Preseason Rankings
Akron
Mid-American
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.8#128
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.7#197
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#118
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#147
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 1.8% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 4.6% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.4% 30.9% 10.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.6% 9.3% 1.1%
Average Seed 12.2 10.4 12.6
.500 or above 76.6% 96.3% 75.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.8% 94.1% 76.5%
Conference Champion 13.9% 31.4% 12.5%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.2% 1.5%
First Four0.9% 3.1% 0.7%
First Round11.9% 29.3% 10.5%
Second Round3.1% 11.1% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 4.5% 0.8%
Elite Eight0.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Championship Game0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ohio St. (Away) - 7.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 35 - 46 - 9
Quad 411 - 218 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 12   @ Ohio St. L 65-80 7%    
  Nov 22, 2021 275   Fordham W 67-58 78%    
  Dec 01, 2021 118   Marshall W 79-77 57%    
  Dec 04, 2021 317   Southern W 81-66 89%    
  Dec 12, 2021 304   Florida A&M W 77-63 87%    
  Dec 15, 2021 115   @ Wright St. L 74-78 36%    
  Dec 20, 2021 264   Radford W 73-62 82%    
  Dec 28, 2021 150   @ Bowling Green L 75-77 45%    
  Jan 01, 2022 314   Northern Illinois W 76-62 88%    
  Jan 04, 2022 91   Ohio L 74-75 49%    
  Jan 08, 2022 152   @ Miami (OH) L 70-71 47%    
  Jan 11, 2022 199   Ball St. W 78-70 73%    
  Jan 14, 2022 132   @ Kent St. L 73-76 41%    
  Jan 18, 2022 284   Western Michigan W 77-65 84%    
  Jan 22, 2022 300   Eastern Michigan W 77-64 85%    
  Jan 25, 2022 279   @ Central Michigan W 81-75 68%    
  Jan 28, 2022 114   @ Toledo L 73-77 37%    
  Feb 01, 2022 83   Buffalo L 78-79 47%    
  Feb 05, 2022 152   Miami (OH) W 73-68 65%    
  Feb 08, 2022 314   @ Northern Illinois W 73-65 74%    
  Feb 12, 2022 132   Kent St. W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 15, 2022 284   @ Western Michigan W 74-68 69%    
  Feb 19, 2022 300   @ Eastern Michigan W 74-67 72%    
  Feb 22, 2022 150   Bowling Green W 78-74 63%    
  Feb 26, 2022 91   @ Ohio L 71-77 31%    
  Mar 01, 2022 199   @ Ball St. W 75-73 55%    
  Mar 04, 2022 279   Central Michigan W 84-72 83%    
Projected Record 17 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.1 2.6 3.8 3.4 2.1 0.7 13.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.4 4.2 4.2 2.2 0.6 0.0 14.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.3 4.8 3.5 1.1 0.1 13.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.6 4.5 2.4 0.6 0.0 0.0 12.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.8 4.1 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.5 3.2 1.1 0.2 9.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.0 2.4 0.8 0.1 8.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.3 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 6.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.7 3.9 5.2 6.8 8.1 9.1 9.9 10.3 10.1 9.4 7.9 6.2 4.0 2.1 0.7 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.7    0.7
19-1 98.5% 2.1    1.9 0.2
18-2 85.1% 3.4    2.6 0.8 0.0
17-3 62.2% 3.8    2.4 1.3 0.2 0.0
16-4 33.0% 2.6    1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0
15-5 11.4% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1
14-6 2.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 13.9% 13.9 9.0 3.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.7% 88.8% 62.6% 26.3% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 70.2%
19-1 2.1% 69.0% 48.4% 20.6% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 39.9%
18-2 4.0% 49.2% 37.8% 11.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.0 2.1 18.3%
17-3 6.2% 35.0% 30.8% 4.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.0 6.0%
16-4 7.9% 23.9% 23.0% 0.9% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 6.0 1.1%
15-5 9.4% 15.8% 15.7% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.9 0.2%
14-6 10.1% 11.3% 11.3% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.9 0.0%
13-7 10.3% 6.5% 6.5% 14.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 9.6
12-8 9.9% 4.2% 4.2% 14.5 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 9.5
11-9 9.1% 3.1% 3.1% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 8.9
10-10 8.1% 2.0% 2.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 7.9
9-11 6.8% 1.2% 1.2% 15.6 0.0 0.1 6.7
8-12 5.2% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
7-13 3.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.9
6-14 2.7% 2.7
5-15 1.7% 1.7
4-16 1.0% 1.0
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 12.4% 11.0% 1.4% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.1 2.9 3.1 2.0 1.1 0.3 87.6 1.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 4.0 6.0 11.5 26.2 21.8 11.1 18.3 5.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 4.6 50.9 38.2 10.9