IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Eastern Michigan
Mid-American
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-7.6	#300
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	68.0	#215
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.6	#312

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.0	#268

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	3.7%	0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.6	13.3	14.8

.500 or above	9.5%	45.5%	9.0%
.500 or above in Conference	14.8%	44.7%	14.4%
Conference Champion	0.4%	3.2%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	25.8%	4.4%	26.1%

First Four	0.1%	0.6%	0.1%
First Round	0.5%	3.4%	0.4%
Second Round	0.0%	0.7%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 1.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 8
Quad 3	2 - 8	2 - 15
Quad 4	7 - 6	9 - 21

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	30	@ Indiana	L	56-79	1%
Nov 12, 2021	223	Illinois St.	L	70-71	45%
Nov 18, 2021	166	@ Northern Kentucky	L	62-73	17%
Nov 20, 2021	24	@ Michigan St.	L	58-82	2%
Nov 24, 2021	274	Western Illinois	W	77-76	55%
Nov 28, 2021	112	@ DePaul	L	64-79	11%
Dec 02, 2021	263	@ UC San Diego	L	70-75	34%
Dec 08, 2021	250	Niagara	W	68-67	51%
Dec 11, 2021	273	Florida International	W	73-72	55%
Dec 20, 2021	189	@ Valparaiso	L	65-74	22%
Dec 28, 2021	91	@ Ohio	L	64-81	9%
Jan 01, 2022	83	Buffalo	L	71-82	18%
Jan 04, 2022	284	@ Western Michigan	L	67-71	37%
Jan 08, 2022	199	Ball St.	L	71-74	41%
Jan 11, 2022	279	Central Michigan	W	78-76	55%
Jan 15, 2022	314	@ Northern Illinois	L	66-68	43%
Jan 18, 2022	132	Kent St.	L	69-76	28%
Jan 22, 2022	128	@ Akron	L	64-77	15%
Jan 25, 2022	150	@ Bowling Green	L	68-80	17%
Jan 29, 2022	152	Miami (OH)	L	66-72	33%
Feb 01, 2022	114	Toledo	L	69-78	25%
Feb 05, 2022	132	@ Kent St.	L	66-79	15%
Feb 08, 2022	83	@ Buffalo	L	68-85	9%
Feb 12, 2022	91	Ohio	L	67-78	20%
Feb 15, 2022	279	@ Central Michigan	L	75-79	37%
Feb 19, 2022	128	Akron	L	67-74	28%
Feb 22, 2022	314	Northern Illinois	W	69-65	63%
Feb 26, 2022	199	@ Ball St.	L	68-77	25%
Mar 01, 2022	284	Western Michigan	W	70-68	56%
Mar 04, 2022	152	@ Miami (OH)	L	63-75	19%
Projected Record						9 - 21	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Mid-American Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0					0.8	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	0.5	0.4	0.2	0.0						1.5	3rd
4th										0.0	0.1	0.5	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0							2.5	4th
5th									0.0	0.2	0.9	1.5	0.9	0.2	0.0								3.7	5th
6th								0.0	0.4	1.4	2.1	1.3	0.3	0.0									5.5	6th
7th							0.1	0.7	2.2	3.0	1.7	0.4	0.0										8.1	7th
8th					0.0	0.2	1.3	3.5	3.9	1.9	0.4	0.0											11.0	8th
9th				0.0	0.5	2.5	4.9	4.2	1.7	0.3	0.0												14.2	9th
10th			0.1	1.3	4.0	5.8	4.1	1.3	0.2	0.0													16.7	10th
11th		0.3	2.3	5.3	5.6	3.0	0.9	0.1	0.0														17.4	11th
12th	2.0	4.8	5.6	3.8	1.6	0.3	0.1	0.0															18.2	12th

Total	2.0	5.1	8.0	10.3	11.7	11.8	11.3	9.8	8.4	6.8	5.1	3.8	2.4	1.6	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			Total

Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	77.5%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
16-4	36.7%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0
15-5	13.7%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	5.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	0.1%	0.0				0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0	0.0%															0.0			0.0					0.0
19-1	0.0%		22.6%	11.3%	11.3%	11.0											0.0		0.0					0.0		12.7%
18-2	0.0%		17.9%	11.3%	6.6%	12.6												0.0		0.0	0.0			0.0		7.4%
17-3	0.1%		15.4%	15.4%		12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1
16-4	0.3%		14.8%	14.8%		13.3												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
15-5	0.6%		5.5%	5.5%		13.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
14-6	1.0%		7.6%	7.6%		14.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.9
13-7	1.6%		4.9%	4.9%		14.5														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.5
12-8	2.4%		2.3%	2.3%		15.0														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.3
11-9	3.8%		1.5%	1.5%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	3.7
10-10	5.1%		1.3%	1.3%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.0	5.0
9-11	6.8%		0.7%	0.7%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.0	6.7
8-12	8.4%		0.4%	0.4%		15.9																0.0	0.0	8.3
7-13	9.8%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.8
6-14	11.3%																							11.3
5-15	11.8%																							11.8
4-16	11.7%																							11.7
3-17	10.3%																							10.3
2-18	8.0%																							8.0
1-19	5.1%																							5.1
0-20	2.0%																							2.0

Total	100%		0.5%	0.5%	0.0%	14.6										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	99.5		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.7%