Preseason Rankings
Iona
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#146
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.3#203
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#169
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#135
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.5% 0.7% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 25.6% 30.4% 15.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.4 13.2 14.4
.500 or above 78.1% 86.5% 59.7%
.500 or above in Conference 85.2% 90.2% 74.4%
Conference Champion 34.0% 40.1% 20.8%
Last Place in Conference 1.8% 0.9% 3.7%
First Four1.5% 1.3% 1.8%
First Round24.9% 29.7% 14.4%
Second Round3.9% 5.2% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.5% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Appalachian St. (Home) - 68.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 55 - 8
Quad 415 - 420 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 182   Appalachian St. W 69-64 69%    
  Nov 13, 2021 160   Harvard W 73-69 64%    
  Nov 16, 2021 192   Hofstra W 76-70 69%    
  Nov 19, 2021 110   Liberty L 64-67 40%    
  Nov 20, 2021 318   North Alabama W 77-67 82%    
  Nov 25, 2021 15   Alabama L 71-84 14%    
  Dec 01, 2021 246   @ Marist W 67-64 61%    
  Dec 03, 2021 248   Rider W 76-67 78%    
  Dec 12, 2021 126   Yale L 71-72 46%    
  Dec 18, 2021 41   Seton Hall L 64-74 22%    
  Dec 21, 2021 181   Delaware W 70-68 57%    
  Dec 31, 2021 227   Siena W 72-64 74%    
  Jan 02, 2022 260   @ Fairfield W 67-63 62%    
  Jan 07, 2022 191   @ St. Peter's L 66-67 49%    
  Jan 09, 2022 216   @ Monmouth W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 14, 2022 278   Manhattan W 72-61 80%    
  Jan 16, 2022 250   Niagara W 72-63 77%    
  Jan 21, 2022 246   Marist W 70-61 77%    
  Jan 23, 2022 261   @ Quinnipiac W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 30, 2022 191   St. Peter's W 69-63 67%    
  Feb 04, 2022 265   @ Canisius W 75-71 62%    
  Feb 06, 2022 250   @ Niagara W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 11, 2022 227   @ Siena W 69-67 57%    
  Feb 13, 2022 216   Monmouth W 80-73 72%    
  Feb 20, 2022 260   Fairfield W 70-60 78%    
  Feb 25, 2022 265   Canisius W 78-68 78%    
  Feb 27, 2022 248   @ Rider W 73-70 60%    
  Mar 03, 2022 278   @ Manhattan W 69-64 64%    
  Mar 05, 2022 261   Quinnipiac W 78-68 78%    
Projected Record 18 - 11 14 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.9 6.8 7.8 6.9 4.7 2.0 34.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 4.9 5.4 3.5 1.2 0.2 18.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 2.8 4.5 3.4 1.2 0.2 0.0 12.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.6 3.6 1.9 0.4 0.0 0.0 9.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 2.2 2.9 1.4 0.2 0.0 7.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 1.6 2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 5.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0 3.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.1 2.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 1.1 11th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.6 4.6 6.0 7.2 8.5 9.5 10.2 10.5 10.5 9.0 7.2 4.7 2.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 2.0    2.0
19-1 100.0% 4.7    4.6 0.1
18-2 97.1% 6.9    6.4 0.6 0.0
17-3 86.1% 7.8    6.3 1.5 0.0
16-4 64.6% 6.8    4.3 2.2 0.3
15-5 37.4% 3.9    1.7 1.7 0.4 0.1
14-6 15.4% 1.6    0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-7 3.2% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-10 0.0%
Total 34.0% 34.0 25.8 6.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 2.0% 82.1% 72.6% 9.5% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 34.6%
19-1 4.7% 67.5% 63.3% 4.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.5 11.4%
18-2 7.2% 56.1% 54.2% 1.9% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.1 4.1%
17-3 9.0% 43.5% 43.0% 0.5% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.3 0.4 0.0 5.1 0.9%
16-4 10.5% 34.9% 34.9% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.1 6.8 0.0%
15-5 10.5% 29.4% 29.4% 14.3 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.2 7.4
14-6 10.2% 23.4% 23.4% 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 0.4 7.8
13-7 9.5% 16.2% 16.2% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 7.9
12-8 8.5% 12.1% 12.1% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 7.5
11-9 7.2% 8.4% 8.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 6.6
10-10 6.0% 5.2% 5.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 5.7
9-11 4.6% 3.2% 3.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 4.5
8-12 3.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.5
7-13 2.5% 1.5% 1.5% 16.0 0.0 2.5
6-14 1.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.0 1.7
5-15 1.1% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-16 0.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6
3-17 0.3% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 0.3
2-18 0.2% 0.2
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 25.6% 25.1% 0.6% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 3.2 6.1 6.0 5.1 2.7 74.4 0.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 3.6 5.6 19.5 25.1 28.4 9.8 5.9 3.8 1.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 5.2 20.6 17.6 20.6 20.6 20.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 7.9 42.4 18.2 39.4
Lose Out 0.0%