IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Columbia
Ivy League
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-8.6	#315
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.3	#175
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.5	#327

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#269

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	1.6%	3.3%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.0	14.7	15.4

.500 or above	25.1%	46.0%	15.9%
.500 or above in Conference	21.2%	34.3%	15.4%
Conference Champion	2.2%	4.7%	1.2%
Last Place in Conference	38.1%	24.9%	43.9%

First Four	0.3%	0.4%	0.3%
First Round	1.4%	3.1%	0.7%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Fordham (Away) - 30.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 9
Quad 4	8 - 7	10 - 16

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	275	@ Fordham	L	58-64	31%
Nov 12, 2021	246	Marist	L	65-66	47%
Nov 17, 2021	327	Binghamton	W	71-67	65%
Nov 23, 2021	297	@ Lehigh	L	70-74	36%
Nov 26, 2021	144	@ Boston College	L	68-81	13%
Nov 29, 2021	292	Lafayette	W	74-73	55%
Dec 01, 2021	229	@ Maryland Baltimore Co.	L	66-74	26%
Dec 04, 2021	337	Maine	W	66-60	70%
Dec 06, 2021	105	@ Colgate	L	69-85	9%
Dec 11, 2021	244	@ Albany	L	67-74	28%
Dec 13, 2021	288	Sacred Heart	W	71-70	54%
Dec 28, 2021	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	75-59	90%
Jan 02, 2022	126	@ Yale	L	65-79	12%
Jan 07, 2022	168	@ Princeton	L	65-77	17%
Jan 08, 2022	187	@ Penn	L	66-76	20%
Jan 15, 2022	160	Harvard	L	67-73	31%
Jan 17, 2022	290	@ Cornell	L	68-73	36%
Jan 22, 2022	237	Brown	L	67-69	45%
Jan 29, 2022	270	Dartmouth	W	69-68	51%
Feb 04, 2022	187	Penn	L	69-73	36%
Feb 05, 2022	168	Princeton	L	68-74	33%
Feb 12, 2022	126	Yale	L	68-76	26%
Feb 18, 2022	160	@ Harvard	L	64-76	17%
Feb 19, 2022	270	@ Dartmouth	L	66-72	33%
Feb 26, 2022	237	@ Brown	L	64-72	28%
Mar 05, 2022	290	Cornell	W	71-70	54%
Projected Record						10 - 16	4 - 10

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ivy League Finish

	0-14	1-13	2-12	3-11	4-10	5-9	6-8	7-7	8-6	9-5	10-4	11-3	12-2	13-1	14-0		Total
1st									0.0	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.2	1st
2nd								0.0	0.7	1.6	1.3	0.4	0.0				4.0	2nd
3rd							0.1	1.4	2.8	1.5	0.3	0.0					6.2	3rd
4th					0.0	0.2	2.3	4.2	1.9	0.2	0.0						8.8	4th
5th				0.0	0.5	3.9	5.6	2.2	0.2								12.4	5th
6th			0.1	1.6	6.0	6.9	2.4	0.1									17.0	6th
7th		0.5	4.2	8.2	6.9	1.9	0.1	0.0									21.8	7th
8th	4.3	8.7	8.7	4.7	1.1	0.1											27.5	8th

Total	4.3	9.2	12.9	14.5	14.5	12.9	10.4	8.0	5.6	3.5	2.3	1.1	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

Ivy League Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
14-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
13-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
12-2	93.2%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
11-3	65.1%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.0
10-4	28.1%	0.6		0.2	0.3	0.1	0.0
9-5	5.4%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
8-6	0.2%	0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0
7-7	0.0%

Total	2.2%	2.2		1.2	0.8	0.2	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
14-0	0.0%		100.0%	100.0%		12.3						0.0			0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
13-1	0.2%		94.7%	94.7%		14.2													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-2	0.5%		83.4%	82.9%	0.5%	14.7												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1		2.7%
11-3	1.1%		48.5%	48.5%		15.1													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.6
10-4	2.3%		16.2%	16.2%		15.5													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	1.9
9-5	3.5%		1.9%	1.9%		15.9																0.0	0.1	3.5
8-6	5.6%																							5.6
7-7	8.0%																							8.0
6-8	10.4%																							10.4
5-9	12.9%																							12.9
4-10	14.5%																							14.5
3-11	14.5%																							14.5
2-12	12.9%																							12.9
1-13	9.2%																							9.2
0-14	4.3%																							4.3

Total	100%		1.6%	1.6%	0.0%	15.0						0.0			0.0			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.5	0.6	98.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Win Out	0.0%	100.0%	9.9					35.0							35.0	30.0
Lose Out	0.2%