Preseason Rankings
Central Michigan
Mid-American
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#279
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace77.9#26
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#223
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.0#311
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 3.7% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.2 13.3 14.5
.500 or above 10.5% 36.3% 8.7%
.500 or above in Conference 17.8% 41.3% 16.1%
Conference Champion 0.6% 3.0% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 21.6% 7.8% 22.5%
First Four0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
First Round0.9% 3.5% 0.7%
Second Round0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Missouri (Away) - 6.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 51 - 9
Quad 32 - 83 - 17
Quad 47 - 59 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 84   @ Missouri L 70-86 6%    
  Nov 13, 2021 112   @ DePaul L 73-86 11%    
  Nov 15, 2021 330   @ Eastern Illinois W 80-78 56%    
  Nov 22, 2021 1   Gonzaga L 75-102 1%    
  Nov 23, 2021 165   Bellarmine L 72-79 29%    
  Nov 29, 2021 14   @ Kentucky L 67-91 2%    
  Dec 01, 2021 37   @ Xavier L 69-90 4%    
  Dec 05, 2021 274   Western Illinois W 86-83 59%    
  Dec 08, 2021 281   @ Youngstown St. L 77-80 41%    
  Dec 11, 2021 253   Illinois-Chicago W 78-76 56%    
  Dec 18, 2021 212   @ Detroit Mercy L 77-84 29%    
  Dec 28, 2021 132   @ Kent St. L 75-87 17%    
  Jan 01, 2022 152   @ Miami (OH) L 71-81 20%    
  Jan 04, 2022 114   Toledo L 78-85 28%    
  Jan 08, 2022 284   Western Michigan W 78-75 60%    
  Jan 11, 2022 300   @ Eastern Michigan L 76-78 45%    
  Jan 15, 2022 91   Ohio L 76-85 23%    
  Jan 18, 2022 83   @ Buffalo L 77-93 10%    
  Jan 22, 2022 199   Ball St. L 80-81 45%    
  Jan 25, 2022 128   Akron L 75-81 32%    
  Jan 29, 2022 314   @ Northern Illinois L 74-75 48%    
  Feb 01, 2022 150   Bowling Green L 80-85 35%    
  Feb 05, 2022 83   Buffalo L 80-90 21%    
  Feb 08, 2022 199   @ Ball St. L 77-84 28%    
  Feb 12, 2022 284   @ Western Michigan L 75-78 41%    
  Feb 15, 2022 300   Eastern Michigan W 79-75 63%    
  Feb 19, 2022 114   @ Toledo L 75-88 15%    
  Feb 22, 2022 91   @ Ohio L 73-88 11%    
  Feb 26, 2022 132   Kent St. L 78-84 32%    
  Mar 01, 2022 152   Miami (OH) L 74-78 37%    
  Mar 04, 2022 128   @ Akron L 72-84 17%    
Projected Record 9 - 22 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 4.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.2 6th
7th 0.1 0.8 2.4 3.4 1.7 0.3 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.6 3.9 1.8 0.4 0.0 11.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.7 4.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 14.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 4.0 5.6 4.1 1.4 0.2 0.0 16.7 10th
11th 0.4 2.5 5.1 5.3 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 17.2 11th
12th 1.7 3.7 4.6 2.9 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 14.5 12th
Total 1.7 4.1 7.1 9.3 11.0 11.8 10.9 10.2 8.7 7.3 5.5 4.3 3.1 2.1 1.2 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 93.6% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 60.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
16-4 53.6% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-5 15.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 42.4% 32.2% 10.2% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.0%
18-2 0.1% 45.5% 42.7% 2.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8%
17-3 0.2% 34.0% 25.3% 8.7% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 11.6%
16-4 0.5% 18.4% 16.9% 1.5% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.8%
15-5 0.7% 12.6% 12.4% 0.3% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3%
14-6 1.2% 8.7% 8.7% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.1
13-7 2.1% 6.4% 6.4% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.0
12-8 3.1% 4.2% 4.1% 0.1% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.0 0.1%
11-9 4.3% 3.0% 3.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.2
10-10 5.5% 2.1% 2.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 5.4
9-11 7.3% 0.8% 0.8% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.3
8-12 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.7
7-13 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 10.2
6-14 10.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.9
5-15 11.8% 11.8
4-16 11.0% 11.0
3-17 9.3% 9.3
2-18 7.1% 7.1
1-19 4.1% 4.1
0-20 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 99.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%