IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Army
Patriot League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.3	#257
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.5	#139
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.0	#293

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.3	#223

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.9%	10.5%	4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.9	14.7	15.1

.500 or above	40.2%	60.6%	33.3%
.500 or above in Conference	50.9%	72.2%	43.7%
Conference Champion	5.7%	14.9%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	10.5%	3.8%	12.7%

First Four	1.4%	1.9%	1.3%
First Round	5.1%	9.6%	3.6%
Second Round	0.3%	0.6%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Colgate (Home) - 25.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 6	2 - 9
Quad 4	12 - 8	14 - 17

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Feb 16, 2021	105	Colgate	L	74-81	25%
Nov 12, 2021	10	@ Duke	L	60-84	1%
Nov 13, 2021	213	Hartford	L	67-70	41%
Nov 17, 2021	234	Merrimack	W	67-65	55%
Nov 20, 2021	210	@ La Salle	L	69-75	30%
Nov 23, 2021	228	Wagner	W	70-69	55%
Nov 27, 2021	246	Marist	W	67-65	58%
Nov 30, 2021	227	Siena	W	69-68	54%
Dec 04, 2021	306	@ Air Force	L	65-66	49%
Dec 10, 2021	293	@ NJIT	L	70-71	46%
Dec 19, 2021	254	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	75-78	40%
Dec 22, 2021	104	@ South Carolina	L	71-84	14%
Jan 01, 2022	276	Loyola Maryland	W	73-69	62%
Jan 04, 2022	294	@ Bucknell	L	75-76	47%
Jan 07, 2022	297	Lehigh	W	75-70	66%
Jan 10, 2022	105	@ Colgate	L	71-84	15%
Jan 13, 2022	197	Boston University	L	69-70	48%
Jan 16, 2022	292	@ Lafayette	L	73-74	46%
Jan 19, 2022	259	American	W	70-67	60%
Jan 22, 2022	184	@ Navy	L	66-73	28%
Jan 26, 2022	297	@ Lehigh	L	72-73	47%
Jan 29, 2022	292	Lafayette	W	76-71	65%
Feb 02, 2022	276	@ Loyola Maryland	L	70-72	43%
Feb 05, 2022	321	Holy Cross	W	76-69	71%
Feb 09, 2022	197	@ Boston University	L	66-73	30%
Feb 12, 2022	184	Navy	L	69-70	46%
Feb 19, 2022	259	@ American	L	67-70	41%
Feb 23, 2022	294	Bucknell	W	78-73	65%
Feb 26, 2022	321	@ Holy Cross	W	73-72	53%
Projected Record						13 - 16	9 - 9

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Patriot League Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	0.7	1.4	1.5	1.1	0.5	0.1		5.7	1st
2nd											0.1	0.9	2.4	3.2	2.0	0.8	0.1				9.6	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.2	1.7	3.7	3.8	1.6	0.3	0.0					11.3	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	2.6	4.9	3.6	1.0	0.1							12.5	4th
5th							0.0	0.5	3.1	5.1	3.1	0.6	0.1								12.4	5th
6th						0.0	0.6	3.3	4.9	2.7	0.4	0.0									11.9	6th
7th					0.1	0.8	3.3	4.6	2.0	0.2	0.0										11.0	7th
8th			0.0	0.1	1.2	3.3	3.8	1.6	0.2	0.0											10.2	8th
9th		0.0	0.4	1.6	3.0	2.8	0.9	0.1	0.0												8.8	9th
10th	0.3	0.9	1.7	2.0	1.2	0.4	0.0														6.6	10th

Total	0.3	1.0	2.2	3.7	5.4	7.2	8.7	10.0	10.5	10.8	10.2	8.8	7.5	5.6	3.8	2.4	1.3	0.5	0.1			Total

Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.1		0.1
17-1	100.0%	0.5		0.4	0.0
16-2	90.5%	1.1		1.0	0.2	0.0
15-3	63.9%	1.5		1.0	0.5	0.0
14-4	37.4%	1.4		0.7	0.6	0.1	0.0
13-5	13.2%	0.7		0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0
12-6	3.6%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	5.7%	5.7		3.4	1.7	0.5	0.1	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.1%		73.2%	68.2%	5.0%	11.0						0.0	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		15.7%
17-1	0.5%		47.5%	46.5%	1.0%	13.1							0.0	0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.2		1.9%
16-2	1.3%		41.0%	41.0%		13.7												0.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.7
15-3	2.4%		28.5%	28.5%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	1.7
14-4	3.8%		21.0%	21.0%		14.7													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.1	3.0
13-5	5.6%		16.7%	16.7%		15.0													0.0	0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	4.7
12-6	7.5%		11.4%	11.4%		15.4														0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	6.6
11-7	8.8%		6.6%	6.6%		15.7															0.0	0.2	0.4	8.2
10-8	10.2%		5.0%	5.0%		15.8															0.0	0.1	0.4	9.7
9-9	10.8%		3.5%	3.5%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.3	10.5
8-10	10.5%		1.5%	1.5%		16.0																	0.2	10.4
7-11	10.0%		1.1%	1.1%		16.0																	0.1	9.9
6-12	8.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	8.6
5-13	7.2%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	7.2
4-14	5.4%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	5.4
3-15	3.7%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
2-16	2.2%																							2.2
1-17	1.0%																							1.0
0-18	0.3%																							0.3

Total	100%		5.9%	5.9%	0.0%	14.9						0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.7	2.4	94.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%