Preseason Rankings
Oral Roberts
Summit League
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#154
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.5#53
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#82
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#254
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 1.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.4% 29.7% 14.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 1.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 13.9 12.8 14.3
.500 or above 75.5% 95.1% 72.5%
.500 or above in Conference 87.3% 96.7% 85.9%
Conference Champion 19.3% 35.4% 16.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.3% 0.0% 0.4%
First Four1.3% 1.1% 1.4%
First Round15.8% 29.2% 13.8%
Second Round2.1% 6.2% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 2.1% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Colorado St. (Away) - 13.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 31 - 5
Quad 33 - 44 - 8
Quad 413 - 317 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 51   @ Colorado St. L 74-86 13%    
  Nov 20, 2021 334   @ Central Arkansas W 88-79 79%    
  Nov 26, 2021 35   Oklahoma St. L 78-86 24%    
  Nov 29, 2021 108   Tulsa L 73-74 47%    
  Dec 02, 2021 80   @ TCU L 72-81 22%    
  Dec 04, 2021 348   @ Houston Baptist W 93-80 86%    
  Dec 11, 2021 96   @ Missouri St. L 75-83 25%    
  Dec 16, 2021 224   Texas Arlington W 82-75 72%    
  Dec 20, 2021 186   @ South Dakota L 81-82 45%    
  Dec 22, 2021 99   @ South Dakota St. L 81-89 27%    
  Dec 30, 2021 344   Denver W 91-74 91%    
  Jan 01, 2022 326   Nebraska Omaha W 89-75 86%    
  Jan 06, 2022 353   @ St. Thomas W 87-70 91%    
  Jan 08, 2022 274   @ Western Illinois W 86-82 61%    
  Jan 15, 2022 233   @ UMKC W 71-69 55%    
  Jan 20, 2022 313   North Dakota W 84-72 83%    
  Jan 22, 2022 130   North Dakota St. W 75-74 54%    
  Jan 27, 2022 326   @ Nebraska Omaha W 86-78 73%    
  Jan 29, 2022 344   @ Denver W 88-77 80%    
  Feb 03, 2022 274   Western Illinois W 89-79 78%    
  Feb 05, 2022 353   St. Thomas W 90-67 96%    
  Feb 12, 2022 233   UMKC W 74-66 72%    
  Feb 17, 2022 130   @ North Dakota St. L 72-77 35%    
  Feb 19, 2022 313   @ North Dakota W 81-75 69%    
  Feb 24, 2022 99   South Dakota St. L 84-86 45%    
  Feb 26, 2022 186   South Dakota W 84-79 64%    
Projected Record 16 - 10 12 - 6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.4 5.0 5.9 3.8 1.4 19.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.2 7.3 4.7 1.2 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.1 6.5 6.3 2.4 0.2 19.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.7 6.2 3.8 0.8 0.0 15.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.6 4.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 11.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.7 2.2 0.7 0.1 7.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.3 1.0 1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.8 0.4 0.1 2.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.4 5.1 7.1 9.3 11.3 12.3 12.9 12.1 10.0 7.1 3.8 1.4 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 1.4    1.4
17-1 100.0% 3.8    3.5 0.3
16-2 83.7% 5.9    4.2 1.7 0.0
15-3 50.5% 5.0    2.4 2.2 0.4
14-4 20.0% 2.4    0.7 1.2 0.5 0.0
13-5 4.5% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 19.3% 19.3 12.4 5.6 1.1 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 1.4% 68.6% 62.3% 6.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 16.6%
17-1 3.8% 52.5% 50.3% 2.2% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.8 4.5%
16-2 7.1% 42.4% 41.8% 0.6% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 0.9 0.4 0.0 4.1 1.0%
15-3 10.0% 31.3% 31.2% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.1 6.9 0.1%
14-4 12.1% 22.2% 22.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.3 9.4
13-5 12.9% 15.5% 15.5% 14.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.6 10.9
12-6 12.3% 9.4% 9.4% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.5 11.2
11-7 11.3% 6.3% 6.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 10.6
10-8 9.3% 4.5% 4.5% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 8.9
9-9 7.1% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.9
8-10 5.1% 1.9% 1.9% 16.0 0.0 0.1 5.0
7-11 3.4% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.3
6-12 2.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 2.1
5-13 1.1% 1.1
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 16.4% 16.2% 0.2% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.6 3.4 4.0 3.9 2.7 83.6 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 4.8 3.3 6.7 13.3 25.2 22.9 15.7 6.2 3.8 2.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 89.7% 5.8 10.3 10.3 29.4 10.3 10.3 10.3 8.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 8.2 30.0 35.0 35.0