Preseason Rankings
Albany
America East
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#244
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.3#124
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#283
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#206
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.1% 9.4% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.8 15.5
.500 or above 42.7% 55.5% 23.4%
.500 or above in Conference 56.0% 65.6% 41.4%
Conference Champion 7.7% 10.6% 3.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.7% 4.5% 12.4%
First Four1.8% 1.9% 1.7%
First Round6.3% 8.5% 2.9%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Towson (Home) - 60.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 63 - 11
Quad 412 - 715 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 239   Towson W 72-69 60%    
  Nov 13, 2021 210   @ La Salle L 70-75 31%    
  Nov 17, 2021 160   Harvard L 70-72 42%    
  Nov 20, 2021 180   @ Eastern Kentucky L 76-83 27%    
  Nov 22, 2021 14   @ Kentucky L 62-84 3%    
  Nov 24, 2021 330   Eastern Illinois W 76-70 70%    
  Dec 01, 2021 89   @ Kansas St. L 60-74 13%    
  Dec 07, 2021 126   @ Yale L 68-78 20%    
  Dec 11, 2021 315   Columbia W 74-67 72%    
  Dec 13, 2021 144   @ Boston College L 71-80 22%    
  Dec 18, 2021 250   Niagara W 69-68 51%    
  Dec 21, 2021 297   @ Lehigh L 73-74 49%    
  Dec 29, 2021 294   Bucknell W 79-73 67%    
  Jan 02, 2022 116   @ Vermont L 64-75 18%    
  Jan 06, 2022 327   Binghamton W 74-66 75%    
  Jan 08, 2022 241   @ New Hampshire L 67-70 40%    
  Jan 12, 2022 258   Umass Lowell W 76-72 62%    
  Jan 15, 2022 293   NJIT W 73-68 67%    
  Jan 19, 2022 229   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 69-73 38%    
  Jan 22, 2022 188   Stony Brook L 68-69 49%    
  Jan 26, 2022 258   @ Umass Lowell L 73-75 43%    
  Jan 29, 2022 293   @ NJIT L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 02, 2022 229   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 72-70 56%    
  Feb 05, 2022 213   @ Hartford L 66-71 35%    
  Feb 09, 2022 337   Maine W 69-59 79%    
  Feb 12, 2022 116   Vermont L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 16, 2022 327   @ Binghamton W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 19, 2022 241   New Hampshire W 70-67 59%    
  Feb 23, 2022 337   @ Maine W 66-62 63%    
  Feb 26, 2022 188   @ Stony Brook L 66-72 31%    
  Mar 01, 2022 213   Hartford W 69-68 53%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected America East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.2 1.6 0.7 0.2 7.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.5 2.5 0.9 0.2 10.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.8 4.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 11.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.1 4.7 4.1 1.3 0.1 12.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.5 4.9 3.5 0.8 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 2.9 5.0 3.0 0.6 0.0 12.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 3.0 4.5 2.3 0.4 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.1 3.6 1.4 0.2 0.0 9.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.5 2.2 0.8 0.1 7.5 9th
10th 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.0 4.6 10th
Total 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.0 4.5 6.4 8.0 9.3 10.3 10.5 10.2 9.7 8.4 6.5 4.8 3.2 1.7 0.7 0.2 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
17-1 100.0% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 90.8% 1.6    1.3 0.3 0.0
15-3 69.9% 2.2    1.5 0.7 0.0
14-4 38.6% 1.9    0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 13.9% 0.9    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.7% 7.7 4.8 2.3 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.2% 58.7% 55.2% 3.5% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.7%
17-1 0.7% 53.0% 51.8% 1.2% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.4 2.6%
16-2 1.7% 40.6% 40.2% 0.4% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 1.0 0.6%
15-3 3.2% 28.8% 28.8% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 2.3
14-4 4.8% 23.0% 23.0% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 3.7
13-5 6.5% 15.0% 15.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 5.5
12-6 8.4% 10.4% 10.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 7.5
11-7 9.7% 7.9% 7.9% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 8.9
10-8 10.2% 5.3% 5.3% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 9.7
9-9 10.5% 3.9% 3.9% 15.9 0.0 0.4 10.1
8-10 10.3% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.2 10.1
7-11 9.3% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 9.2
6-12 8.0% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 8.0
5-13 6.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.4
4-14 4.5% 4.5
3-15 3.0% 3.0
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.7% 0.7
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 7.1% 7.1% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.0 3.0 92.9 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%