Preseason Rankings
Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.6#193
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace78.0#24
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.1#172
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#232
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 1.6% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.0 11.0 n/a
.500 or above 32.9% 33.4% 4.3%
.500 or above in Conference 25.2% 25.6% 4.9%
Conference Champion 0.8% 0.8% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 14.6% 14.2% 37.6%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round1.4% 1.5% 0.0%
Second Round0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 98.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 21 - 41 - 9
Quad 33 - 55 - 15
Quad 49 - 313 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2021 356   Maryland Eastern Shore W 84-61 98%    
  Nov 13, 2021 242   Mount St. Mary's W 71-65 71%    
  Nov 17, 2021 175   Drexel W 74-73 55%    
  Nov 20, 2021 216   Monmouth W 86-82 64%    
  Nov 25, 2021 20   USC L 67-82 10%    
  Dec 01, 2021 327   Binghamton W 81-70 83%    
  Dec 04, 2021 6   @ Villanova L 63-84 4%    
  Dec 08, 2021 187   Penn W 79-76 58%    
  Dec 11, 2021 120   Temple L 74-76 44%    
  Dec 18, 2021 157   @ Bradley L 72-77 34%    
  Dec 22, 2021 321   Holy Cross W 84-73 81%    
  Dec 30, 2021 57   @ Richmond L 71-85 14%    
  Jan 02, 2022 238   George Washington W 81-75 67%    
  Jan 05, 2022 98   Davidson L 70-74 37%    
  Jan 08, 2022 169   @ George Mason L 73-78 35%    
  Jan 12, 2022 101   @ Rhode Island L 73-83 21%    
  Jan 17, 2022 210   La Salle W 80-76 62%    
  Jan 22, 2022 77   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 71-83 18%    
  Jan 26, 2022 162   Duquesne W 77-76 54%    
  Jan 29, 2022 28   @ St. Bonaventure L 64-81 9%    
  Feb 05, 2022 275   Fordham W 70-63 72%    
  Feb 09, 2022 98   @ Davidson L 67-77 22%    
  Feb 12, 2022 119   @ Massachusetts L 78-86 26%    
  Feb 16, 2022 169   George Mason W 76-75 55%    
  Feb 19, 2022 87   Dayton L 71-76 36%    
  Feb 22, 2022 79   @ Saint Louis L 71-83 19%    
  Feb 26, 2022 28   St. Bonaventure L 67-78 19%    
  Mar 02, 2022 210   @ La Salle L 77-79 43%    
  Mar 05, 2022 101   Rhode Island L 76-80 38%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 6 - 12





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.7 1.8 0.5 0.0 4.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 2.0 2.5 0.8 0.1 5.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.0 3.4 1.3 0.1 7.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.1 2.0 0.2 0.0 8.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.5 2.9 0.4 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.7 4.9 3.9 0.7 0.0 0.0 11.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.6 5.1 4.1 0.9 0.0 12.0 11th
12th 0.2 2.0 5.2 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.7 12th
13th 0.5 2.4 4.6 3.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.0 13th
14th 0.9 2.5 3.0 1.9 0.6 0.0 8.8 14th
Total 0.9 3.1 5.5 8.6 11.0 12.0 12.2 11.5 10.0 8.1 6.2 4.5 2.8 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 87.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
15-3 55.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 23.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 33.3% 66.7% 4.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.1% 90.3% 37.7% 52.7% 6.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 84.5%
16-2 0.2% 72.7% 25.9% 46.7% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 63.1%
15-3 0.4% 52.1% 19.2% 33.0% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 40.8%
14-4 1.0% 35.0% 16.2% 18.8% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 22.4%
13-5 1.7% 13.0% 6.2% 6.8% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 7.3%
12-6 2.8% 6.4% 4.6% 1.9% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 1.9%
11-7 4.5% 3.7% 2.7% 1.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.3 1.1%
10-8 6.2% 1.4% 1.4% 0.0% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1 0.0%
9-9 8.1% 0.9% 0.9% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.1
8-10 10.0% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.0
7-11 11.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.5
6-12 12.2% 12.2
5-13 12.0% 12.0
4-14 11.0% 11.0
3-15 8.6% 8.6
2-16 5.5% 5.5
1-17 3.1% 3.1
0-18 0.9% 0.9
Total 100% 1.6% 0.9% 0.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 98.4 0.7%