IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
SIU Edwardsville
Ohio Valley
2021-22

Overall
Predictive Rating	-10.3	#328
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	69.0	#185
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-5.9	#333

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.4	#305

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.9%	3.5%	0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.5	14.9	15.6

.500 or above	17.7%	56.9%	16.6%
.500 or above in Conference	24.9%	56.5%	24.0%
Conference Champion	0.7%	4.2%	0.6%
Last Place in Conference	17.8%	4.9%	18.2%

First Four	0.4%	0.9%	0.4%
First Round	0.7%	3.1%	0.6%
Second Round	0.0%	0.1%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Marquette (Away) - 2.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 3	0 - 4
Quad 3	1 - 6	1 - 10
Quad 4	10 - 9	11 - 20

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 09, 2021	78	@ Marquette	L	60-80	3%
Nov 12, 2021	357	@ Chicago St.	W	77-68	78%
Nov 19, 2021	250	Niagara	L	65-70	32%
Nov 20, 2021	281	@ Youngstown St.	L	68-75	28%
Nov 21, 2021	353	St. Thomas	W	76-67	77%
Nov 27, 2021	48	@ Creighton	L	60-83	3%
Nov 30, 2021	326	@ Nebraska Omaha	L	73-76	39%
Dec 04, 2021	157	@ Bradley	L	62-76	12%
Dec 08, 2021	247	Purdue Fort Wayne	L	73-76	42%
Dec 12, 2021	233	UMKC	L	63-66	39%
Dec 21, 2021	214	@ South Alabama	L	65-76	19%
Dec 30, 2021	81	Belmont	L	68-82	13%
Jan 01, 2022	349	@ Tennessee Martin	W	73-71	58%
Jan 06, 2022	285	@ Austin Peay	L	67-74	30%
Jan 08, 2022	125	Murray St.	L	64-74	20%
Jan 13, 2022	330	@ Eastern Illinois	L	71-73	43%
Jan 15, 2022	268	Southeast Missouri St.	L	71-72	45%
Jan 20, 2022	301	@ Tennessee Tech	L	69-75	33%
Jan 22, 2022	158	@ Morehead St.	L	61-75	13%
Jan 27, 2022	289	Tennessee St.	L	73-74	49%
Jan 29, 2022	268	@ Southeast Missouri St.	L	68-75	28%
Feb 03, 2022	330	Eastern Illinois	W	74-70	61%
Feb 05, 2022	125	@ Murray St.	L	61-77	10%
Feb 10, 2022	349	Tennessee Martin	W	76-68	74%
Feb 12, 2022	301	Tennessee Tech	W	73-72	51%
Feb 17, 2022	289	@ Tennessee St.	L	71-77	31%
Feb 19, 2022	81	@ Belmont	L	65-85	6%
Feb 24, 2022	285	Austin Peay	L	70-71	48%
Feb 26, 2022	158	Morehead St.	L	64-72	27%
Projected Record						10 - 19	6 - 12

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Ohio Valley Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.7	1st
2nd											0.0	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.6	0.2	0.0				2.2	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	0.6	1.6	1.6	0.8	0.2	0.0					4.8	3rd
4th								0.0	0.3	1.7	2.9	2.1	0.7	0.1	0.0						7.9	4th
5th							0.0	0.8	3.0	4.0	2.4	0.5	0.0								10.9	5th
6th						0.1	1.6	4.4	5.0	2.1	0.4	0.0									13.5	6th
7th				0.0	0.3	2.6	5.9	4.9	1.7	0.2	0.0										15.6	7th
8th			0.0	0.8	3.9	6.4	4.2	1.0	0.1												16.5	8th
9th		0.2	2.1	5.1	5.6	2.7	0.6	0.0													16.3	9th
10th	1.0	2.9	4.0	2.7	0.9	0.1	0.0														11.7	10th

Total	1.0	3.1	6.0	8.6	10.7	11.9	12.3	11.2	10.1	8.1	6.3	4.4	2.8	1.6	1.0	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.0			Total

Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.0		0.0
17-1	100.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0
16-2	90.1%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
15-3	50.0%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0
14-4	21.2%	0.2		0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0
13-5	3.9%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	0.8%	0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
11-7	0.1%	0.0							0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.7%	0.7		0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.0%		23.1%	23.1%		11.0												0.0						0.0
17-1	0.1%		36.7%	36.7%		13.9													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
16-2	0.2%		30.3%	30.3%		14.6													0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1
15-3	0.4%		17.4%	17.4%		14.9														0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.3
14-4	1.0%		15.5%	15.5%		15.4														0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.8
13-5	1.6%		9.7%	9.7%		15.6															0.0	0.0	0.1	1.5
12-6	2.8%		4.5%	4.5%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	2.7
11-7	4.4%		2.5%	2.5%		15.8															0.0	0.0	0.1	4.2
10-8	6.3%		1.0%	1.0%		16.0																	0.1	6.3
9-9	8.1%		0.7%	0.7%		16.0																	0.1	8.1
8-10	10.1%		0.3%	0.3%		16.0																	0.0	10.1
7-11	11.2%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	11.2
6-12	12.3%		0.1%	0.1%		16.0																	0.0	12.3
5-13	11.9%		0.0%	0.0%		16.0																	0.0	11.9
4-14	10.7%																							10.7
3-15	8.6%																							8.6
2-16	6.0%																							6.0
1-17	3.1%																							3.1
0-18	1.0%																							1.0

Total	100%		0.9%	0.9%	0.0%	15.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.6	99.1		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.2%