Preseason Rankings
Holy Cross
Patriot League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-9.3#321
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.1#151
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#279
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#331
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.9% 4.9% 1.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 16.9% 43.6% 14.0%
.500 or above in Conference 24.8% 46.8% 22.4%
Conference Champion 1.6% 4.9% 1.2%
Last Place in Conference 27.7% 11.9% 29.4%
First Four0.9% 1.1% 0.8%
First Round1.5% 4.3% 1.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 9.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 31 - 71 - 10
Quad 48 - 1010 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2021 144   @ Boston College L 70-84 10%    
  Nov 15, 2021 261   @ Quinnipiac L 73-80 27%    
  Nov 20, 2021 306   Air Force L 67-68 45%    
  Nov 27, 2021 241   New Hampshire L 70-72 44%    
  Dec 01, 2021 346   @ Central Connecticut St. W 78-76 56%    
  Dec 04, 2021 210   @ La Salle L 69-79 20%    
  Dec 08, 2021 260   @ Fairfield L 64-71 29%    
  Dec 11, 2021 227   Siena L 69-72 41%    
  Dec 19, 2021 160   @ Harvard L 67-80 15%    
  Dec 22, 2021 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 73-84 19%    
  Jan 01, 2022 184   Navy L 69-74 33%    
  Jan 04, 2022 276   @ Loyola Maryland L 70-76 31%    
  Jan 07, 2022 292   Lafayette W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 10, 2022 297   @ Lehigh L 73-78 35%    
  Jan 13, 2022 259   American L 71-72 47%    
  Jan 16, 2022 105   @ Colgate L 71-88 8%    
  Jan 19, 2022 292   @ Lafayette L 73-78 34%    
  Jan 22, 2022 294   Bucknell W 78-77 53%    
  Jan 26, 2022 259   @ American L 68-75 29%    
  Jan 29, 2022 297   Lehigh W 76-75 53%    
  Jan 31, 2022 197   @ Boston University L 66-77 20%    
  Feb 05, 2022 257   @ Army L 69-76 29%    
  Feb 09, 2022 276   Loyola Maryland L 72-73 49%    
  Feb 12, 2022 294   @ Bucknell L 75-80 34%    
  Feb 16, 2022 197   Boston University L 69-74 36%    
  Feb 19, 2022 184   @ Navy L 66-77 19%    
  Feb 23, 2022 105   Colgate L 74-85 19%    
  Feb 26, 2022 257   Army L 72-73 47%    
Projected Record 9 - 19 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Patriot League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 5.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 1.5 0.4 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.6 3.4 1.9 0.3 0.0 8.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 3.4 4.4 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.7 6th
7th 0.1 1.2 4.2 4.8 1.7 0.2 0.0 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.2 4.9 1.8 0.2 0.0 14.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 3.6 6.0 4.2 1.4 0.2 0.0 16.5 9th
10th 1.7 4.2 6.0 4.9 2.6 0.7 0.1 20.1 10th
Total 1.7 4.3 7.0 8.8 10.9 11.3 11.4 10.7 9.2 7.4 6.2 4.2 2.9 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Patriot League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 83.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 66.1% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
14-4 41.9% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.0
13-5 15.2% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 3.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 50.9% 50.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 19.5% 19.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.6% 22.6% 22.6% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.5
14-4 1.1% 18.4% 18.4% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9
13-5 1.9% 12.9% 12.9% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.7
12-6 2.9% 9.3% 9.3% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.7
11-7 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 4.0
10-8 6.2% 4.1% 4.1% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 6.0
9-9 7.4% 2.7% 2.7% 15.9 0.0 0.2 7.2
8-10 9.2% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.1 9.1
7-11 10.7% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.1 10.6
6-12 11.4% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 11.3
5-13 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
4-14 10.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.9
3-15 8.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.8
2-16 7.0% 7.0
1-17 4.3% 4.3
0-18 1.7% 1.7
Total 100% 1.9% 1.9% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 98.1 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%