Preseason Rankings
Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#55
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace61.7#336
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#102
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#28
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 3.4% 3.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 9.0% 9.2% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 16.3% 16.6% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 39.3% 40.0% 8.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 36.6% 37.3% 8.3%
Average Seed 7.1 7.1 8.7
.500 or above 66.5% 67.5% 22.7%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 50.9% 17.4%
Conference Champion 4.6% 4.7% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 6.0% 5.7% 21.8%
First Four3.9% 3.9% 1.0%
First Round37.3% 37.9% 8.4%
Second Round21.9% 22.3% 3.6%
Sweet Sixteen9.5% 9.7% 1.1%
Elite Eight4.1% 4.2% 0.6%
Final Four1.7% 1.8% 0.2%
Championship Game0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
National Champion0.3% 0.3% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 97.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 8
Quad 24 - 37 - 12
Quad 35 - 212 - 13
Quad 45 - 017 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 319   Presbyterian W 73-52 98%    
  Nov 12, 2021 139   Wofford W 69-59 83%    
  Nov 15, 2021 206   Bryant W 81-67 90%    
  Nov 18, 2021 120   Temple W 68-62 70%    
  Nov 26, 2021 335   Charleston Southern W 79-55 98%    
  Nov 30, 2021 50   @ Rutgers L 62-66 38%    
  Dec 04, 2021 85   @ Miami (FL) L 66-67 49%    
  Dec 11, 2021 73   Drake W 66-64 56%    
  Dec 14, 2021 152   Miami (OH) W 70-59 83%    
  Dec 18, 2021 104   South Carolina W 75-68 73%    
  Dec 22, 2021 29   @ Virginia L 53-59 31%    
  Dec 29, 2021 10   Duke L 65-69 39%    
  Jan 04, 2022 29   Virginia L 55-56 50%    
  Jan 08, 2022 59   @ North Carolina St. L 64-67 41%    
  Jan 12, 2022 45   @ Notre Dame L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 15, 2022 144   Boston College W 74-64 80%    
  Jan 18, 2022 44   @ Syracuse L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 22, 2022 117   Pittsburgh W 70-61 75%    
  Jan 25, 2022 10   @ Duke L 62-72 23%    
  Feb 02, 2022 18   Florida St. L 66-68 45%    
  Feb 05, 2022 60   @ Georgia Tech L 63-66 42%    
  Feb 08, 2022 22   North Carolina L 70-71 46%    
  Feb 12, 2022 45   Notre Dame W 68-66 56%    
  Feb 15, 2022 18   @ Florida St. L 63-71 28%    
  Feb 19, 2022 27   @ Louisville L 61-67 31%    
  Feb 23, 2022 103   Wake Forest W 69-62 72%    
  Feb 26, 2022 144   @ Boston College W 71-67 63%    
  Mar 02, 2022 60   Georgia Tech W 66-63 60%    
  Mar 05, 2022 34   Virginia Tech W 64-63 51%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 10 - 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 4.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.1 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.0 6.5 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.5 3.1 1.9 0.3 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.2 3.4 2.3 0.4 0.0 7.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 3.3 3.0 0.7 0.0 7.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.5 0.9 0.0 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.7 1.5 0.1 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.2 3.6 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.8 3.4 2.0 0.3 0.0 7.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.0 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.4 1.8 0.4 0.0 6.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 1.3 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.2 14th
15th 0.1 0.7 1.0 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 3.5 15th
Total 0.1 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.3 5.7 7.4 8.5 9.3 9.7 10.0 9.2 8.1 6.9 5.6 4.4 2.8 1.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.4    0.4 0.0
18-2 91.4% 0.9    0.7 0.2
17-3 70.8% 1.3    0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
16-4 40.6% 1.1    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
15-5 14.8% 0.6    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 4.6% 4.6 2.6 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 55.4% 44.6% 1.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.4% 100.0% 37.7% 62.3% 1.6 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.0% 100.0% 34.2% 65.8% 1.9 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 1.8% 100.0% 28.5% 71.5% 2.5 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 2.8% 99.9% 21.9% 78.1% 3.6 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
15-5 4.4% 99.5% 15.6% 84.0% 4.7 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
14-6 5.6% 97.8% 10.3% 87.6% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.6%
13-7 6.9% 92.0% 7.0% 85.0% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 91.5%
12-8 8.1% 80.6% 4.5% 76.2% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.2 1.3 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.0 1.6 79.7%
11-9 9.2% 60.7% 2.6% 58.1% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.6 59.7%
10-10 10.0% 34.6% 1.1% 33.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.5 33.9%
9-11 9.7% 12.7% 0.8% 11.8% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 8.5 11.9%
8-12 9.3% 2.7% 0.3% 2.4% 11.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.0 2.5%
7-13 8.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.5 0.2%
6-14 7.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.4 0.1%
5-15 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
4-16 4.3% 4.3
3-17 2.6% 2.6
2-18 1.5% 1.5
1-19 0.7% 0.7
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 39.3% 4.2% 35.1% 7.1 1.3 2.1 2.7 3.0 3.4 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.3 3.9 3.8 2.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 60.7 36.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.1 85.9 14.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0