Preseason Rankings
Mississippi
Southeastern
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#66
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace63.2#317
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.1#114
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#34
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 5.3% 5.5% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 10.3% 10.6% 0.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 30.6% 31.5% 6.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.0% 28.9% 6.2%
Average Seed 7.7 7.7 9.3
.500 or above 70.6% 72.1% 30.8%
.500 or above in Conference 48.0% 49.1% 18.7%
Conference Champion 4.4% 4.5% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 7.9% 7.4% 22.1%
First Four3.5% 3.5% 1.7%
First Round28.9% 29.8% 5.5%
Second Round16.3% 16.9% 2.3%
Sweet Sixteen6.6% 6.8% 0.6%
Elite Eight2.8% 2.9% 0.1%
Final Four1.2% 1.2% 0.1%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
National Champion0.2% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: New Orleans (Home) - 96.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 7
Quad 24 - 36 - 11
Quad 35 - 211 - 13
Quad 46 - 018 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 298   New Orleans W 82-63 96%    
  Nov 12, 2021 335   Charleston Southern W 79-56 98%    
  Nov 18, 2021 78   Marquette W 66-65 55%    
  Nov 26, 2021 358   Mississippi Valley W 88-52 99.9%   
  Nov 30, 2021 248   Rider W 75-59 91%    
  Dec 04, 2021 11   Memphis L 66-70 38%    
  Dec 11, 2021 100   Western Kentucky W 68-65 60%    
  Dec 15, 2021 267   Middle Tennessee W 76-59 92%    
  Dec 18, 2021 87   Dayton W 66-61 66%    
  Dec 21, 2021 255   Samford W 81-64 91%    
  Dec 29, 2021 33   Florida L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 05, 2022 23   @ Tennessee L 61-69 27%    
  Jan 08, 2022 56   Mississippi St. W 66-64 57%    
  Jan 11, 2022 94   @ Texas A&M L 63-64 49%    
  Jan 15, 2022 26   Auburn L 70-71 46%    
  Jan 18, 2022 84   Missouri W 69-64 65%    
  Jan 22, 2022 56   @ Mississippi St. L 63-67 39%    
  Jan 26, 2022 17   Arkansas L 70-72 43%    
  Jan 29, 2022 89   Kansas St. W 65-60 67%    
  Feb 01, 2022 36   @ LSU L 69-75 31%    
  Feb 05, 2022 33   @ Florida L 64-71 30%    
  Feb 09, 2022 15   Alabama L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 12, 2022 84   @ Missouri L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 15, 2022 104   South Carolina W 76-69 70%    
  Feb 19, 2022 133   @ Georgia W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 23, 2022 26   @ Auburn L 67-74 29%    
  Feb 26, 2022 94   Texas A&M W 66-60 67%    
  Mar 01, 2022 14   @ Kentucky L 63-72 24%    
  Mar 05, 2022 92   Vanderbilt W 71-65 67%    
Projected Record 17 - 12 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 4.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.9 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 5.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.9 2.5 2.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.6 0.7 0.0 0.0 7.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.9 3.3 0.8 0.0 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.7 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 4.2 1.8 0.1 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.1 2.6 0.3 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 3.9 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.3 3.5 0.8 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.9 3.5 1.1 0.1 8.2 11th
12th 0.1 0.7 2.4 3.0 1.3 0.1 7.6 12th
13th 0.1 0.9 2.1 2.4 1.0 0.1 6.6 13th
14th 0.3 1.0 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 4.6 14th
Total 0.3 1.1 2.4 4.2 6.0 7.8 9.3 10.3 10.6 10.6 9.6 8.5 6.7 5.2 3.7 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 97.9% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 83.8% 0.9    0.7 0.2 0.0
15-3 61.7% 1.4    0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0
14-4 31.0% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.3% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.4% 4.4 2.4 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 32.2% 67.8% 1.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.5% 100.0% 34.2% 65.8% 1.9 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.1% 99.8% 28.5% 71.3% 2.8 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
15-3 2.2% 100.0% 23.5% 76.5% 3.9 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.7% 98.5% 16.4% 82.1% 5.2 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.2%
13-5 5.2% 93.1% 12.5% 80.6% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 92.1%
12-6 6.7% 83.2% 7.3% 75.9% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.2 0.0 1.1 81.8%
11-7 8.5% 63.6% 4.1% 59.5% 9.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 3.1 62.1%
10-8 9.6% 42.9% 2.4% 40.5% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.1 0.6 0.1 5.5 41.5%
9-9 10.6% 21.7% 1.3% 20.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 8.3 20.7%
8-10 10.6% 7.5% 0.6% 6.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 9.8 6.9%
7-11 10.3% 1.7% 0.3% 1.4% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.1 1.4%
6-12 9.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.3 0.1%
5-13 7.8% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 7.8
4-14 6.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15 4.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 4.2
2-16 2.4% 2.4
1-17 1.1% 1.1
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 30.6% 3.6% 27.0% 7.7 0.6 1.1 1.6 2.0 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.9 2.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 69.4 28.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 1.1 87.5 12.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 1.3 70.0 30.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 1.0 100.0