Preseason Rankings
Duquesne
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.3#162
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.2#143
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.2#219
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.6#128
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.0% 4.9% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.2% 2.8% 0.3%
Average Seed 10.6 10.5 12.6
.500 or above 43.5% 50.5% 18.6%
.500 or above in Conference 38.4% 43.5% 20.4%
Conference Champion 1.9% 2.4% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 9.1% 6.8% 17.4%
First Four0.9% 1.1% 0.2%
First Round3.5% 4.3% 0.7%
Second Round1.2% 1.5% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 78.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 52 - 8
Quad 35 - 66 - 14
Quad 48 - 314 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 248   Rider W 75-67 78%    
  Nov 13, 2021 192   Hofstra W 75-70 66%    
  Nov 15, 2021 129   Weber St. W 77-76 53%    
  Nov 19, 2021 134   Northeastern L 68-70 43%    
  Nov 28, 2021 259   American W 73-64 76%    
  Dec 01, 2021 150   Bowling Green W 76-74 57%    
  Dec 04, 2021 118   @ Marshall L 74-80 30%    
  Dec 07, 2021 112   @ DePaul L 69-76 29%    
  Dec 11, 2021 241   New Hampshire W 72-64 74%    
  Dec 19, 2021 111   UC Irvine L 67-71 37%    
  Dec 22, 2021 139   Wofford W 69-68 55%    
  Dec 30, 2021 98   @ Davidson L 62-70 26%    
  Jan 02, 2022 169   George Mason W 71-68 61%    
  Jan 05, 2022 238   George Washington W 76-68 73%    
  Jan 08, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts L 72-78 31%    
  Jan 12, 2022 275   @ Fordham W 63-60 61%    
  Jan 15, 2022 87   Dayton L 66-69 41%    
  Jan 21, 2022 28   St. Bonaventure L 62-71 24%    
  Jan 26, 2022 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 29, 2022 79   Saint Louis L 69-73 39%    
  Feb 01, 2022 57   Richmond L 69-75 33%    
  Feb 05, 2022 77   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 66-76 22%    
  Feb 09, 2022 87   @ Dayton L 63-72 25%    
  Feb 12, 2022 275   Fordham W 66-57 77%    
  Feb 19, 2022 28   @ St. Bonaventure L 59-74 12%    
  Feb 23, 2022 98   Davidson L 65-67 44%    
  Feb 26, 2022 101   @ Rhode Island L 68-76 26%    
  Mar 02, 2022 238   @ George Washington W 73-71 55%    
  Mar 05, 2022 210   La Salle W 74-68 67%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.0 0.6 0.1 3.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.5 1.6 0.5 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.1 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.0 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.2 3.0 0.9 0.0 6.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.4 3.6 1.3 0.1 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.2 1.9 0.2 8.7 7th
8th 0.2 1.9 4.6 2.6 0.3 0.0 9.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.7 3.3 0.5 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.4 4.3 3.8 0.8 0.0 10.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.8 0.9 0.1 10.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.2 3.4 3.3 1.0 0.1 9.1 12th
13th 0.1 1.2 3.0 2.4 0.8 0.1 7.6 13th
14th 0.4 1.2 2.0 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 5.2 14th
Total 0.4 1.4 3.3 5.5 7.5 9.6 11.0 11.6 11.3 10.3 8.6 7.1 4.9 3.5 1.9 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 86.3% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 53.4% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 22.9% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 93.3% 62.5% 30.8% 3.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 82.1%
17-1 0.2% 89.2% 26.6% 62.6% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.3%
16-2 0.5% 79.6% 25.6% 54.0% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 72.6%
15-3 1.3% 60.0% 15.5% 44.5% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 52.6%
14-4 1.9% 37.5% 12.6% 24.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.2 28.5%
13-5 3.5% 20.8% 10.0% 10.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.8 12.0%
12-6 4.9% 10.5% 6.1% 4.4% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 4.4 4.7%
11-7 7.1% 4.6% 3.1% 1.5% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.8 1.6%
10-8 8.6% 1.7% 1.6% 0.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.5 0.2%
9-9 10.3% 0.6% 0.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.2
8-10 11.3% 0.2% 0.2% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.2
7-11 11.6% 0.3% 0.3% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6
6-12 11.0% 0.1% 0.1% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
5-13 9.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 9.6
4-14 7.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 7.5
3-15 5.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.5
2-16 3.3% 3.3
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.4% 0.4
Total 100% 4.0% 1.8% 2.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 96.0 2.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%