Preseason Rankings
Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.3#101
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace71.5#115
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#113
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.2#90
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.4% 1.7% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 2.9% 3.5% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 16.4% 18.9% 4.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.8% 11.6% 1.8%
Average Seed 9.5 9.5 11.0
.500 or above 77.2% 82.6% 51.0%
.500 or above in Conference 71.8% 76.0% 51.4%
Conference Champion 9.3% 10.6% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.3% 4.9%
First Four3.1% 3.6% 0.8%
First Round14.8% 17.0% 3.8%
Second Round6.5% 7.6% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen2.4% 2.8% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.9% 1.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston University (Home) - 82.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 3
Quad 22 - 33 - 7
Quad 37 - 410 - 11
Quad 410 - 120 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 197   Boston University W 75-65 83%    
  Nov 12, 2021 206   Bryant W 87-77 83%    
  Nov 17, 2021 144   Boston College W 80-73 72%    
  Nov 20, 2021 108   Tulsa W 69-68 53%    
  Nov 23, 2021 222   @ Florida Gulf Coast W 79-73 68%    
  Nov 27, 2021 121   Georgia St. W 79-74 68%    
  Dec 01, 2021 160   @ Harvard W 73-71 56%    
  Dec 04, 2021 65   @ Providence L 67-73 30%    
  Dec 07, 2021 288   Sacred Heart W 80-65 89%    
  Dec 13, 2021 205   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 77-73 64%    
  Dec 19, 2021 235   College of Charleston W 73-64 77%    
  Dec 22, 2021 237   Brown W 76-64 84%    
  Dec 30, 2021 87   Dayton W 70-68 57%    
  Jan 02, 2022 210   La Salle W 78-67 80%    
  Jan 05, 2022 169   @ George Mason W 72-70 57%    
  Jan 08, 2022 98   @ Davidson L 66-69 40%    
  Jan 12, 2022 193   Saint Joseph's W 83-73 79%    
  Jan 15, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 22, 2022 238   George Washington W 80-67 84%    
  Jan 25, 2022 57   Richmond L 73-74 47%    
  Jan 28, 2022 87   @ Dayton L 67-71 38%    
  Feb 02, 2022 275   @ Fordham W 67-59 75%    
  Feb 05, 2022 119   Massachusetts W 79-74 65%    
  Feb 08, 2022 77   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-75 35%    
  Feb 12, 2022 98   Davidson W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 19, 2022 238   @ George Washington W 77-70 70%    
  Feb 22, 2022 28   @ St. Bonaventure L 63-73 21%    
  Feb 26, 2022 162   Duquesne W 76-68 74%    
  Mar 02, 2022 79   Saint Louis W 73-72 54%    
  Mar 05, 2022 193   @ Saint Joseph's W 80-76 62%    
Projected Record 19 - 11 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.5 2.6 2.7 1.6 0.5 9.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.1 2.7 0.8 0.1 11.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.4 4.6 2.1 0.3 0.0 11.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.3 4.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.1 4.6 1.8 0.2 0.0 10.1 5th
6th 0.2 2.4 4.5 2.0 0.2 9.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 4.1 2.2 0.2 8.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.2 3.4 2.4 0.3 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.8 2.4 0.5 0.0 6.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 2.1 2.1 0.6 0.0 5.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 2.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.0 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 2.2 3.4 5.1 6.9 8.4 10.0 11.0 11.1 10.8 9.7 7.9 5.6 3.5 1.7 0.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.5    0.5
17-1 95.1% 1.6    1.4 0.2
16-2 77.5% 2.7    1.9 0.8 0.1
15-3 46.7% 2.6    1.2 1.2 0.2 0.0
14-4 19.3% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1
13-5 3.4% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 5.3 2.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.5% 99.5% 51.3% 48.2% 3.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
17-1 1.7% 93.7% 41.9% 51.8% 5.4 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 89.2%
16-2 3.5% 80.2% 26.8% 53.4% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.7 73.0%
15-3 5.6% 62.4% 22.4% 40.0% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 51.6%
14-4 7.9% 40.4% 16.3% 24.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 4.7 28.8%
13-5 9.7% 24.2% 11.7% 12.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 7.4 14.1%
12-6 10.8% 12.4% 7.1% 5.3% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 9.5 5.7%
11-7 11.1% 5.7% 4.3% 1.3% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.5 1.4%
10-8 11.0% 2.6% 2.2% 0.4% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 10.7 0.4%
9-9 10.0% 1.5% 1.4% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.8 0.1%
8-10 8.4% 0.7% 0.7% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
7-11 6.9% 0.4% 0.4% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
6-12 5.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.1
5-13 3.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.5 0.0 0.0 3.4
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 16.4% 7.3% 9.1% 9.5 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.5 2.0 3.2 3.5 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 83.6 9.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 2.1 34.0 37.3 13.2 10.9 4.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0% 100.0% 2.6 20.6 25.5 26.5 27.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 100.0% 2.3 28.4 36.5 8.1 27.0