Preseason Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.3#238
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.3#141
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#242
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.3#248
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 13.7
.500 or above 22.5% 29.4% 7.1%
.500 or above in Conference 15.8% 20.0% 6.5%
Conference Champion 0.4% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 25.7% 20.0% 38.4%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 69.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 74 - 15
Quad 48 - 412 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 283   St. Francis (PA) W 77-72 69%    
  Nov 11, 2021 16   @ Maryland L 58-79 3%    
  Nov 13, 2021 263   @ UC San Diego L 74-76 43%    
  Nov 16, 2021 231   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 76-80 38%    
  Nov 19, 2021 258   Umass Lowell W 77-73 63%    
  Nov 22, 2021 115   Wright St. L 72-80 24%    
  Dec 01, 2021 197   Boston University W 71-70 52%    
  Dec 04, 2021 178   @ Charlotte L 62-69 29%    
  Dec 08, 2021 336   Coppin St. W 86-76 80%    
  Dec 13, 2021 264   Radford W 69-65 64%    
  Dec 22, 2021 356   Maryland Eastern Shore W 79-59 95%    
  Dec 30, 2021 28   St. Bonaventure L 61-75 13%    
  Jan 02, 2022 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 75-81 33%    
  Jan 05, 2022 162   @ Duquesne L 68-76 27%    
  Jan 08, 2022 87   Dayton L 66-73 28%    
  Jan 11, 2022 77   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 66-80 12%    
  Jan 17, 2022 169   George Mason L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 22, 2022 101   @ Rhode Island L 67-80 16%    
  Jan 26, 2022 79   @ Saint Louis L 65-79 13%    
  Jan 30, 2022 275   Fordham W 65-60 65%    
  Feb 02, 2022 210   La Salle W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 05, 2022 98   Davidson L 64-71 30%    
  Feb 09, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts L 71-82 20%    
  Feb 12, 2022 87   @ Dayton L 63-76 15%    
  Feb 19, 2022 101   Rhode Island L 70-77 30%    
  Feb 22, 2022 57   Richmond L 69-79 21%    
  Feb 27, 2022 169   @ George Mason L 68-75 28%    
  Mar 02, 2022 162   Duquesne L 71-73 45%    
  Mar 05, 2022 275   @ Fordham L 62-63 46%    
Projected Record 11 - 18 5 - 13





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 2.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.6 0.5 0.0 3.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.3 0.8 0.1 4.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 3.2 1.5 0.1 6.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 3.9 2.3 0.3 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.1 1.8 5.1 3.9 0.9 0.0 11.9 11th
12th 0.2 2.4 5.8 4.5 1.2 0.1 14.3 12th
13th 0.6 3.7 6.3 4.4 1.2 0.1 16.4 13th
14th 2.4 5.3 5.7 3.1 0.7 0.1 17.2 14th
Total 2.4 5.9 9.6 11.9 12.8 12.7 11.4 9.7 7.7 5.7 3.9 2.7 1.6 1.1 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 86.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 45.1% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 25.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.4% 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 30.0% 70.0% 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.0% 75.9% 27.8% 48.1% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 66.7%
16-2 0.1% 52.8% 15.5% 37.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 44.1%
15-3 0.3% 27.7% 14.5% 13.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 15.4%
14-4 0.5% 15.0% 9.2% 5.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 6.4%
13-5 1.1% 7.1% 6.0% 1.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.1%
12-6 1.6% 4.5% 4.4% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 0.2%
11-7 2.7% 2.4% 2.4% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7
10-8 3.9% 1.0% 1.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9
9-9 5.7% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.7
8-10 7.7% 0.3% 0.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7
7-11 9.7% 0.2% 0.2% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.7
6-12 11.4% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 11.4
5-13 12.7% 0.0% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 12.7
4-14 12.8% 12.8
3-15 11.9% 11.9
2-16 9.6% 9.6
1-17 5.9% 5.9
0-18 2.4% 2.4
Total 100% 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.5 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%