IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Florida International
Conference USA
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-6.0	#273
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	73.5	#80
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.9	#262

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-3.1	#271

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.6%	1.8%	0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	13.8	13.2	14.2

.500 or above	23.0%	50.7%	18.5%
.500 or above in Conference	16.6%	33.5%	13.8%
Conference Champion	0.6%	1.9%	0.3%
Last Place in Conference	29.7%	14.3%	32.2%

First Four	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
First Round	0.6%	1.7%	0.4%
Second Round	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Georgia (Away) - 14.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 5
Quad 3	3 - 8	3 - 13
Quad 4	9 - 6	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	133	@ Georgia	L	75-86	14%
Nov 18, 2021	199	Ball St.	L	75-79	36%
Nov 19, 2021	316	Green Bay	W	75-72	59%
Nov 21, 2021	149	UNC Greensboro	L	70-77	27%
Nov 24, 2021	313	North Dakota	W	77-72	68%
Nov 28, 2021	280	North Florida	W	77-74	61%
Dec 01, 2021	222	Florida Gulf Coast	W	78-77	51%
Dec 04, 2021	251	Stetson	W	75-73	57%
Dec 11, 2021	300	@ Eastern Michigan	L	72-73	45%
Dec 15, 2021	164	@ Jacksonville St.	L	67-76	22%
Dec 19, 2021	350	Bethune-Cookman	W	80-67	86%
Dec 21, 2021	348	Houston Baptist	W	89-77	84%
Dec 30, 2021	131	Old Dominion	L	69-75	33%
Jan 01, 2022	178	Charlotte	L	65-68	42%
Jan 08, 2022	100	@ Western Kentucky	L	67-81	13%
Jan 13, 2022	74	@ UAB	L	64-81	10%
Jan 15, 2022	267	@ Middle Tennessee	L	73-76	40%
Jan 20, 2022	118	Marshall	L	77-84	30%
Jan 22, 2022	100	Western Kentucky	L	70-78	25%
Jan 27, 2022	207	@ Texas San Antonio	L	76-83	29%
Jan 29, 2022	163	@ UTEP	L	67-76	23%
Feb 03, 2022	195	Southern Miss	L	71-72	46%
Feb 05, 2022	93	Louisiana Tech	L	70-79	24%
Feb 10, 2022	118	@ Marshall	L	74-87	17%
Feb 17, 2022	267	Middle Tennessee	W	76-73	59%
Feb 19, 2022	173	Rice	L	77-80	41%
Feb 24, 2022	178	@ Charlotte	L	62-71	25%
Feb 26, 2022	131	@ Old Dominion	L	66-78	18%
Mar 03, 2022	159	Florida Atlantic	L	72-75	39%
Mar 05, 2022	159	@ Florida Atlantic	L	69-78	23%
Projected Record						11 - 19	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Conference USA Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.6	1st
2nd												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0				1.1	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.4	0.7	0.4	0.1	0.0					1.6	3rd
4th										0.0	0.4	0.9	0.6	0.2	0.0						2.2	4th
5th									0.0	0.4	1.3	1.0	0.2	0.0							2.9	5th
6th								0.0	0.3	1.5	1.7	0.4	0.0								3.9	6th
7th								0.2	1.5	2.3	0.7	0.0									4.6	7th
8th							0.1	1.4	3.0	1.3	0.1										5.8	8th
9th						0.1	1.3	3.5	2.1	0.3	0.0										7.3	9th
10th					0.1	1.1	3.6	3.3	0.6	0.0											8.7	10th
11th				0.1	1.3	4.2	4.1	1.1	0.1												10.8	11th
12th			0.2	1.9	4.9	4.9	1.6	0.1	0.0												13.6	12th
13th	0.0	0.6	3.2	6.0	4.9	1.6	0.2	0.0													16.4	13th
14th	2.9	6.0	6.3	3.8	1.2	0.1															20.5	14th

Total	3.0	6.6	9.7	11.8	12.5	12.0	11.0	9.5	7.5	5.7	4.2	2.9	1.7	1.0	0.6	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	92.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0
15-3	66.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
14-4	23.5%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	10.1%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.3%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.6%	0.6		0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%														0.0									0.0
17-1	0.0%		57.5%	32.5%	25.0%	9.8						0.0				0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.0		37.0%
16-2	0.1%		31.7%	20.1%	11.6%	12.4												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.1		14.5%
15-3	0.3%		23.8%	20.6%	3.3%	12.5											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2		4.1%
14-4	0.6%		11.4%	11.4%		12.9											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.5
13-5	1.0%		9.5%	9.3%	0.2%	13.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.9		0.3%
12-6	1.7%		5.2%	5.2%		14.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	1.6
11-7	2.9%		3.5%	3.5%		14.3														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	2.8
10-8	4.2%		1.7%	1.7%		14.8														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	4.2
9-9	5.7%		0.9%	0.9%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	5.7
8-10	7.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																0.0	0.0	7.5
7-11	9.5%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.5
6-12	11.0%		0.2%	0.2%		15.5															0.0	0.0	0.0	10.9
5-13	12.0%																							12.0
4-14	12.5%																							12.5
3-15	11.8%																							11.8
2-16	9.7%																							9.7
1-17	6.6%																							6.6
0-18	3.0%																							3.0

Total	100%		0.6%	0.6%	0.0%	13.8						0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	99.4		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%