IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
George Washington
Atlantic 10
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.3	#238
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	70.3	#141
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-2.0	#242

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-2.3	#248

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.5%	0.7%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	12.1	12.0	13.7

.500 or above	22.5%	29.4%	7.1%
.500 or above in Conference	15.8%	20.0%	6.5%
Conference Champion	0.4%	0.6%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	25.7%	20.0%	38.4%

First Four	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
First Round	0.5%	0.7%	0.1%
Second Round	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis (PA) (Home) - 69.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 2	0 - 2
Quad 1b	0 - 2	0 - 4
Quad 2	1 - 5	1 - 8
Quad 3	3 - 7	4 - 15
Quad 4	8 - 4	12 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	283	St. Francis (PA)	W	77-72	69%
Nov 11, 2021	16	@ Maryland	L	58-79	3%
Nov 13, 2021	263	@ UC San Diego	L	74-76	43%
Nov 16, 2021	231	@ Cal St. Fullerton	L	76-80	38%
Nov 19, 2021	258	Umass Lowell	W	77-73	63%
Nov 22, 2021	115	Wright St.	L	72-80	24%
Dec 01, 2021	197	Boston University	W	71-70	52%
Dec 04, 2021	178	@ Charlotte	L	62-69	29%
Dec 08, 2021	336	Coppin St.	W	86-76	80%
Dec 13, 2021	264	Radford	W	69-65	64%
Dec 22, 2021	356	Maryland Eastern Shore	W	79-59	95%
Dec 30, 2021	28	St. Bonaventure	L	61-75	13%
Jan 02, 2022	193	@ Saint Joseph's	L	75-81	33%
Jan 05, 2022	162	@ Duquesne	L	68-76	27%
Jan 08, 2022	87	Dayton	L	66-73	28%
Jan 11, 2022	77	@ Virginia Commonwealth	L	66-80	12%
Jan 17, 2022	169	George Mason	L	71-72	45%
Jan 22, 2022	101	@ Rhode Island	L	67-80	16%
Jan 26, 2022	79	@ Saint Louis	L	65-79	13%
Jan 30, 2022	275	Fordham	W	65-60	65%
Feb 02, 2022	210	La Salle	W	74-73	53%
Feb 05, 2022	98	Davidson	L	64-71	30%
Feb 09, 2022	119	@ Massachusetts	L	71-82	20%
Feb 12, 2022	87	@ Dayton	L	63-76	15%
Feb 19, 2022	101	Rhode Island	L	70-77	30%
Feb 22, 2022	57	Richmond	L	69-79	21%
Feb 27, 2022	169	@ George Mason	L	68-75	28%
Mar 02, 2022	162	Duquesne	L	71-73	45%
Mar 05, 2022	275	@ Fordham	L	62-63	46%
Projected Record						11 - 18	5 - 13

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0		0.4	1st
2nd												0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0				0.8	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.2	0.5	0.5	0.1	0.0					1.4	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	0.8	0.6	0.2	0.0						1.9	4th
5th									0.0	0.3	1.1	1.1	0.3	0.0							2.8	5th
6th								0.0	0.2	1.4	1.6	0.5	0.0								3.7	6th
7th							0.0	0.2	1.4	2.3	0.8	0.1									4.8	7th
8th							0.1	1.5	3.2	1.5	0.1										6.4	8th
9th						0.1	1.5	3.9	2.3	0.3	0.0										8.1	9th
10th				0.0	0.1	1.6	4.5	3.1	0.5	0.0	0.0										9.8	10th
11th				0.1	1.8	5.1	3.9	0.9	0.0												11.9	11th
12th			0.2	2.4	5.8	4.5	1.2	0.1													14.3	12th
13th		0.6	3.7	6.3	4.4	1.2	0.1														16.4	13th
14th	2.4	5.3	5.7	3.1	0.7	0.1															17.2	14th

Total	2.4	5.9	9.6	11.9	12.8	12.7	11.4	9.7	7.7	5.7	3.9	2.7	1.6	1.1	0.5	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0			Total

Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-2	86.8%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	45.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
14-4	25.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	4.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.6%	0.0			0.0	0.0		0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.4%	0.4		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		100.0%	30.0%	70.0%	3.7			0.0	0.0			0.0													100.0%
17-1	0.0%		75.9%	27.8%	48.1%	8.1				0.0		0.0	0.0			0.0		0.0	0.0					0.0		66.7%
16-2	0.1%		52.8%	15.5%	37.3%	9.9								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		44.1%
15-3	0.3%		27.7%	14.5%	13.2%	11.0							0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0				0.2		15.4%
14-4	0.5%		15.0%	9.2%	5.8%	11.7									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.4		6.4%
13-5	1.1%		7.1%	6.0%	1.1%	12.4										0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			1.0		1.1%
12-6	1.6%		4.5%	4.4%	0.1%	12.7											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		1.5		0.2%
11-7	2.7%		2.4%	2.4%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		2.7
10-8	3.9%		1.0%	1.0%		13.1													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		3.9
9-9	5.7%		0.3%	0.3%		14.0													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		5.7
8-10	7.7%		0.3%	0.3%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	7.7
7-11	9.7%		0.2%	0.2%		15.1														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	9.7
6-12	11.4%		0.0%	0.0%		15.0																0.0		11.4
5-13	12.7%		0.0%	0.0%		15.1																0.0	0.0	12.7
4-14	12.8%																							12.8
3-15	11.9%																							11.9
2-16	9.6%																							9.6
1-17	5.9%																							5.9
0-18	2.4%																							2.4

Total	100%		0.5%	0.4%	0.1%	12.1			0.0	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	99.5		0.1%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.1%