IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Idaho
Big Sky
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-12.8	#341
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.7	#245
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-6.4	#339

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-6.4	#339

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.3%	0.7%	0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	15.4	15.9

.500 or above	2.9%	6.4%	0.9%
.500 or above in Conference	6.8%	12.1%	3.8%
Conference Champion	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Last Place in Conference	48.4%	35.4%	55.8%

First Four	0.2%	0.3%	0.1%
First Round	0.2%	0.5%	0.1%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Long Beach St. (Home) - 36.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 0	0 - 0
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 2	0 - 4	0 - 5
Quad 3	1 - 10	1 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 9	6 - 23

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 10, 2021	271	Long Beach St.	L	74-78	36%
Nov 15, 2021	138	@ Fresno St.	L	59-77	6%
Nov 18, 2021	69	Washington St.	L	60-78	6%
Nov 22, 2021	209	Utah Valley	L	67-78	18%
Nov 27, 2021	130	@ North Dakota St.	L	59-77	6%
Dec 04, 2021	122	Southern Utah	L	67-80	14%
Dec 08, 2021	99	South Dakota St.	L	69-84	11%
Dec 11, 2021	203	@ Cal St. Bakersfield	L	59-73	13%
Dec 22, 2021	148	@ UC Riverside	L	59-76	8%
Dec 30, 2021	324	@ Northern Arizona	L	64-70	32%
Jan 01, 2022	220	@ Portland St.	L	66-79	15%
Jan 06, 2022	204	Montana St.	L	67-75	26%
Jan 08, 2022	219	@ Eastern Washington	L	69-82	15%
Jan 13, 2022	129	@ Weber St.	L	67-85	7%
Jan 15, 2022	236	@ Idaho St.	L	60-72	17%
Jan 20, 2022	201	Northern Colorado	L	67-75	27%
Jan 22, 2022	287	Sacramento St.	L	66-69	41%
Jan 27, 2022	161	@ Montana	L	60-76	10%
Jan 29, 2022	204	@ Montana St.	L	64-78	14%
Feb 03, 2022	122	@ Southern Utah	L	64-83	7%
Feb 10, 2022	236	Idaho St.	L	63-69	32%
Feb 12, 2022	129	Weber St.	L	70-82	17%
Feb 17, 2022	161	Montana	L	63-73	22%
Feb 19, 2022	219	Eastern Washington	L	72-79	30%
Feb 24, 2022	287	@ Sacramento St.	L	63-72	24%
Feb 26, 2022	201	@ Northern Colorado	L	64-78	14%
Mar 03, 2022	220	Portland St.	L	69-76	30%
Mar 05, 2022	324	Northern Arizona	W	67-66	50%
Projected Record						5 - 23	4 - 16

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Big Sky Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0			0.2	1st
2nd												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0					0.4	2nd
3rd											0.0	0.1	0.3	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0						0.8	3rd
4th										0.0	0.2	0.6	0.5	0.2	0.0	0.0							1.5	4th
5th								0.0	0.0	0.4	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.0									2.3	5th
6th							0.0	0.1	0.7	1.4	1.1	0.3	0.0										3.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.3	1.4	2.3	1.5	0.4	0.0											5.9	7th
8th					0.1	0.8	2.5	3.4	1.8	0.4	0.0	0.0											9.0	8th
9th			0.0	0.4	2.3	4.6	4.4	2.0	0.4	0.0													14.2	9th
10th		0.4	2.6	6.2	7.3	4.9	1.8	0.3	0.0														23.5	10th
11th	5.8	10.1	10.6	7.5	3.3	1.0	0.1	0.0															38.3	11th

Total	5.8	10.5	13.2	14.1	13.0	11.2	9.2	7.2	5.3	3.7	2.7	1.7	1.1	0.6	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0				Total

Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	100.0%	0.0		0.0	0.0
17-3	91.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0
16-4	61.8%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	31.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
14-6	12.1%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
13-7	2.5%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%																			0.0				0.0
18-2	0.0%		22.2%	22.2%		14.0															0.0			0.0
17-3	0.0%		41.5%	41.5%		13.8														0.0	0.0			0.0
16-4	0.1%		16.5%	16.5%		14.4														0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1
15-5	0.2%		14.6%	14.6%		14.7														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.2
14-6	0.3%		8.3%	8.3%		15.1															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
13-7	0.6%		6.7%	6.7%		15.3															0.0	0.0	0.0	0.6
12-8	1.1%		4.3%	4.3%		15.8																0.0	0.0	1.0
11-9	1.7%		2.8%	2.8%		15.9																0.0	0.0	1.6
10-10	2.7%		1.4%	1.4%		16.0																	0.0	2.7
9-11	3.7%		0.6%	0.6%		16.0																	0.0	3.7
8-12	5.3%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
7-13	7.2%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	7.1
6-14	9.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.2
5-15	11.2%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
4-16	13.0%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	13.0
3-17	14.1%																							14.1
2-18	13.2%																							13.2
1-19	10.5%																							10.5
0-20	5.8%																							5.8

Total	100%		0.3%	0.3%	0.0%	15.5														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	99.7		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	4.0%