IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Louisiana Monroe
Sun Belt
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-5.9	#269
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	66.9	#243
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-4.1	#298

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-1.8	#235

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	2.7%	9.9%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Average Seed	14.7	13.8	14.8

.500 or above	21.7%	63.1%	20.6%
.500 or above in Conference	31.3%	65.9%	30.4%
Conference Champion	2.7%	12.4%	2.5%
Last Place in Conference	21.1%	3.8%	21.5%

First Four	0.5%	0.3%	0.5%
First Round	2.5%	9.8%	2.4%
Second Round	0.2%	0.9%	0.1%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Away) - 2.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 6
Quad 3	2 - 7	2 - 13
Quad 4	8 - 6	10 - 18

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	36	@ LSU	L	64-85	2%
Nov 12, 2021	26	@ Auburn	L	63-85	3%
Nov 22, 2021	338	Northwestern St.	W	77-71	70%
Nov 24, 2021	93	@ Louisiana Tech	L	63-78	11%
Nov 28, 2021	62	@ SMU	L	63-81	7%
Dec 04, 2021	338	Northwestern St.	W	78-69	77%
Dec 14, 2021	153	@ Stephen F. Austin	L	66-76	21%
Dec 18, 2021	195	Southern Miss	L	67-68	46%
Dec 20, 2021	308	@ Lamar	L	69-70	48%
Dec 30, 2021	190	@ Coastal Carolina	L	69-77	26%
Jan 01, 2022	182	@ Appalachian St.	L	61-69	25%
Jan 06, 2022	277	Arkansas Little Rock	W	69-66	60%
Jan 08, 2022	194	Arkansas St.	L	70-71	46%
Jan 13, 2022	174	@ Texas St.	L	58-67	24%
Jan 15, 2022	224	@ Texas Arlington	L	66-72	33%
Jan 20, 2022	243	Troy	W	70-68	55%
Jan 22, 2022	214	South Alabama	L	68-69	49%
Jan 27, 2022	245	Georgia Southern	W	67-65	55%
Jan 29, 2022	121	Georgia St.	L	70-76	32%
Feb 03, 2022	194	@ Arkansas St.	L	67-74	28%
Feb 05, 2022	277	@ Arkansas Little Rock	L	66-69	42%
Feb 10, 2022	224	Texas Arlington	W	70-69	51%
Feb 12, 2022	174	Texas St.	L	61-64	41%
Feb 17, 2022	171	Louisiana	L	72-75	41%
Feb 19, 2022	171	@ Louisiana	L	69-78	24%
Feb 24, 2022	121	@ Georgia St.	L	67-79	18%
Feb 26, 2022	245	@ Georgia Southern	L	64-68	37%
Projected Record						10 - 17	7 - 11

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Sun Belt Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.1	0.4	0.8	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0		2.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.3	1.0	1.4	0.8	0.2	0.0				3.8	2nd
3rd										0.0	0.3	1.6	1.7	0.8	0.2	0.0					4.6	3rd
4th									0.0	0.4	2.0	2.5	1.0	0.1	0.0						6.0	4th
5th								0.0	0.4	2.0	2.9	1.2	0.1								6.6	5th
6th							0.0	0.3	2.1	3.6	1.5	0.2	0.0								7.7	6th
7th						0.0	0.2	2.0	4.0	2.1	0.2	0.0									8.6	7th
8th					0.0	0.3	2.0	4.5	2.7	0.3	0.0										9.8	8th
9th				0.0	0.3	2.0	4.7	3.1	0.5	0.0											10.7	9th
10th			0.0	0.6	2.6	4.6	3.4	0.7	0.0												11.9	10th
11th		0.1	1.3	3.6	4.6	2.9	0.7	0.0													13.2	11th
12th	1.1	3.0	4.2	3.7	1.8	0.5	0.0														14.2	12th

Total	1.1	3.1	5.5	7.9	9.3	10.3	11.0	10.7	9.8	8.4	7.0	5.8	4.0	2.7	1.7	0.9	0.5	0.2	0.0			Total

Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.2		0.2	0.0
16-2	94.6%	0.5		0.4	0.1	0.0
15-3	75.0%	0.7		0.4	0.2	0.0
14-4	44.8%	0.8		0.4	0.3	0.1
13-5	15.1%	0.4		0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0
12-6	3.5%	0.1		0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.3%	0.0				0.0		0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	2.7%	2.7		1.5	0.9	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		74.4%	74.4%		11.5									0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0			0.0
17-1	0.2%		35.5%	31.6%	3.9%	12.4									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.1		5.7%
16-2	0.5%		38.4%	37.4%	1.0%	13.2											0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.3		1.6%
15-3	0.9%		25.1%	25.1%		13.6												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.7
14-4	1.7%		20.6%	20.4%	0.1%	14.1											0.0		0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	1.4		0.2%
13-5	2.7%		14.8%	14.8%		14.7													0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	2.3
12-6	4.0%		10.8%	10.8%		15.0														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	3.6
11-7	5.8%		6.7%	6.7%		15.3														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	5.5
10-8	7.0%		3.5%	3.5%		15.6															0.0	0.1	0.2	6.7
9-9	8.4%		2.2%	2.2%		15.7															0.0	0.0	0.1	8.2
8-10	9.8%		1.1%	1.1%		15.9															0.0	0.0	0.1	9.7
7-11	10.7%		0.5%	0.5%		16.0																0.0	0.0	10.7
6-12	11.0%		0.4%	0.4%		16.0																	0.0	11.0
5-13	10.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	10.3
4-14	9.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	9.3
3-15	7.9%																							7.9
2-16	5.5%																							5.5
1-17	3.1%																							3.1
0-18	1.1%																							1.1

Total	100%		2.7%	2.7%	0.0%	14.7									0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.6	0.8	0.9	97.3		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%