IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Coastal Carolina
Sun Belt
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-1.2	#190
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.9	#76
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+0.2	#166

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.4	#224

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.2%	0.3%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.9%	13.3%	5.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Average Seed	13.8	13.5	14.6

.500 or above	57.7%	71.9%	40.1%
.500 or above in Conference	62.8%	72.8%	50.4%
Conference Champion	11.4%	15.7%	6.1%
Last Place in Conference	6.2%	3.4%	9.8%

First Four	0.8%	0.8%	0.7%
First Round	9.5%	12.9%	5.3%
Second Round	1.2%	1.7%	0.4%
Sweet Sixteen	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: UNC Wilmington (Away) - 55.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 3	4 - 6	4 - 9
Quad 4	10 - 4	14 - 13

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 18, 2021	266	@ UNC Wilmington	W	79-78	55%
Nov 22, 2021	189	Valparaiso	L	73-74	50%
Dec 01, 2021	104	South Carolina	L	80-83	40%
Dec 04, 2021	143	Winthrop	W	82-81	50%
Dec 06, 2021	155	Mercer	W	76-75	54%
Dec 12, 2021	139	Wofford	L	72-73	50%
Dec 19, 2021	267	@ Middle Tennessee	W	77-75	55%
Dec 30, 2021	269	Louisiana Monroe	W	77-69	74%
Jan 01, 2022	171	Louisiana	W	80-78	56%
Jan 06, 2022	243	@ Troy	W	75-74	51%
Jan 08, 2022	214	@ South Alabama	L	73-75	45%
Jan 13, 2022	182	@ Appalachian St.	L	69-72	39%
Jan 15, 2022	182	Appalachian St.	W	72-69	58%
Jan 20, 2022	245	@ Georgia Southern	W	72-71	52%
Jan 22, 2022	121	@ Georgia St.	L	76-83	28%
Jan 27, 2022	277	Arkansas Little Rock	W	77-69	74%
Jan 29, 2022	194	Arkansas St.	W	77-74	61%
Feb 03, 2022	224	@ Texas Arlington	L	75-76	48%
Feb 05, 2022	174	@ Texas St.	L	65-69	37%
Feb 10, 2022	121	Georgia St.	L	79-80	46%
Feb 12, 2022	245	Georgia Southern	W	75-69	70%
Feb 17, 2022	214	South Alabama	W	76-72	64%
Feb 19, 2022	243	Troy	W	77-71	69%
Feb 24, 2022	194	@ Arkansas St.	L	74-77	42%
Feb 26, 2022	277	@ Arkansas Little Rock	W	74-72	56%
Projected Record						13 - 12	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.3	1.3	2.6	3.1	2.4	1.3	0.5		11.4	1st
2nd											0.0	0.5	2.3	3.8	3.1	1.2	0.2	0.0			11.1	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.6	2.7	4.1	2.5	0.7	0.1					10.7	3rd
4th									0.0	0.5	2.7	4.3	2.3	0.4	0.0						10.1	4th
5th								0.0	0.3	2.6	4.3	2.2	0.4	0.0							9.8	5th
6th								0.2	2.0	4.4	2.3	0.3	0.0								9.2	6th
7th							0.1	1.5	4.0	2.3	0.3	0.0									8.2	7th
8th					0.0	0.1	1.2	3.4	2.5	0.4	0.0										7.7	8th
9th				0.0	0.1	0.9	2.8	2.3	0.5	0.0											6.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.2	1.0	2.5	2.1	0.6	0.0												6.4	10th
11th		0.0	0.3	1.1	1.7	1.5	0.4	0.0													5.0	11th
12th	0.1	0.5	1.1	1.0	0.7	0.2	0.0														3.7	12th

Total	0.1	0.6	1.3	2.3	3.5	5.2	6.7	8.1	9.3	10.2	10.2	10.1	9.3	7.9	6.3	4.4	2.7	1.3	0.5			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.5		0.5
17-1	98.9%	1.3		1.2	0.1
16-2	90.8%	2.4		2.0	0.4	0.0
15-3	70.9%	3.1		2.0	1.0	0.1	0.0
14-4	40.7%	2.6		1.1	1.1	0.3	0.0	0.0
13-5	16.2%	1.3		0.3	0.6	0.3	0.1
12-6	2.9%	0.3		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	11.4%	11.4		7.1	3.2	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.5%		78.3%	65.4%	12.9%	8.4		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.1		37.3%
17-1	1.3%		57.6%	48.4%	9.2%	11.5				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0		0.5		17.8%
16-2	2.7%		42.1%	40.4%	1.7%	12.8								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0	1.6		2.8%
15-3	4.4%		32.4%	32.0%	0.4%	13.4									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.2	0.0	2.9		0.6%
14-4	6.3%		23.9%	23.9%		13.9												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.4	0.0	4.8
13-5	7.9%		18.9%	18.9%		14.3												0.0	0.0	0.3	0.5	0.5	0.1	6.4
12-6	9.3%		13.9%	13.9%		14.8													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.6	0.3	8.0
11-7	10.1%		8.1%	8.1%		15.1														0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	9.3
10-8	10.2%		5.0%	5.0%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.2	0.3	9.7
9-9	10.2%		3.0%	3.0%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	9.9
8-10	9.3%		1.7%	1.7%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.2
7-11	8.1%		0.8%	0.8%		15.9																0.0	0.1	8.0
6-12	6.7%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.0	6.7
5-13	5.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.2
4-14	3.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	3.5
3-15	2.3%																							2.3
2-16	1.3%																							1.3
1-17	0.6%																							0.6
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		9.9%	9.6%	0.2%	13.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	1.0	2.0	2.5	2.4	1.4	90.1		0.3%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.1%	100.0%	5.2	5.7	2.0	11.2	25.0	13.5	20.7	10.1	2.3	4.0	3.7	1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship	0.0%	83.3%	7.4						50.0		16.7			16.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final	0.0%	65.8%	7.0					31.6		18.4				15.8
Lose Out	0.0%