Preseason Rankings
Canisius
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.6#265
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace74.1#73
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.7#254
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.9#264
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 13.0% 4.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.9 14.1 15.0
.500 or above 31.3% 67.8% 28.2%
.500 or above in Conference 43.5% 72.0% 41.1%
Conference Champion 5.7% 16.3% 4.8%
Last Place in Conference 14.8% 3.9% 15.8%
First Four1.1% 1.1% 1.2%
First Round4.9% 12.5% 4.2%
Second Round0.4% 1.3% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Miami (FL) (Away) - 7.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 20 - 30 - 4
Quad 32 - 73 - 11
Quad 410 - 713 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 85   @ Miami (FL) L 67-82 8%    
  Nov 12, 2021 183   @ East Carolina L 69-77 24%    
  Nov 14, 2021 28   @ St. Bonaventure L 60-81 3%    
  Nov 20, 2021 151   @ Cleveland St. L 68-78 20%    
  Nov 24, 2021 336   Coppin St. W 88-79 78%    
  Nov 29, 2021 290   Cornell W 77-73 64%    
  Dec 03, 2021 260   Fairfield W 69-66 59%    
  Dec 05, 2021 216   Monmouth W 82-81 50%    
  Dec 08, 2021 166   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-76 23%    
  Dec 11, 2021 281   @ Youngstown St. L 74-76 43%    
  Dec 18, 2021 83   Buffalo L 77-86 22%    
  Dec 22, 2021 222   Florida Gulf Coast W 78-77 52%    
  Dec 31, 2021 191   @ St. Peter's L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 02, 2022 227   @ Siena L 69-74 35%    
  Jan 07, 2022 261   Quinnipiac W 79-76 59%    
  Jan 14, 2022 250   @ Niagara L 69-73 39%    
  Jan 16, 2022 278   @ Manhattan L 69-71 43%    
  Jan 21, 2022 248   Rider W 76-74 58%    
  Jan 23, 2022 191   St. Peter's L 69-70 46%    
  Jan 28, 2022 216   @ Monmouth L 78-84 33%    
  Jan 30, 2022 248   @ Rider L 73-77 39%    
  Feb 04, 2022 146   Iona L 71-75 38%    
  Feb 06, 2022 278   Manhattan W 72-68 61%    
  Feb 12, 2022 246   @ Marist L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 14, 2022 260   @ Fairfield L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 19, 2022 250   Niagara W 72-70 57%    
  Feb 25, 2022 146   @ Iona L 68-78 22%    
  Feb 27, 2022 261   @ Quinnipiac L 76-79 40%    
  Mar 03, 2022 246   Marist W 70-68 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 227   Siena W 72-71 53%    
Projected Record 12 - 18 9 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 7.2 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 2.3 2.9 1.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 8.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.9 3.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.4 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 9.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.5 3.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.7 3.5 1.1 0.1 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.9 3.2 1.0 0.1 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.3 3.8 3.1 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.7 3.4 2.2 0.7 0.1 10.6 10th
11th 0.4 1.2 2.2 2.7 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.0 10.2 11th
Total 0.4 1.2 2.5 4.0 5.6 7.1 8.2 9.2 9.2 9.3 9.0 8.1 7.2 6.2 4.5 3.5 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.1 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 96.9% 0.8    0.7 0.1
17-3 81.4% 1.2    1.0 0.3 0.0
16-4 61.8% 1.4    0.9 0.4 0.1
15-5 33.3% 1.2    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 13.0% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 3.7 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 66.2% 55.6% 10.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 23.7%
19-1 0.3% 49.7% 49.7% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
18-2 0.8% 41.4% 41.0% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.5%
17-3 1.5% 32.1% 32.1% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.0
16-4 2.3% 28.2% 28.2% 14.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.0 1.6
15-5 3.5% 19.7% 19.7% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 2.8
14-6 4.5% 15.2% 15.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 3.8
13-7 6.2% 11.8% 11.8% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 5.5
12-8 7.2% 8.2% 8.2% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.4 6.6
11-9 8.1% 5.2% 5.2% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 7.6
10-10 9.0% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 8.7
9-11 9.3% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 9.1
8-12 9.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 9.2
7-13 9.2% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 9.1
6-14 8.2% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.2
5-15 7.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.1
4-16 5.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.6
3-17 4.0% 4.0
2-18 2.5% 2.5
1-19 1.2% 1.2
0-20 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 5.4% 5.3% 0.0% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.6 2.1 94.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%