Preseason Rankings
La Salle
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#210
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.2#147
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense-1.3#222
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#201
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.6% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.4 11.3 12.6
.500 or above 32.9% 39.3% 11.6%
.500 or above in Conference 24.0% 28.0% 10.9%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 17.8% 14.2% 29.6%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round1.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacred Heart (Home) - 76.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 65 - 14
Quad 48 - 313 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 288   Sacred Heart W 76-68 77%    
  Nov 13, 2021 244   Albany W 75-70 69%    
  Nov 17, 2021 181   @ Delaware L 68-73 34%    
  Nov 20, 2021 257   Army W 75-69 70%    
  Nov 28, 2021 6   Villanova L 61-77 10%    
  Dec 01, 2021 120   @ Temple L 66-75 24%    
  Dec 04, 2021 321   Holy Cross W 79-69 80%    
  Dec 07, 2021 323   Fairleigh Dickinson W 83-72 81%    
  Dec 11, 2021 187   Penn W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 18, 2021 294   @ Bucknell W 77-75 56%    
  Dec 21, 2021 175   Drexel W 70-69 53%    
  Dec 30, 2021 275   Fordham W 66-59 71%    
  Jan 02, 2022 101   @ Rhode Island L 67-78 20%    
  Jan 05, 2022 79   @ Saint Louis L 66-78 17%    
  Jan 08, 2022 77   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-75 31%    
  Jan 11, 2022 28   St. Bonaventure L 62-74 18%    
  Jan 17, 2022 193   @ Saint Joseph's L 76-80 38%    
  Jan 22, 2022 57   Richmond L 69-77 25%    
  Jan 26, 2022 119   Massachusetts L 75-78 41%    
  Jan 29, 2022 98   @ Davidson L 62-73 20%    
  Feb 02, 2022 238   @ George Washington L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 05, 2022 169   George Mason W 72-71 52%    
  Feb 08, 2022 79   Saint Louis L 69-75 32%    
  Feb 12, 2022 57   @ Richmond L 66-80 13%    
  Feb 19, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts L 72-81 25%    
  Feb 23, 2022 275   @ Fordham W 63-62 52%    
  Feb 26, 2022 87   Dayton L 66-71 34%    
  Mar 02, 2022 193   Saint Joseph's W 79-77 57%    
  Mar 05, 2022 162   @ Duquesne L 68-74 33%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.7 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.8 2.3 0.7 0.0 5.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.2 1.3 0.1 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.8 1.8 0.2 0.0 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.6 4.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 9.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.5 4.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 10.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.7 5.0 4.1 1.0 0.0 11.9 11th
12th 0.2 2.0 5.1 4.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.7 12th
13th 0.4 2.6 4.9 3.6 1.1 0.1 0.0 12.7 13th
14th 1.3 3.5 3.8 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 11.3 14th
Total 1.3 3.9 6.6 9.2 11.0 11.9 11.8 11.1 9.2 7.6 5.9 4.2 2.8 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 82.5% 0.2    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 51.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 20.3% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 5.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 41.9% 58.1% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 90.2% 30.9% 59.3% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 85.8%
16-2 0.2% 65.2% 16.6% 48.6% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 58.3%
15-3 0.5% 39.7% 15.1% 24.7% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 29.0%
14-4 1.0% 22.1% 10.2% 11.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.8 13.3%
13-5 1.7% 11.3% 6.4% 4.8% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.5 5.2%
12-6 2.8% 5.4% 4.6% 0.8% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.8%
11-7 4.2% 3.0% 2.7% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 0.3%
10-8 5.9% 1.1% 1.0% 0.0% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.8 0.0%
9-9 7.6% 0.7% 0.7% 0.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.6 0.0%
8-10 9.2% 0.3% 0.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.2
7-11 11.1% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 11.1
6-12 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 11.8
5-13 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.9
4-14 11.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.0
3-15 9.2% 9.2
2-16 6.6% 6.6
1-17 3.9% 3.9
0-18 1.3% 1.3
Total 100% 1.3% 0.8% 0.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.7 0.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%