Preseason Rankings
Temple
American Athletic
2021-22
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.3#120
Expected Predictive Rating+0.0#1
Pace68.9#189
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+0.2#168
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#92
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.6% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.3% 1.3% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 7.9% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.7% 5.8% 0.0%
Average Seed 9.3 9.3 n/a
.500 or above 45.9% 46.1% 7.1%
.500 or above in Conference 38.4% 38.6% 9.7%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.0% 12.8% 36.4%
First Four1.5% 1.5% 0.0%
First Round7.1% 7.1% 0.0%
Second Round3.1% 3.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.1% 1.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland Eastern Shore (Home) - 99.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 7
Quad 22 - 43 - 11
Quad 35 - 48 - 15
Quad 47 - 115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2021 356   Maryland Eastern Shore W 80-52 99%    
  Nov 13, 2021 20   USC L 65-72 25%    
  Nov 18, 2021 55   Clemson L 62-68 30%    
  Nov 27, 2021 181   Delaware W 72-65 72%    
  Dec 01, 2021 210   La Salle W 75-66 76%    
  Dec 04, 2021 187   Penn W 74-67 73%    
  Dec 07, 2021 92   @ Vanderbilt L 68-74 32%    
  Dec 11, 2021 193   @ Saint Joseph's W 76-74 56%    
  Dec 15, 2021 68   Central Florida L 67-69 44%    
  Dec 18, 2021 175   Drexel W 70-64 70%    
  Dec 22, 2021 354   Delaware St. W 91-65 98%    
  Dec 29, 2021 6   @ Villanova L 59-75 10%    
  Jan 02, 2022 13   Houston L 61-70 24%    
  Jan 05, 2022 68   @ Central Florida L 64-72 27%    
  Jan 08, 2022 183   East Carolina W 73-66 72%    
  Jan 12, 2022 108   @ Tulsa L 65-69 37%    
  Jan 19, 2022 54   Wichita St. L 67-70 41%    
  Jan 22, 2022 177   @ South Florida W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 25, 2022 90   Cincinnati W 72-71 51%    
  Jan 29, 2022 62   @ SMU L 69-77 25%    
  Feb 02, 2022 183   @ East Carolina W 70-69 53%    
  Feb 05, 2022 108   Tulsa W 68-66 55%    
  Feb 12, 2022 136   @ Tulane L 67-69 44%    
  Feb 16, 2022 62   SMU L 72-74 42%    
  Feb 20, 2022 90   @ Cincinnati L 69-75 33%    
  Feb 24, 2022 11   @ Memphis L 64-79 12%    
  Feb 27, 2022 136   Tulane W 70-66 62%    
  Mar 03, 2022 13   @ Houston L 58-73 12%    
  Mar 06, 2022 177   South Florida W 71-64 70%    
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 4.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.8 2.5 1.6 0.4 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.0 3.3 1.5 0.2 0.0 8.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 3.7 4.0 1.3 0.2 10.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 4.5 4.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 4.7 4.1 1.1 0.1 12.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.2 5.0 3.9 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.6 4.8 3.2 0.7 0.0 11.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.0 2.2 0.5 0.0 10.7 10th
11th 0.5 1.8 2.5 2.3 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.3 11th
Total 0.5 1.9 3.5 5.8 7.9 9.5 10.7 11.0 10.9 9.8 8.8 6.8 5.1 3.6 2.2 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 93.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 79.5% 0.5    0.4 0.1 0.0
15-3 54.3% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
14-4 26.4% 0.6    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 7.1% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 51.2% 48.8% 3.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 99.0% 31.2% 67.8% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.6%
16-2 0.6% 91.5% 27.0% 64.5% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 88.3%
15-3 1.3% 81.6% 18.6% 63.0% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 77.4%
14-4 2.2% 66.8% 14.4% 52.4% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.7 61.2%
13-5 3.6% 44.6% 11.1% 33.5% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 2.0 37.7%
12-6 5.1% 26.4% 7.2% 19.3% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 3.7 20.7%
11-7 6.8% 12.1% 3.7% 8.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.0 8.7%
10-8 8.8% 5.2% 2.0% 3.2% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 8.4 3.2%
9-9 9.8% 1.9% 1.2% 0.8% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.6 0.8%
8-10 10.9% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.8 0.1%
7-11 11.0% 0.4% 0.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 10.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.7
5-13 9.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.8 0.0 0.0 9.5
4-14 7.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.9
3-15 5.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.8
2-16 3.5% 3.5
1-17 1.9% 1.9
0-18 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 7.9% 2.2% 5.6% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 92.1 5.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 2.2 17.1 48.8 34.1