Preseason Rankings
Pepperdine
West Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.5#147
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace75.6#51
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#123
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#183
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.4% 0.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.3% 7.8% 1.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.3% 6.2% 1.0%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 10.6
.500 or above 38.1% 55.9% 23.9%
.500 or above in Conference 29.5% 40.5% 20.7%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.3% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.0% 6.9% 16.0%
First Four1.0% 1.8% 0.4%
First Round3.7% 6.8% 1.3%
Second Round1.5% 2.9% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rice (Away) - 44.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 7
Quad 22 - 42 - 12
Quad 34 - 46 - 16
Quad 48 - 214 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 173   @ Rice L 80-81 45%    
  Nov 12, 2021 236   Idaho St. W 75-67 78%    
  Nov 15, 2021 209   Utah Valley W 82-75 72%    
  Nov 17, 2021 208   UC Davis W 81-74 72%    
  Nov 20, 2021 111   @ UC Irvine L 71-77 31%    
  Nov 23, 2021 138   Fresno St. L 72-73 48%    
  Nov 24, 2021 80   TCU L 72-77 33%    
  Nov 27, 2021 142   Grand Canyon W 74-71 59%    
  Nov 30, 2021 63   @ Nevada L 75-85 20%    
  Dec 03, 2021 97   @ UC Santa Barbara L 71-78 28%    
  Dec 06, 2021 322   San Jose St. W 89-75 87%    
  Dec 11, 2021 351   Alabama St. W 86-65 96%    
  Dec 18, 2021 268   Southeast Missouri St. W 82-72 80%    
  Dec 21, 2021 19   @ Oregon L 69-84 11%    
  Jan 01, 2022 137   @ Pacific L 72-76 39%    
  Jan 06, 2022 170   San Diego W 80-76 64%    
  Jan 08, 2022 1   @ Gonzaga L 75-98 4%    
  Jan 13, 2022 49   St. Mary's L 67-73 32%    
  Jan 15, 2022 307   Portland W 88-75 84%    
  Jan 20, 2022 82   @ Loyola Marymount L 70-78 25%    
  Jan 22, 2022 67   San Francisco L 74-78 38%    
  Jan 27, 2022 170   @ San Diego L 77-79 45%    
  Jan 29, 2022 49   @ St. Mary's L 64-76 18%    
  Feb 03, 2022 1   Gonzaga L 78-95 10%    
  Feb 05, 2022 137   Pacific W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 10, 2022 67   @ San Francisco L 71-81 22%    
  Feb 12, 2022 38   BYU L 74-81 30%    
  Feb 19, 2022 307   @ Portland W 85-78 70%    
  Feb 24, 2022 124   Santa Clara W 80-79 54%    
  Feb 26, 2022 38   @ BYU L 71-84 16%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 6 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 1.2 1.1 0.5 0.1 3.4 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 8.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.7 5.2 2.4 0.3 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.6 3.8 6.5 2.9 0.2 0.0 13.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 5.2 7.2 2.8 0.2 0.0 16.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 6.1 6.8 2.5 0.2 0.0 17.5 8th
9th 0.4 2.9 6.0 4.8 1.5 0.1 15.7 9th
10th 0.7 2.1 2.7 1.3 0.2 0.0 7.0 10th
Total 0.7 2.4 5.7 9.1 12.1 14.1 14.0 12.4 10.6 7.7 5.3 3.1 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 69.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
13-3 32.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
12-4 10.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 100.0% 56.5% 43.5% 2.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-1 0.1% 93.8% 24.6% 69.2% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.7%
14-2 0.3% 78.9% 17.8% 61.1% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 74.3%
13-3 0.8% 77.3% 14.6% 62.7% 8.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 73.4%
12-4 1.7% 55.4% 9.9% 45.4% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 50.4%
11-5 3.1% 33.4% 5.8% 27.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 29.3%
10-6 5.3% 12.9% 3.1% 9.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.6 10.1%
9-7 7.7% 5.4% 1.5% 3.9% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.3 3.9%
8-8 10.6% 1.5% 0.7% 0.8% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.4 0.8%
7-9 12.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.3 0.1%
6-10 14.0% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0 0.0%
5-11 14.1% 0.1% 0.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 14.1
4-12 12.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.1
3-13 9.1% 9.1
2-14 5.7% 5.7
1-15 2.4% 2.4
0-16 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 4.3% 1.0% 3.3% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 95.7 3.3%