IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	+1.8	#144
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	76.6	#36
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.9	#151

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.9	#142

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.3%	0.4%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.9%	1.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	5.3%	6.1%	0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	4.9%	5.7%	0.5%
Average Seed	9.0	9.0	9.8

.500 or above	22.9%	26.2%	5.2%
.500 or above in Conference	12.0%	13.6%	3.4%
Conference Champion	0.3%	0.3%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	34.3%	30.7%	53.7%

First Four	1.1%	1.2%	0.2%
First Round	4.7%	5.5%	0.5%
Second Round	2.1%	2.4%	0.2%
Sweet Sixteen	0.6%	0.7%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Dartmouth (Home) - 84.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 5	0 - 5
Quad 1b	1 - 4	1 - 9
Quad 2	2 - 6	4 - 15
Quad 3	3 - 3	7 - 18
Quad 4	5 - 1	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	270	Dartmouth	W	79-68	84%
Nov 12, 2021	321	Holy Cross	W	84-70	90%
Nov 14, 2021	260	Fairfield	W	74-64	81%
Nov 17, 2021	101	@ Rhode Island	L	73-80	28%
Nov 20, 2021	88	Utah	L	73-77	36%
Nov 26, 2021	315	Columbia	W	81-68	87%
Nov 29, 2021	177	South Florida	W	75-70	67%
Dec 03, 2021	45	Notre Dame	L	74-80	32%
Dec 11, 2021	79	@ Saint Louis	L	71-79	26%
Dec 13, 2021	244	Albany	W	80-71	78%
Dec 22, 2021	103	@ Wake Forest	L	71-77	31%
Dec 29, 2021	18	Florida St.	L	73-82	23%
Jan 01, 2022	22	North Carolina	L	76-85	25%
Jan 08, 2022	117	@ Pittsburgh	L	73-78	34%
Jan 12, 2022	60	Georgia Tech	L	72-76	37%
Jan 15, 2022	55	@ Clemson	L	64-74	20%
Jan 19, 2022	27	@ Louisville	L	66-80	14%
Jan 22, 2022	34	Virginia Tech	L	70-77	29%
Jan 26, 2022	22	@ North Carolina	L	73-88	12%
Jan 29, 2022	117	Pittsburgh	W	76-75	53%
Feb 01, 2022	29	@ Virginia	L	56-70	14%
Feb 08, 2022	44	Syracuse	L	75-81	33%
Feb 12, 2022	10	Duke	L	71-82	19%
Feb 16, 2022	45	@ Notre Dame	L	71-83	18%
Feb 19, 2022	44	@ Syracuse	L	72-84	17%
Feb 23, 2022	59	@ North Carolina St.	L	70-80	21%
Feb 26, 2022	55	Clemson	L	67-71	37%
Mar 02, 2022	85	Miami (FL)	L	75-77	45%
Mar 05, 2022	60	@ Georgia Tech	L	69-79	21%
Projected Record						11 - 18	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.3	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0					0.5	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.1	0.0						0.9	3rd
4th											0.0	0.1	0.4	0.5	0.2	0.0							1.3	4th
5th											0.1	0.6	0.8	0.3	0.0								1.8	5th
6th									0.0	0.1	0.5	1.1	0.6	0.1	0.0								2.3	6th
7th									0.0	0.6	1.5	0.9	0.1	0.0									3.1	7th
8th								0.0	0.5	1.7	1.4	0.3	0.0										3.9	8th
9th						0.0	0.0	0.4	1.8	2.1	0.6	0.0	0.0										4.9	9th
10th						0.0	0.4	2.0	2.7	1.0	0.1												6.2	10th
11th					0.0	0.5	2.4	3.5	1.5	0.2	0.0												8.1	11th
12th				0.0	0.7	2.7	4.0	2.4	0.4	0.0													10.2	12th
13th			0.1	1.3	3.7	5.1	2.7	0.5	0.0														13.4	13th
14th		0.5	2.9	5.5	5.8	2.9	0.6	0.0															18.2	14th
15th	3.5	6.7	7.2	4.9	2.0	0.4	0.0																24.7	15th

Total	3.5	7.3	10.3	11.7	12.2	11.7	10.1	8.8	6.9	5.6	4.2	3.0	2.0	1.3	0.8	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0
17-3	68.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0
16-4	36.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	18.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	4.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.0%	0.0						0.0
12-8	0.1%	0.0						0.0
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.3%	0.3		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%								0.0
19-1	0.0%		100.0%	73.6%	26.4%	1.7		0.0	0.0	0.0																100.0%
18-2	0.0%		100.0%	15.2%	84.8%	3.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0												100.0%
17-3	0.1%		100.0%	33.2%	66.8%	3.5		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
16-4	0.2%		100.0%	17.3%	82.7%	4.8			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0									100.0%
15-5	0.4%		95.7%	12.4%	83.3%	6.3			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0						0.0		95.1%
14-6	0.8%		90.3%	6.2%	84.1%	7.7				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.1		89.7%
13-7	1.3%		72.9%	4.3%	68.5%	8.7			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.3		71.7%
12-8	2.0%		54.0%	2.3%	51.7%	9.7						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.9		52.9%
11-9	3.0%		31.3%	0.6%	30.6%	10.3						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.2	0.0				2.0		30.8%
10-10	4.2%		14.6%	0.7%	14.0%	10.8						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0			3.6		14.1%
9-11	5.6%		3.7%	0.4%	3.3%	11.4										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			5.4		3.3%
8-12	6.9%		0.5%	0.2%	0.3%	12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0		6.9		0.3%
7-13	8.8%		0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	12.2											0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			8.8		0.1%
6-14	10.1%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		10.1
5-15	11.7%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.7
4-16	12.2%																							12.2
3-17	11.7%																							11.7
2-18	10.3%																							10.3
1-19	7.3%																							7.3
0-20	3.5%																							3.5

Total	100%		5.3%	0.4%	4.9%	9.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.5	0.6	0.7	0.8	0.9	0.7	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	94.7		4.9%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%