral Roberts L 62-71 29%     2 - 6 -6.5 -11.4 +4.6
  Dec 19, 2021 29   @ Oklahoma L 50-70 6%     2 - 7 -6.0 -12.8 +5.8
  Dec 30, 2021 152   South Alabama W 89-87 OT 42%     3 - 7 1 - 0 +0.7 +9.7 -9.2
  Jan 01, 2022 193   Troy W 62-57 51%     4 - 7 2 - 0 +1.3 -6.6 +8.2
  Jan 06, 2022 146   @ Georgia St. W 70-63 26%     5 - 7 3 - 0 +10.4 +3.6 +7.1
  Jan 08, 2022 258   @ Georgia Southern L 73-74 OT 49%     5 - 8 3 - 1 -4.1 -1.8 -2.3
  Jan 13, 2022 188   Louisiana W 83-73 50%     6 - 8 4 - 1 +6.6 +12.8 -5.6
  Jan 15, 2022 270   Louisiana Monroe L 55-62 OT 69%     6 - 9 4 - 2 -15.3 -19.7 +3.9
  Jan 20, 2022 191   @ Arkansas St. L 70-75 34%     6 - 10 4 - 3 -4.2 +1.2 -5.5
  Jan 22, 2022 317   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 96-98 3OT 67%     6 - 11 4 - 4 -9.8 +0.3 -9.7
  Jan 27, 2022 144   Texas St. W 70-58 41%     7 - 11 5 - 4 +11.1 +4.5 +8.0
  Jan 29, 2022 144   @ Texas St. L 53-58 25%     7 - 12 5 - 5 -1.4 -9.5 +7.2
  Feb 05, 2022 159   Appalachian St. L 61-70 44%     7 - 13 5 - 6 -10.9 -11.4 +0.5
  Feb 10, 2022 270   @ Louisiana Monroe L 71-74 52%     7 - 14 5 - 7 -6.9 +2.6 -9.8
  Feb 12, 2022 188   @ Louisiana W 80-77 OT 34%     8 - 14 6 - 7 +4.1 +1.4 +2.4
  Feb 17, 2022 317   Arkansas Little Rock W 85-70 80%     9 - 14 7 - 7 +2.8 +11.2 -7.3
  Feb 19, 2022 191   Arkansas St. L 49-58 51%     9 - 15 7 - 8 -12.6 -20.5 +7.4
  Feb 23, 2022 193   @ Troy L 53-59 35%     9 - 16 7 - 9 -5.2 -12.2 +6.5
  Feb 25, 2022 152   @ South Alabama L 52-62 27%     9 - 17 7 - 10 -6.9 -9.7 +1.0
  Mar 03, 2022 188   Louisiana L 64-67 42%     9 - 18 -4.2 -8.3 +4.1
Projected Record 9 - 18 7 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%