Preseason Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#117
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace70.0#154
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+1.3#137
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#105
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.2% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 2.5% 2.9% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 10.5% 11.7% 1.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.8% 11.0% 1.2%
Average Seed 8.4 8.4 9.6
.500 or above 34.3% 37.5% 9.5%
.500 or above in Conference 19.1% 20.9% 5.7%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 22.8% 20.3% 41.5%
First Four1.6% 1.8% 0.3%
First Round9.6% 10.7% 1.2%
Second Round4.6% 5.1% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen1.5% 1.7% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 88.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 54 - 15
Quad 34 - 38 - 17
Quad 46 - 114 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 272   The Citadel W 87-74 88%    
  Nov 12, 2021 32   @ West Virginia L 68-79 16%    
  Nov 16, 2021 266   UNC Wilmington W 81-69 86%    
  Nov 19, 2021 239   Towson W 76-65 83%    
  Nov 24, 2021 92   Vanderbilt W 73-72 53%    
  Nov 27, 2021 229   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 76-66 81%    
  Nov 30, 2021 106   Minnesota W 74-72 57%    
  Dec 03, 2021 29   @ Virginia L 54-66 17%    
  Dec 09, 2021 105   Colgate W 79-77 56%    
  Dec 12, 2021 216   Monmouth W 83-73 78%    
  Dec 18, 2021 52   @ St. John's L 73-82 24%    
  Dec 21, 2021 302   Jacksonville W 78-64 88%    
  Dec 28, 2021 45   Notre Dame L 71-75 39%    
  Jan 01, 2022 34   @ Virginia Tech L 64-75 19%    
  Jan 05, 2022 27   @ Louisville L 63-75 17%    
  Jan 08, 2022 144   Boston College W 78-73 66%    
  Jan 11, 2022 44   @ Syracuse L 69-79 22%    
  Jan 15, 2022 27   Louisville L 66-72 32%    
  Jan 19, 2022 29   Virginia L 57-63 33%    
  Jan 22, 2022 55   @ Clemson L 61-70 25%    
  Jan 25, 2022 44   Syracuse L 72-76 38%    
  Jan 29, 2022 144   @ Boston College L 75-76 47%    
  Feb 02, 2022 103   @ Wake Forest L 69-73 37%    
  Feb 05, 2022 34   Virginia Tech L 67-72 35%    
  Feb 09, 2022 18   @ Florida St. L 67-80 15%    
  Feb 12, 2022 59   North Carolina St. L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 16, 2022 22   @ North Carolina L 70-83 16%    
  Feb 19, 2022 60   Georgia Tech L 69-71 43%    
  Feb 22, 2022 85   Miami (FL) W 72-71 51%    
  Mar 01, 2022 10   Duke L 68-77 24%    
  Mar 05, 2022 45   @ Notre Dame L 68-78 23%    
Projected Record 14 - 17 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 2.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 0.9 0.1 0.0 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 1.9 1.4 0.3 0.0 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 5.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.7 0.8 0.0 6.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 2.4 3.4 1.4 0.1 7.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.5 3.9 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 3.1 4.6 2.4 0.4 0.0 11.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.1 3.6 5.0 3.0 0.6 0.0 13.4 13th
14th 0.3 2.1 4.4 4.7 2.5 0.6 0.0 14.7 14th
15th 1.5 3.8 4.7 3.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 15.5 15th
Total 1.5 4.1 6.9 9.1 10.6 11.4 11.2 10.0 8.8 7.3 5.8 4.5 3.3 2.2 1.4 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 93.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 90.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 65.4% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
16-4 39.1% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
15-5 17.2% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 2.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0
19-1 0.0% 100.0% 31.7% 68.3% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 25.6% 74.4% 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.2% 100.0% 24.5% 75.5% 3.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.6% 98.6% 14.0% 84.6% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.3%
15-5 0.9% 97.9% 12.4% 85.5% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.6%
14-6 1.4% 94.0% 8.3% 85.6% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 93.4%
13-7 2.2% 82.3% 3.4% 78.8% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 81.6%
12-8 3.3% 61.2% 1.8% 59.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 60.5%
11-9 4.5% 40.8% 1.4% 39.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.7 40.0%
10-10 5.8% 20.4% 0.8% 19.5% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 4.6 19.7%
9-11 7.3% 5.3% 0.4% 4.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 6.9 4.9%
8-12 8.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.7% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.7 0.7%
7-13 10.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0 0.1%
6-14 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 11.2
5-15 11.4% 11.4
4-16 10.6% 10.6
3-17 9.1% 9.1
2-18 6.9% 6.9
1-19 4.1% 4.1
0-20 1.5% 1.5
Total 100% 10.5% 0.7% 9.8% 8.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 89.5 9.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%